Also, today’s Mutt. Looks very, very good, a hell of a lot like ol Steely Grey, aka the Teflon Death…
Open Thread – Weekend 9 Oct 2021
- Open Thread – Anzac Day 2024
- Open Thread – Mon 22 April 2024
- Open Thread – Weekend 21 April 2024
- Open Thread – Thurs 18 April 2024
- Open Thread – Mon 15 April 2024
Whale stranding in Dunsborough- mine wifey had a very early call from a dogwalker, buzzed down because wildlife in peril…
Australian PM’s censorship campaign has turned him into a ‘massive international joke’
Johnny Rotten April 25, 2024 4:17 pm Democrats Indicting 18 Republicans in Arizona For Claiming Trump Won 2020 Plenty of…
Neil Oliver: ‘…we’re being played by our governments over and over again!!!’
From JC’s link at 4.07 pm:
“There’s a pervasive anxiety about what may or may not happen this winter, because of something we have no control over, which is the weather.”
So why are $trillions frittered away every year in an attempt to do precisely that?
Does this digital identity repeal excise tax or reduce the complexity of income tax legislation?
You know it’s good to love the US at a higher level, in terms of what it means and what it has done at times to protect humanity from evil. But, it’s also rotten turd of a place at times. It spent like three decades closing down tax havens and now it’s muscled in.
More here:
Now why would WaPo want to dump on South Dakota, and not NYC, DC, LA or etc?
It’s a mystery!
Brucie
I think it’s fair not mention NY, DC and LA (I dunno about DC). There’s hefty state tax for corporate residents in those localities. I dunno, but I presume that trusts would attract state and city taxes too even though the assets and possibly even the income is foreign derived.
WaPo of course would think SD is evil because it houses deplorables.
With metastudies the issue is more about mixing different forms of evidence as well as about how well designed the individual studies were. Say randomised controlled trials, with case-control studies, with prospective or retrospective population series studies.
Gosh calli
You’ve managed to annoy all the right people with your turncoatery.
Well done you.
Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021
Forerunner of the Social Credit System now in China.
JC – Nothing will come of the latest P papers (Panama, Pandora, Pansimian, Panadol or etc) because most of the perps will be lefties.
Also, that Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021, Australia Card in disguise, means it will be easier to ”mandate” whatever vaccines, medical procedures or medicines the government wants us to take in future, or else no travel, no job, no school etc.
This current vaccination ”mandate” and ”health orders” have set the precedence.
Yes Gab,
…and the Public Health Acts need to be repealed.
Attempted a few times to comment about this abomination but every time I’ve tried in the last 10 minutes it comes out extremely rude. So being Sunday I better stay silent. I’m having a very hard time praying for those in authority lately.
Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 3:55 pm
Gilad you obviously hate Australia and hold it in complete contempt so why don’t you just fuck off out of here.
Just stating facts, fuckwit!
You don’t like it? Kiss my arse!
I have no trouble praying for the hand of God to smite them.
Well why are you here then fuckwit? You’ve been slagging off about for years. Well before the present bullshit.
Who knew heh?
Dont worry too much.
It will link seamlessly with your VX Passport
Yes there was a coup last year and we’re facing the consolidation phase
Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 4:57 pm
Well why are you here then fuckwit? You’ve been slagging off about for years. Well before the present bullshit.
I made reference to some intelligent Cats’ comments, made only in the last 24 hours.
If you’re too thick to understand what I wrote, go and play with your teddy.
Oh, and don’t forget to go fuck yourself after that.
Don’t let him bamboozle you.
He wasn’t called, “Pol Dot”, for nothing.
Sinc’s cat was heavily Pro-Open Borders with Dot a major cheer leader for it, and pretty much 24/7 mock, ridicule & hate Australia; let any foreign devils with cash in and fuck off the useless Ocker Aussies with any love or sentimentality for their Homeland.
The last thing the people intending to take over Australia and get stonking rich on developing all Her riches, want, is basic, decent, loyalist Aussies hanging around, remembering what their ancestors fought for wasn’t for Globalist arseholes to get rich by doing what they never let Aussies do; develop their uniquely rich, glorious land to Her full potential.
Temper temper Gilas you supercilious condescending twerp
**enable the expansion of the Australian Government Digital Identity System, specifically to enable greater participation by state and territory governments and the private sector
**enshrine in law various privacy and consumer protections, so that Australians can have confidence in the System and know that their personal information is safe and secure
**establish permanent governance arrangements and a strong regulatory regime.
This is the most egregious bullshit ever written.
How long ago was it that Sneakers McGowan promised that covid tracing data would never ever ever be used for anything but covid tracing, and within two months the WA cops were using it in court for routine criminal cases?
About the only government department I’ve ever dealt with that clearly takes its secrecy obligations seriously – and I know some of you won’t believe this – is the Tax Office. Giving any other government department access to your info is totally losing control over it.
I studiously avoid getting into fights on the blog, but you’re too stupid and obnoxious to ignore.
Go back to your white picket-fenced 1950’s weatherboard bungalow and dunk your head in the septic tank.
It might help you think more clearly.
Internal polls in Victoriastan must be absolutely dire.
