Three Contrarian Predictions #1

  1. The vaccines won’t do jack. I think we’re just about ready to give that one a big, fat tick. *
  2. Biden will contest the next election. My thinking: who’s going to blast him out of there before 2024? No one, that’s who.
  3. Buy coal. Part way towards being proved right on that one too.*

Give us your contrarian predictions or comment on the three above.

*Not medical or investment advice. Seriously.

36 thoughts on “Three Contrarian Predictions #1”

  1. 1. The Taliban will find a way to use most if not all the equipment left behind by the US military, the rest will be sold to China. They will become the dominant power in the region and the Pakistan government will fall.
    2. Tucker Carlson will be murdered by Antifa, the MSM will say he had it coming.
    3. As soon as borders open, there will be a flood of chinese nationals moving to western countries to escape the newly minted ban on tutoring. This ban will do nothing to fix China’s falling birth rate and Xi will pick a war with Taiwan to paper over the failure of central planning to fix the underlying malaise he is getting into.


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  2. Australia hasn’t yet had a ‘first wave’ of covid. It’ll come when international travel reopens.

    It’ll be mixed with an influenza season the likes of which we haven’t seen since 1919, due to 2 years with no flu and therefore no immunity.

    This one’s way out there I know, but at some point Australians will stop cowering under the doona and demand some freedom.

    If that unlikely event happens, nearly everyone will claim to have been anti lockdown all along.


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  3. Arky

    The vaccines won’t do jack. I think we’re just about ready to give that one a big, fat tick.

    Usually you say that they won’t do sh1t.

    In terms of defeating Kung Flu, I agree that they won’t do jack. What I fear is that they will do actual sh1t, and we will end up with many people made chronically ill by the vaccines.

    Apart from the human misery thus caused, looking after them will impose a huge financial burden on Australia, none of which can be recovered from the makers.


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  4. In terms of defeating Kung Flu, I agree that they won’t do jack. What I fear is that they will do actual sh1t, and we will end up with many people made chronically ill by the vaccines.

    ..
    Yeah, yeah, exactly. By “not do shit” I have always meant “Not do shit to get us out of this self created mess”.
    Anyway, it’s getting messy now, the missus needs to get the bloody thing to keep her job.
    I’ve told her it’s her decision, her health, don’t let anyone tell you what to do, including me, and including them, even if it means losing your job.
    It’s a decision she has to make for herself, one way or tother.


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  5. 3. Re: buying coal. Big miners and railfreight companies like Aurizon at present are allegedly ‘desperate’ to distance themselves from trafficking coal. That is bullshot designed to appeal to luvvies and dilettante day-traders who read the Grauniad and Financial Review for their daily dose of virtue.

    ~$200/ton for thermal and coking coal at present is far too healthy for the bottom line and next year’s dividend to lightly abandon. Hence all the shell-gaming of BHP’s coal production division into Woodside, and talks of Aurizon mulling acquisitions and mergers of smaller freighters like Qube and buying out GrainCorp.

    Even the robber barons fear the Commissars these days…


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  6. Once we reach 80% vaccination they’ll find out the first 20% to get vaccinated need another vaccination meaning only 60% are vaccinated thus triggering more lockdowns. Australians will put up with this crap for a decade at least (and may remain sheeple).


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  7. If NSW and Hunter Cats can do it (taking your current jailing rules into accpunt, of course…), count the number and the length of the coal trains going past. And check the logos on the locos as you go.

    A player getting out of the business or a dying commodity will be running less frequently.

    Pretty sure it ain’t the case…


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  8. That’s my fear Rex.
    Western country’s firms divesting themselves of these wonderful assets and the Chinese buying it all.
    Zero difference to da environment, but less good shit on the ASX to buy.
    They’ll do it too.


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  9. If that unlikely event happens, nearly everyone will claim to have been anti lockdown all along.

    +100

    And they will furiously deny ever even suggesting that vaccination should be mandatory.
    Funny how the people who insisted John Howard was ‘creating a climate of fear’ by suggesting basic commonsense cautions in the wake of 9/11, are the same people now doing everything they can to rule by creating an actual climate of fear.


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  10. Here’s one that will upset the natives. The Liberal Democrats will remain less successful than the Australian Democrats…

    Perhaps not contrarian, but the minute the alp gets back in power, you can bet they will come after those they deem to be anti vaxxers


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  11. 3 predictions?
    Your fave TV talking heads will commit suicide by 4 shots to the back of the head.
    Your fave MPs will follow suit. Only 5 shots.
    ASIO will fit up a wrongthinker but the judge will be unable to empanel a jury cos they can’t stop laughing.


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  12. That’s my fear Rex.
    Western country’s firms divesting themselves of these wonderful assets and the Chinese buying it all.

    Time to follow the example of the Apes and Autists on r/WallStreetBets, maybe?

    #DiamondHands


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  13. Biden will contest the next election

    Fully agree.
    I’ve said before that he is the most malleable, corruptible, and compliant President that his handlers could ever hope for.
    They will keep him as President until the next election by hook or by crook.


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  14. There’s a prediction right there! Unless it has already happened.

    Biden will be eviscerated, packed with cogs and wheels and rebooted in 2024. Good ol’ ‘mercan know how.


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  15. Ben Roberts-Smith will be found guilty of multiple counts of murder and sentenced to life in prison.

    The ABC will realise they are no longer reflecting the views of Australians and will sack all their “talent” and appoint a new board from the IPA membership.

    Victorian Police will mutiny, throw away all their guns, batons, handcuffs, bulletproof vests and change their menacing black uniforms to powder blue safari suits.

    Cardinal Pell will lose his temper with 7-Nilligan, sue her for every penny she has and move into her house.

    Sneakers McGowan will lose the WA election by a 70-30 landslide against Labor.


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  16. For Calli.

    6. Dorper ewes will undergo a major personality change, cease terrifying the resident hound and attempting to kill the hand that both feeds them and pays the vet bill.


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  17. Albo will transition while in government after discovering hes actually trapped inside the body of an asian woman.

    Only if she crosses her ankles …


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  18. Biden will contest the next election. My thinking: who’s going to blast him out of there before 2024? No one, that’s who.

    I can certainly see Jill Biden fighting to keep him there.

    But the Dems will want him gone before the midterms.

    My prediction is that there will be a Jill Biden vs Dems fight on this issue before the midterms, with the Dems the ultimately prevailing – Biden will be forced out by his own party.


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  19. “Biden will contest the next election. My thinking: who’s going to blast him out of there before 2024? No one, that’s who.”

    Biden isn’t likely to be alive to contest anything in 2024. Nor would the Dems run him again if he was. Even drooling, mallable, useful idiots have use by dates.
    moderated

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  20. Biden will be eviscerated, packed with cogs and wheels and rebooted in 2024. Good ol’ ‘mercan know how.

    the DNC is already negotiating with Tesla to purchase the 1st AI bot and wrap biden’s hide over it.


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