SA the wind-leader!

This morning on Wednesday Nov 23 South Australia is in a wind drought. The wind-leading state is demonstrating the great green future of Australia as we pretend to transition from coal.

Before sunrise SA was importing power from Victoria and drawing almost 30% of its demand from the wind, with 70% from gas, with a bit of input from diesel generators. The wind CP was 22% of installed capacity and falling.

At 8 (Sydney time) SA was still importing power and the wind was down to 7% of installed capacity, providing less than 10% of demand. The sun was starting to make a contribution but gas was still delivering almost 70% of demand.

This is the live display that shows the flows between the states. Check the Fuel Mix tab to see the contribution of different sources, not including rooftop solar because these souces are not registered generators and they are not measured accurately by AEMO.

Below is a screen shot taken about 8am. The vertical axis shows the Capacity Factor. The upper line is the picture for the NEM in total and the lower line is SA. The coloured lines are individual wind facilities. this is the live display. Check the boxes to get the various state figures.

13 thoughts on “SA the wind-leader!”

  1. Good info mate, thanks for the sites too .. there used to be a site with a map showiing the flow between states, it was a very effective visual aid (?)

    I mentioned this to a mate, his response, “nah, that can’t be right!”

    no one seems to have any idea what energy really costs or how much of their taxes are just being p*ssed away supporting the green fantasy (apart for a few that is)

    when will the reality hit? probably when everyone is trying to get an electrician to wire up their home car charger, then the one at the workplace, for every car. Car parks are going to eventually resemble old drive-in theatres with a post beside every spot with charging cables. Then people will hit the posts, get elecrocuted .. ahhh, the times we will have eh! Who gets to pay to have every supermarket car park, every public car park every parking spot in Australia wired up and then who pays for the electricity?


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  2. Imagine supporting the development of an energy sector where you literally have thousands of megawatts of supply just evaporate or appear out of thin air and thinking this is somehow a good solution.

    We are going to get more and more frequency events creating islanding like SA saw last week because of the unreliability of renewables.


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  3. I think the advocates for ‘unreliable nirvana’ should wake up to themselves
    and get the BOM to homogenise that data…or at least get some
    ‘super dooper’ computer modelling- (of Dan Andrews fame),done.

    BTW…I was talking to some people who were on a ‘green’ plan with their electricity provider.
    They very proudly stated that all their power was coming from ‘unreliables’….because ‘green plan’.
    They obviously didn’t believe me when I stated otherwise.
    Oh well, at least I may have given them reason to do a little bit of research and educate themselves.
    But then again, it might just be wishful thinking on my part.


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  4. This is an idiocracy.

    Then everyone starts running diesel gensets. This pushes up diesel price. This increase then flows into all goods and food.

    A spiral of stupidity.


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  5. The narrative is about to change. A lot of people will wake up as their power bills get bigger, the cost of the massive buildout of infrastructure blows out, nothing gets finished on time and more rural communities get in the way.

    Just keep building wind literacy and encourage people to monitor the key sources of information – the AEMO data dashboard, the NemWatch widget and the Aneroid Energy site.

    Be sure that you can clearly explain that green progress is not indicated by the high levels of wind and solar power on sunny afternoons, it is limited by the amount of wind and solar that is available on windless nights.
    And show that SA is importing between dinner and mid-morning when the CP of the wind is a bit less less than average (29%). And often enough it is below 10% that I use as the formal definition of a wind drought. Actually I think 15% might be more realistic (half of the average) and that will dramatically increase the number of droughts.


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  6. All well and true, but if this is the state of affairs now, and knowing this, the politicians still pushing for more EVs and renewables, who is advising them and why?


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  7. Be sure that you can clearly explain that green progress is not indicated by the high levels of wind and solar power on sunny afternoons, it is limited by the amount of wind and solar that is available on windless nights.

    Imagine competing on price with the CCP when domestic business can’t run anything on night shift.


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  8. Willie Soon knows his stuff and is on top of the climate change fraud.

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/11/19/willie-soon-speaks-at-the-university-of-chicago/
    Soon’s key points:

    Given the daily, seasonal, and annual range of temperatures around the Earth, the warming of the past 125 years is trivial.
    Except for ENSO variations, the global average surface temperature has hardly changed in over 20 years.
    Willie humorously dismantles the article on him in Wikipedia and Gavin Schmidt’s criticisms, these slides are worth the download!
    Willie plugs the article he wrote with 23 co-authors entitled: “How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere Temperature trends? An ongoing debate.” Seriously, this is probably the best climate change article written in the last thirty years in my humble opinion, I refer to it all the time. The bibliography alone is worth it. If you never read another climate article in your life, you should read this one. Download it here.
    He destroys the Mercury pollution nonsense that is permeating the media. Possible spoiler, don’t drink Coca Cola!
    Is it air pollution or weather?


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