Daniel Andrews announces return of major Melbourne events as Victoria records 1,890 new COVID-19 cases (10 Oct)
Andrews confirms 10,000 people to attend Melbourne Cup (10 Oct)
Laser-focused on the science.
Crude insults are not an argument. What a sad individual you are
Weh the gummint purson cums to get mai dijitle ayedentitty, thye mite fond an old bolke whu has trubble wif tipyng. And dithurs a lot.
Its a fucking goat
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMd7g9_7ao8
“When you know you’re right don’t let anybody change your mind”
In the future, using Digital Identity will make life simpler and save time and money for new business owners.
Alex is an IT specialist who decides to fulfill his long-term ambition of starting his own small business. He wants to get his new business off the ground as quickly as possible, particularly because he is the primary earner in his family.
Alex has a number of steps to complete including applying for an ABN and registering his business name.
A former colleague urges Alex to try using Digital Identity. Alex finds the process takes a quarter of the time it otherwise would have, and he also saves $128 in avoided costs.
A couple of years later a low level clerk at some government department decides to take a short cut with Alex’s personal info for some routine piece of bureaucratic oppression.
The info ends up where it shouldn’t. It gets misused to find out commercial-in-confidence info about what Alex is doing with a client, the leak causes the client damage, Alex’s reputation is ruined, his business goes broke and he gets bankrupted.
An internal government enquiry concludes that the department from which the leak started needs more taxpayer funded resources to provide privacy training to its staff.
Because governments have guaranteed the returns of those who invested in renewables.
It’s probably the biggets scam in human history.
One last thing Milts, I would regard it a favour if you scrolled past my comments from now on.
Your IQ will remain in the low 80s, but at least your rancid brain won’t hurt.
See? I can be kind.
Internal polls in Victoriastan must be absolutely dire.
On the non-representative but not tiny sample around my area today, outdoor mask wearing compliance is way below 50% in and around the parks. It’s higher on the main streets , but hopefully that’s just people not wanting to be stung for $200, rather than lots of people giving a shit about Dan’s edicts.
The second biggest scam in human history. (no probably)
Because governments have guaranteed the returns of those who invested in renewables.
It’s probably the biggets scam in human history.
How else would industry super funds get such consistently high returns?
Sure, but you can differentiate and assign different weights to the various types of studies considered within a metastudy.
Gilas:
It doesn’t support Brave?
Guten Abend, Standartenführer Schwab!
There is no ground common enuff for me and you, I tells ya!
Jordan Peterson was Right About Pronouns
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=no5X-aVxTEI
Oct 10, 2021
The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters
How does it go?
“I make no apology” has been a leftwing euphemism for fucking up since Rudd. The Lying Slapper was using it almost every day.
She had to because she was fucking something up everyday.
Just crude insults. That’s not a rational argument.
Winston Smith says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:28 pm
Everyone should use the Bypass Paywalls add-on when browsing News websites.
Bankruptcy of this MSM dinosaur cannot come soon enough.
It doesn’t support Brave?
Don’t know, I use Firefox, works like a dream.
Best Firefox add-on except for uBlock Origin, which destroys ads on YouTube, making it a supreme service (ex-politics..)
For implementing HOP Time. I do apologise for how long it took us to do so.
I don’t get the metastudies shit.
If the existing studies aren’t good enough, then how the hell does lumping them all together and doing further manipulation get any closer to the truth?
If I take my car to a series of mechanics who can’t definitively fix the problem, then hiring someone to go survey the mechanics still doesn’t fix the problem that the mechanics were fucking useless.
Can I make a suggestion? The thumbs thing vote thing resembles twitter. Those who are intelligent and perceptive enough can figure a decent comment. Voting can be like a twitter swarm. Over time I’ve actually received lots of votes and I don’t think it’s a good idea. Get rid of it.
Anyway, you get an idea what is a good comment through responses.
Of course I could be wrong.
Maybe someone could do a meta- meta study of the meta studies and we could find out.
Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:30 pm
Just crude insults. That’s not a rational argument.
If you are polite and civilised, you get polite and civilised replies.
It works for most people.
Believe it or not, it’s not as hard as Quantum Electrodynamics.
I’ve already lobbied for a “thumbs down”, JC.
No one was interested.
I think Dover has to fashion some more interesting emojis first. This should be a matter of extreme urgency. 😀
JC – Speaking of largish ladies in black uniforms with silver rank insignia…
Palaszczuk upping the ante in the ‘COVID is a sentient being’ stakes (10 Oct)
She seems not to want the emergency to ever end.
What Twitch Shows us About Socialism
Hasan Piker’s $200,000 a Month Socialism
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7WZ0vEpZXA
Oct 10, 2021
The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters
Unfortunately, there isn’t an HOP emoji in the stable. Nor a tumbril.
This is a disgrace.
JC – that’s an interesting observation – and I say this only because my poor li’l comments never seem to get enough likes, I tells ya! 🙂
If you post a comment and it encourages some debate and/or discussion, then that’s a good thing.
The thumbs up may be (inadvertently) driving some lazy behaviour. This is not a criticism of the Dover.
I tend to reply rather than bluethumb, but then I’m a big mouth.
Karens and male Karens can end up causing a fight. It’s not worth the aggro. It’s fine if you’re not a hothead and can keep your cool and walk away from a potential fight otherwise just wear a mask for peace sake.
Hence why I can’t understand why you can’t understand why others want to leave and you can’t comprehend that the majority hate you and want to rob you blind.
There. I gave you a thumb Rabz. 😀
Jacksonville airport was effectively shut down by the air traffic controllers walking off the job to protest against vaccine mandates.
Saturday night US time.
600 flights impacted.
And a reply.
Two for the price of one.
I call that a bargain.
“ deaf dykes”
Lip readers were they?
In the meantime, I’ve inadvertently gotten into a discourse on another thread about the existence (or otherwise) of those (alleged) almighty deities … 🙁
Ta, calli 🙂
???
Hunchback appears to have an okay grasp on how to self-preservation up to recent. Hunchback is shifty snake. She’s just a fat ugly retard with zero going for her.
He exists, Rabz. He’s a bit shy, though.
On your next permitted “exercise”, go to a nice park or garden and see if you meet Him there. He’s a bit of a lurker.
Whoops
on how to do
Arky says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:37 pm
I don’t get the metastudies shit.
If the existing studies aren’t good enough, then how the hell does lumping them all together and doing further manipulation get any closer to the truth?
By increasing the data sampled (People on trials) and thus reducing the error bands, even possibly reaching pre-set “significance levels”, usually p<.05, which were not achieved in individual trials.
Dover is correct, the data should be normalised for variations in trial design, inclusion factors, statistics used etc.. Not something for the numerically illiterate
Of course I could be wrong.
Maybe someone could do a meta- meta study of the meta studies and we could find out.
It is done in Medical Oncology, at least.
That neo-Communist rag The Lancet routinely publishes data on treatment results in early breast cancer, the prosaically-titled EBCTG (Early Breast Cancer Triallists Group). They’re now beyond 500.000 patients analysed.
Eye-glazing stuff…
A situation that is outrageously outrageous, Madam calli. 😕
Often all that needs to be said is said in a comment so adding anything can be a case of either hogging someone else’s limelight or trying to start a pile on against someone in lieu of any actual counter argument.
Dot, is it possible this digital identity legislation is the back fill to cover all the contracts the federal government handed out over the past 18 months.
Saturday night US time.
600 flights impacted.
If you burned the whole of Melbourne Airport to the ground you would impact 5 flights! 😉
Gilas..
How do you weight study A vs study B vs Study C and so on. Meta stuff needs to be carefully understood in terms of what the author is trying to do as an uncomfortable number could be used for the equivalent of push polling.
Andreas Backhaus agrees. He’s a data scientist, fairly prominent in Twitter and isn’t a dick.
https://twitter.com/AndreasShrugged?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
Hodge Twins hanging shit on Australia:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LT4uA5QXJzI
He’s ashamed of me, for good reason. There will be no revealing. I lust after beautiful young women, for goodness’ sake, despite being a monstrous ol’ dinobore.
One of the ten commandments – “Thou shalt not lust after hot bits o’ that, I tells ya”. 🙂
Made up qualification.
He’s loved worse, Rabz. I have that on excellent authority.
..
Unless everyone designing a trial is making the same errors.
Sydney is going to break tomorrow.
Wind?
Rick, it could prevent the Chinese military jumping in here and taking over the country. Obviously, they would be floating on China Airlines Dreamliners.
I reckon the “show us yer papers” tyranny dress rehearsal will be utterly predictable.
You have completely misrepresented my views and why the hell should I hang around when my rights are reduced to that of a 12th century Angevin dominated peasant?
This is what three and a half months of solitary confinement does to you.
You just want to get out there and flirt with some cute young woman, in a pub, while playing pool and listening to some rock ‘n’ roll.
Stolen.
Never forget or forgive, peoples. They have it coming to them.
Huh?
Is Ivan Drago back at U Syd?
Lets say you’re studying the prevalence of arse cancer in North America.
But there’s a travelling salesman who doesn’t have arse cancer and who gets his kicks from signing up to every arse cancer study in every city he visits.
Now, instead of evaluating which studies have the best protocols to exclude phonies, you just add the all together.
You end up counting phoney arse cancer travelling salesman guy multiple times in your meta study.
Dot says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:01 pm
Who posted that?
Out of curiosity is there such a thing as arse cancer… not bowel cancer etc.. but straight out rear-end cancer?
JC, saw one of those new so called beaver toothed BMW’s today.
Looks like a rust magnet.
Ignore USSR, Dot. She’s one of the biggest attention whores I’ve seen for a while now.
Causes of anal cancer
The most common cause of anal cancer is the human papilloma virus (HPV) accounting for around 80% of cases.
Other factors that can increase your risk of anal cancer include:
having diseases such as chlamydia, anal warts and AIDS/HIV
women who have already had cervical, vulval or vaginal cancer or a history of abnormal cells in the cervix, vulva or vagina
people who have anal intercourse may have an increased risk of anal cancer possibly due to an increased risk of HPV infection
people with weakened immune systems
smoking tobacco.
I call bullshit. Smoking tobacco causes cancer in every organ? Even my left toe? You mean I’ve been sucking down on them at the wrong end?
I have it on good authority from somebody very horsey that it has been in planning for well over a month.
So consider this:
While they are planning for Best Kommunist Pony Party Ever…
–they are shooting at protesters
–doubling-down on the Stasi Pass
–writing Permanent Pandemic Legislation.
–destroying the merchant class
Kome to Viktoria for Best Kommunist Pony Party
everybody VX’d
Riff-raff not allowed
free Ivermectin for horses and jockeys
..
Killed Farah Fawcett.
“women who have already had cervical, vulval or vaginal cancer or a history of abnormal cells in the cervix, vulva or vagina”
No…no…no…it is now “individuals who have already had cervical, vulval or vaginal cancer or a history of abnormal cells in the cervix, vulva or vagina“….remember a man can now have a cervix, vulva and vagina.
Just sat through the first episode of Global Focus with Christopher Pyne on Skah – a 30-minute chat between the mincing pouve and Singapore’s foreign minister Vivian Balakrichnan. It was actually quite interesting in spite of Pyne outing himself as a globalist leftard who, for example, sees the disastrous Biden administration as “centrist”. I like the format; it’s just a matter of how soon Pyne runs out of interesting subjects given his predictable, one-dimensional personality.
PRO TIP
Gender explained by a based child
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fg3Xs_x9Kco
Pic please.
Dude, wanted to replace the 5 series wagon. The fuckers don’t import them anymore and there’s only a 3 series wagon. The reason told to me is that the punters are only buying SUVs now. By fuck am I going to buy a 3 series. I can’t stand SUVs and those SUV crossover contraptions that both Mercedes and BMW flog are horrible. They are the developer’s and successful drug dealers car of choice. The Mercedes wagon range look like hearses and Audi… It’s just too gay for my linking. I’m lost in a quagmire of confusion. I’m not getting a Sedan as I need the space at the back for at least one car and I have a sports.
Of course, tobacco gets a bum rap… hahaha get it.
Maserati Quattroporte
Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio
Buy this:
https://www.toyota.com.au/-/media/toyota/main-site/vehicle-hubs/mirai/files/mirai-brochure-updated_2021.pdf
Italian jobs = Oil leaks on wheels.
Audi A5 will get you sorted JC.
Oil is cheap, so are welch plugs.
Bern
In all seriousness I don’t think Australian car spaces can fit a GLE and the BMW equivs as these things are just enormous. Also, other than developers and successful drug dealers, Mainland Chinese seem to drive them.. badly.
JC says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:55 pm
How do you weight study A vs study B vs Study C and so on.
As in everything in life, “It’s complicated” The trial numbers will speak for themselves, a bigger trial will carry greater weight in the overall analysis. The difficulty arises in correcting for methodological differences, like inclusion/exclusion criteria, population studied (age, gender, co-morbidities etc..), confounders which weren’t excluded, such as pre-medications, symptom burden at enrolment etc..
Determining correction factors and the statistical analyses appropriate to the cohort concerned (there can be several in each meta-analysis) is why expert statisticians are needed.
Meta stuff needs to be carefully understood in terms of what the author is trying to do as an uncomfortable number could be used for the equivalent of push polling.
Andreas Backhaus agrees. He’s a data scientist, fairly prominent in Twitter and isn’t a dick.
Backhaus holds the correct position that the meta-analysis investigators can bias results by selection of the trials chosen for analysis, as well as modifying the data to give greater weight to a pre-determined outcome.
All true but a relatively recent trend, now often seen in Pharma-heavy trial and politically-charged issues like COVID. All the meta-analyses that “proved” Ivermectin or HCQ work were clearly highly selective and biased.
That’s not to say that they don’t work, but the agenda of the analysts was a bit too obvious.
The best place to see this is in the Methods section of the paper, the convolutions and overt BS are easily picked up by decent statisticians or clinical people who read this stuff all the time.
Recently, the use of Markov Chains and Monte-Carlo methods have gained favour, IMO this is a way to produce results that the data doesn’t show a-priori. ie. a fudge.
Pompous poodles from that monstrous mass murder capital will mince. Another Annaliese Neilsen style self administered boot to the bollocks.
Grate work, Skah – and no, I’ve not seen the ads. Taking a sledgehammer to your televisions rapidly becomes a very expensive habit.
Bluddee hell – No Fun … 🙁
The other thing that covid has ruined, I think, is the cash economy. If I’m an example of the average dude with a wallet, I’ve had the same cash in my wallet for ages as I just use the card. This would filter back to the tradies too, who adore cash. If other sectors aren’t dealing in cash, it’s in short supply so tradies suffer too.
“Dot says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:01 pm
‘Sinc’s cat was heavily Pro-Open Borders with Dot a major cheer leader for it, and pretty much 24/7 mock, ridicule & hate Australia; let any foreign devils with cash in and fuck off the useless Ocker Aussies with any love or sentimentality for their Homeland.
The last thing the people intending to take over Australia and get stonking rich on developing all Her riches, want, is basic, decent, loyalist Aussies hanging around, remembering what their ancestors fought for wasn’t for Globalist arseholes to get rich by doing what they never let Aussies do; develop their uniquely rich, glorious land to Her full potential.’
You have completely misrepresented my views and why the hell should I hang around when my rights are reduced to that of a 12th century Angevin dominated peasant?”
_________________
Where are you going to go Dot, and why are you still here?
You DO know that the very same Worldly powers giving Australia shit are Worldly powers and that they are going to pour their evils out everywhere.
At least Australia does have all it needs to be totally self sufficient, unlike some waterless rocky Greek Island, live volcano studded Italy, murderous hoards neighbouring or populated anywhere else, etc.
If they’re going to ‘turn the modern world off’, better here than the UK where thousands freeze to death each year.\, while the power’s still running.
You, JC et al spent years on Sinc’s Cat telling anyone who’d listen that Australia was a, “shit stained toilet”, and that anyone with half a brain should get the hell out.
Meanwhile, JC is still here, letting his wife go to his ‘beloved’ New York without him, while he attention whores on blogs everyday, spitting on the country he doesn’t want to share with the natives who love Her.
This was sent o me by a friend –
Comparison between the Molnupiravir and Ivermectin drugs.
He makes some interesting comparisons:
1. Different drugs, different modes of action,
2. Molnupiravir introduces transcription errors in the WZV organism which fatally mutates it.
3. Ivermectin binds to the cells the WZV organism targets and denies it entry to the bodies replication process.
4. Cost. Ivermectin per tab/course of treatment = $0.53
Molnupiravir per tab/course of treatment = $70.00
5. Although transcription error is a common way of defeating nasties, I’m not sure it’s a good way to go – after all, where do variants/antibiotic mutations come from? Some are from natural ionising radiation and other reasons, but this pathway seems to be a bit more suspect in light of the evidence before us. Between the two – both being equal – I’d prefer the site binding to the transcription error producing drug.
If someone would like to check the video, thanks.
Excellent, thanks Gilas. Really good reply. Thumbs up without a thumbs up. 🙂
This is urgent. I urge you all to reply at the link. There are some very smart people here, freedom-loving people and here’s your chance to do something.
Public consultation on Australia’s Digital Identity legislation
On 1 October 2021, the Hon. Stuart Robert MP, Minister for Employment, Workforce, Skills, Small and Family Business released the exposure draft of the Trusted Digital Identity Bill and related legislative instruments for public consultation.
They are at phase 3, which is:
The exposure draft of the Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021 and related legislative instruments, are available for your review and feedback.
Please consider providing feedback to these totalitarians.
https://www.digitalidentity.gov.au/have-your-say
Arky says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:02 pm
Lets say you’re studying the prevalence of arse cancer in North America.
But there’s a travelling salesman who doesn’t have arse cancer and who gets his kicks from signing up to every arse cancer study in every city he visits.
Now, instead of evaluating which studies have the best protocols to exclude phonies, you just add the all together.
You end up counting phoney arse cancer travelling salesman guy multiple times in your meta study.
Entirely possible, but it shouldn’t be enough to sway results if enough people are enrolled. Small studies have large error ranges, using variance, anova or Chi-squared tests. regardless of the statistical significance, they have quite limited or no utility.
“MatrixTransform says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:10 pm
[…]
Kome to Viktoria for Best Kommunist Pony Party
everybody VX’d
Riff-raff not allowed
[…]”
__________________________
🙂 an example of why JC et al keep telling people to fuck off out of Australia while they remain.
JC says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:04 pm
Out of curiosity is there such a thing as arse cancer
Anal cancer is real, rare, mostly Human Papilloma Virus-related, in the elderly or younger gays.
True, JC – I topped up mine with a $50 note last week as I’ve had $90 in the wallet for about the last 18 months.
Just in case I need to do something seriously rebellious like actually paying for something with some of the folding stuff.
Calli:
Calli, my sympathies to you in your situation.
“Only a fool remains in an untenable position.”
Lt Smith – unsung military genius.
Everything OK?
LOL
not disagreeing but the ATO is like… all your information belong us.
China calls Abbott ‘a failed and pitiful politician’ at fin rev paywalled
It generally doesn’t.
Unless the studies are closely structured so you can statistically ‘normalise’ them, you end up adding error and uncertainty into whatever conclusion you reach.
Exhibit A: the “ensemble” of climate model forecasts. Despite some models showing global cooling, some not much change at all, and others a climate Inferno of Doom, the climate disaster industry effectively averages them out – and then claims that The Science supports the resulting ‘answer’.
Not to say meta studies have no use. They certainly provide a useful window into the boundaries of the state of knowledge of the topic.
If you have studies done on a reasonably comparable basis showing diametrically opposed results, it’s open that the jury is still out. I’m not a particularly close follower, but ivermectin appears to fall into this category.
1. Maybe Mexico. Used to be Morocco but they went crazy like us over COVID.
2. It is a huge decision and my friends and family are here.
???
Who are they?
No. These places were the cradle of Western civilisation. Northern Italy, where I have heritage, is one of the richest places on earth. Italy is in the G7. Italy is very economically developed. Their exports are numerous and very “elaborately transformed”.
With stupid energy policies, we won’t have the ability to be self sufficient. In anything significant.
Who are “they”?
Have you lived west of the great divide in summer without an air con and insulation?
I’m not wrong.
Get this through your head. I am not happy about this.
This is friendly advice. Tell me why I am wrong.
We have medical apartheid. We are moving to a digital Australia card. We are perilously in debt. Parliaments have not sit for months.
We have not lost our rights like this since the Tudor and Stewart Star Chamber Courts, before this, before the signing of the Magna Carta.
I love Australia but many Australians have ruined Australia. To be honest I think the uniparty has broken their spirit. They’ve been trying for a national ID for 35+ years.
Dot – You are going perilously close to saying that certainly lifestyles are bad for men. Verboten!
I’ve had some full on 10 hole contretemps with the ATO in my time.
They are dirt.
Worse than Filth.
Even worserer than the expectorations expelled from the nostrils of a vogon subjecting you to some of their infernal f*cking poetree. 🙁
They will be administered a long overdue dose of some good ol’ HOP Time soon. 🙂
Err, why are there multiple comments here aboot some weird sexual practices, peoples?
Enough.
Never been a real fan, but last week got to drive a friend’s Merc — AMG GLE 63 S 4MATIC SUV. We’re talking 450 Killer wasps and 850 Nm. Holy cow, that thing went like shit off a shovel and stuck to the road like … umm … shit to a blanket! Despite its size, you could only describe it as nimble on the road. Drove it down Caves Road, Yallingup (nice winding road for non-Sandgropers). Brake into the corners and accelerate out of them and in a split second you were well and truly into “Good evening sir, please hand over your licence, your keys and your wallet” territory. And the bi-turbo engine rumble is just plain visceral. Of course, the price tag is a bit of a downer — as is the fuel consumption of 98 octane go-juice at 16 L per 100 km while taking it easy on the loud pedal.
Driving home in the diesel Kia was a bit of an anti-climax …
Certain, not certainly. Grr. Although certainly certain might fit. I should certainly avoid certain parts of eastern Sydney now. I don’t want to be mugged by certain leather-jacketed people.
No. They’ve been working on them for decades. Every part of it is patented, and was even before the virus was released. Remember, the vaccines were announced a day or so after the U.S. election. They were simply waiting for Trump to “lose”. The other thing to remember is that for mRNA vaccine testing over at least 2 decades, every animal died, usually from subsequent viral infections. Trump was well and truly rolled on this one.
lol
Bruce O’Newk:
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/entirety-lebanon-goes-dark-mass-power-outage-last-several-days
Wasn’t that a good idea, allowing the Palestinians into Lebanon after they’d totalled their own country -Jordan – in a civil war, then proceeded to do a rerun in the homes of the people who granted them refuge.
Stupid bloody Lebanese Christians, stupid world, that didn’t partition Jordan into a homeland for the Palestinians to shit in.
Exhibit A: the “ensemble” of climate model forecasts.
Seriously, climate scientists are paid to produce conclusion-based evidence and 3-D circulation models of chaotic gaseous systems that have no solutions.
Cannot have any solutions due to the insoluble thermodynamic differential equations they rely on.
If I recall correctly, this was known in the 1920s, when maths wasn’t racist.
All high-lethality weapons-grade BS.
Gabz – is there any reason why we should be concerned?
Otherwise, it’s just more of the same unrepentant fascist idiocy, which will be corrected by the long overdue administration of HOP Time.
No more petitions. They can read the results to us while dangling from the end of a rope.
Sorry to hear that, calli. I guess the social pressures got to be too much. I don’t know enough about your circumstances to understand why you felt compelled to surrender, but it’s sad that you had to.
I hope there are no bad effects from the jab and that you continue to divert us for a long time with your usually considered and thoughtful comments.
So… both Dot and JC are dagos.
With Tintarella, we could form a quartet.
I think Dot from limey heritage.
I thought the term was ‘wop’. Aren’t dagos Spanish?
I wouldn’t worry about the marriage. After 45 years, it’s already ruined, Calli. 🙂
Only 1/32nd Italian guys, calm down. Liguria does look great though.
“Who are ‘They’”, Dot; you really want to trot out that old chestnut?
How about the WHO, WEF, UN, EU, all the rest of the bastard Orgs telling Sovereign Nations (like the EU is telling Poland), that they have no right to make their own decisions but must bend to the will of The Global Bodies.
You DO know that only Leftist arseholes are still trying to convince people that these Globalist Entities aren’t overruling National Rights, right.
As to Morocco & Mexico; my son LOVED living in Morocco but for that little detail of his dearest friends telling him that if they have to behead him, they will, because that’s what good Muslims do and Mexico, sure, still some safe places but where there’s any sort of comfortable monied living, there’s Cartels & you don’t even have to cross them to cross them.
Still, my main point was – too many shit canning Muslims for running away to Australia instead of staying and fighting for their countries, while telling people to run away from Australia to some other place, under all the same threats from all the same worldly powers … and people wonder why Australia has slipped so easily into the hands of Her enemies.
Sorry to hear your family coercively
controlled you into getting vaccinated calli.
NSW passed laws to protect women and the elderly against such behaviour, apparently not working.
Limey is a seppo term. The expression you want is pommy bastard.
How to run an ‘Ivermectin doesn’t work’ study in 3 steps.
1. Choose critically ill hospitalised paients.
2. Give half the recommended dose.
3. For half the recommended time.
Even us Cats can’t keep ahead of this curve.
Dot, a few years ago we had a Sardinian beach holiday in late June. The Med was cold even that far south. Ligurian water would be coldish until August I reckon. However it does look good. If energy stocks put on 1 million percent, Cronkite said he was going to help me buy a mansion on Lake Cuomo. 🙂 You’re invited for the summer.
Calli, still praying for you. FWIW, I would have done the same in your situation. (Not that that’s any comfort, just that all our situations are different.)
Dot, we heard just last week that very dear friends of ours are leaving Aus. They’ve had enough and are going where they think there are enough folk who will fight against all this madness with them. We will miss them so much. Absolutely understand why some folk feel they may as well go.
Rabz, what is HOP Time, please?
After awkwardly ignoring her plight for six months the resident sewing circle of vaccinated boomer women gushing over and welcoming calli home.
Definitely not a cult.
Where is this place, Helen? I might want to go there too.
They are funded by our governments and the US. The UN convenes in New York City.
We have had a nominally conservative government since 2013 and Trump was in office for four years.
NOTHING WAS DONE TO DEAL WITH THESE JERKS. THEY WERE ENABLED MORESO.
Tell me who gets beheaded in Morocco and I will show you men in Australia raped daily in prison from false MeToo convictions and false allegations rising from Family Court shenanigans.
Melbourne has crime gangs that the government denies, we shoot unarmed protestors, arrest pregnant mothers organising peaceful protests and we have bikies openly beating/shooting each other to death in airports recently and at pubs decades ago with civilian casualties.
We’re not clean. We had the painters and dockers and now OMCGs linked to unions.
You want people to die because you are offended by them not being blindly loyal as you are to Australia.
The enemy are the people who decide to fund the UN, that is our ruling political parties.
I think Dot from limey heritage.
You have my most sincere condolescences.
It’s hard to tell if this is real or bullshit.
A rival mashup master to rival the great Bill McClintock?
Stayin’ Alive In The Wall (Pink Floyd + Bee Gees Mashup) by Wax Audio
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U13xOvDa19U
And myself.
not disagreeing but the ATO is like… all your information belong us.
Absolutely agree FP, but they’re very sincere that it “belong us”, not belong anyone else.
I hope it’s not the opposite end of the Galaxy, but we’re definitely in Foundation territory now. Some place where we can reestablish civilisation after its collapse.
Dot;
The Government and it’s tentacles in the Public Service are slowly strangling the nation, and they refuse to go on a diet.
They will kill the host before they give up one dollar of their plunder.
Despite the evidence that only reducing taxes will allow enough growth to increase the largess for them to plunder, they will not reduce their numbers.
Government is a Boa Constrictor, slowly crushing the life out of us.
Exhibit A: the “ensemble” of climate model forecasts.
Seriously, climate scientists are paid to produce conclusion-based evidence and 3-D circulation models of chaotic gaseous systems that have no solutions.
Cannot have any solutions due to the insoluble thermodynamic differential equations they rely on.
AFAIK they use approximations to the actual equations so they diverge from reality in short order (days at most). It is instructive to go to http://www.windy.com and look at the next 7 days. Then, day by day see how that day 7 looks each day compared to the next day’s prediction and watch the drift.
They use the same models but run for 50 years ahead for climate “science”. Run them lots of times and average the results. I’m not aware of any formal mathematical proof that this results in anything sensible.
BTW that fellow Manabe who just got the Nobel for this crap gave a seminar 50 years ago that my class went along to see. It was only a few years after the beginning of computer meteorology.
The vote thing is great, it shows that some of the blogs self appointed cool kids, aren’t and never were. It was all just a confidence game and favoured a few who had unlimited time to spend relentlessly tag team flooding the place with shit night and day.
Unsurprisingly they want it to go back in their favour.
youse could call it Big Parma
When you think there couldn’t be a weirder take on the response to calli’s decision than ussr’s, along comes twostix.
best anti-communist party evah
Err, whoever that was who just rang me – dinner is not going to eat itself, I tells ya! 🙂
eb – come on down! 🙂
..
It was God.
He left a message with me for you:
“Rabz, Rabz, this is God. I’m coming for you Rabz. You must repent. Rabz. Leave your motorcycle to Arky”.
“…unless it’s one of those shit BMW twins”.
Dot says:
October 10, 2021 at 7:08 pm
All correct.
The problem is the massive “friction” of emigrating, Governments interference and payola required at every turn. Maybe OK if not self-funded, as part of some large multinational company arrangement.
The selling of fixed assets for the right price can take months.. the stress.. the agents, the chancers.
Opening investment accounts internationally will bring you to the attention of Austrac and our dearest ATO, it will also require an overseas properly-certified address and other documents.
And that’s before the Byzantine Citizenship paperwork is started.
All previously considered, at length, and shelved due to the complexity, logistics and cost.
One needs to have all the planets lined up.
my old man is finally getting his aircon fixed this week.
It is on a trailer in my driveway
He told me on Friday how he heard it was gonna rain rain rain
so , while on the phone I checked windy and started clicking forward a day at a time
by day two I was already like yeah/nah/bullshit
so far, I’m righterer than them
Sacré bleu! 🙂
callis heart felt capitulation is deservedly at +30 two pages back.
A more perfect marker of sentiment couldn’t be found than the humble thumbs up.
Yeah, no, Arks. FFS.
… and yr guitar to Matrix
Rabz says:
October 10, 2021 at 7:10 pm
both Dot and JC are dagos
And myself.
Quintet time! Even allowing for the Celtic.
..
Norton Commando?
Meta-analysis are best when genuine RTC’s are compared because then they do increase the statistical power of the overall set. Otherwise, using a variety of studies, often poorly randomised if at all, the results are only ‘suggestive’.
I attended a series of statistical lectures on how to increase power, in individual studies and in meta-analyses. The statistical pirouettes possible are absolutely mind-blowing, but there is a genuine mathematics that underlies them. I couldn’t claim to have understood these completely, nor to have recalled them now even if I once did, but there is a level of serious science operating here – in some cases but definitely not in all meta-analyses you come across. They are also get so arcane they might simply carry initial errors further into the stratosphere.
I’m sure Dan will love to follow Parrothead – straight into vaccine passport territory. Parrothead has now officially introduced apartheid in NSW.
On a more serious note – who gets the beloved Strat?
Not that I’m planning on leaving this earthly realm any time soon.
can also get.
Off to my bath now. Cannae answer any more about meta-analyses and I think Gilas has done this well anyway.
what is HOP Time
We do need glossary.
It’s Heads On Pikes Time
So has Perrottet ratted already?
Oi, you!! Let’s see you do 800km in one day on any other bike and still get off and walk away upright, as the good Lord designed you.
Must be even faster than Joyce if that’s the case.
China’s Greatest Weakness | Niall Ferguson | #CLIP
I attended a series of statistical lectures on how to increase power, in individual studies and in meta-analyses. The statistical pirouettes possible are absolutely mind-blowing, but there is a genuine mathematics that underlies them.
You truly haven’t lived until you’ve had to apply a Bonferroni Correction while planning a trial.
Nice looking merc.
https://www.mercedes-benz.com/en/vehicles/passenger-cars/mercedes-maybach/revelation-of-luxury-vision-mercedes-maybach-6-cabriolet/
MT, if you’re still about, thanks for putting up that vid of Fanosthevoice interviewing Dr Peter Johnston from Rosebud; I’m now watching his interview with Graham Hood, the Qantas pilot.
That would be because it’s three years to the next election here.
And she only won the last one on the back of covid scaremongering.
Indolentsays:
October 10, 2021 at 7:40 pm
Indolent, earlier today my sister was telling me that a few small businesses in Sydney and elsewhere have decided not to open until 1 Dec because they do not want to discriminate. I think that’s wonderful! One I’ve been to quite a few times so it will be the first place I go come December 1.
It’s a pity that our elected representatives and the health arseh*les that we all pay for have no concept of what democracy and the rights of the citizen is.
Niall Ferguson | AUKUS, China, Cold War II
Zipster. Thanks on those links, just watched the first one. He’s spot on from my observations and experience of south east Asia. About to start the second one.
Zipster:
What is going on?
It’s quite simple – the wealth has been created, the industrial base is up and running, and Xi wants to stand beside the great leaders of China.
He wants to be the Mao Tse Tung of the 21st Century.
I discussed this with my son who will open up five in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow. Two out of three in the CBD have been closed since June.
He is confident that all will go well tomorrow.
..
Did Melbourne to Rockhampton in two days on this.
Zipster:
Who? HBBear?
“I discussed this with my son who will open up five in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow. Two out of three in the CBD have been closed since June.
He is confident that all will go well tomorrow.”
I hope it goes well for him P….for what it’s worth I will be at work in Sydney’s CBD. I want to support the businesses in the CBD.
five restaurants
Government is a Boa Constrictor, slowly crushing the life out of us.
Winston, that’s a liberty quote!
Cassie I hope it isn’t too busy tomorrow especially with the two restaurants that have been closed for so many months. The others have been doing take-aways (at a loss) so it will be a lot easier with those.
Sydney as you know has been a dead city for so long and need all the support from locals as it can get. It has suffered such much from lack of tourism.
Will he be asking people for their medical history on entry?
I do not think the government has the power to force businesses to do this but has them completely cowed and bamboozled. I wonder if any will simply open up and not ask.
From the “Australian.” The A.B.C. strikes again.
Zipster:
I meant to put in a reference to the “Let a Hundred Flowers Bloom…” campaign by Mao to get the intelligentsia to speak up so they could be crushed. Xi’s efforts to get the entrepreneurial to make money has two benefits – money he can take from them, and self identification of the enemies of Mao Thought.
Glad you enjoyed.
I found it frank and rather to-the-point.
The Doc too, is very Rosebud
I like that ‘cos that’s where I came from
The world I grew up in and the world I inhabit now are not the same place
I miss dirt roads and straight-talk
Yes.
The fine for businesses is $5,000 per person.
The fine for those who do not adhere to the health orders will only be fined $1,000 per person.
rosie:
They can keep it up for longer than most can resist.
P, I hope all goes well for him tomorrow.
I just feel so sad about everything that’s been happening over the last 20 months. I love Australia, but like Dot, yesterday I started thinking if we could get away should we consider it?
Then I realised that even if there was a better place than what was once the best country in the world, we can’t go anywhere because we haven’t got a vaccine passport.
We have regressed; my ancestors were convicts and now I am one too.
Calli,
thinking of you.
kindest regards,
BBS
Thanks to Gray Connolly for this
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/son-afghanistan-former-defense-minister-172358560.html
Vets and their families must be wondering what it was all for.