
Slowly slowly these timid gerbils are starting to speak up… Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry calls for ‘realistic’ renewables…
Slowly slowly these timid gerbils are starting to speak up… Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry calls for ‘realistic’ renewables…
Hey Dover, did you see this? The New England Journal of Medicine just identified a brand-new illness: SRDS—Sudden Russian Death…
Vinegar Tits and Pretty-boy are stymied. The Nosferatu Nurses refuse to be interviewed by NSWaffen. What can we do now?…
Wonder how big the impact in Finance will be. Most valuations can be mechanized if it already isn’t. A lot…
Don’t learn to code.
Long post but necessary:
Via Harry Richardson and the price of silver:
In the meantime, here’s today’s article. It’s about the experience of trying to buy large amounts of silver from the banks via certificates with a promise of 5 day delivery. This is relevant because London’s LBMA is currently out of gold with a 6 week (as opposed to the normal few days) delivery time.
The Sprott Silver Saga by Kevin Bambrough
During my tenure at Sprott (2002-2013), we had accumulated a significant position in silver in the 2005-2007 period. This was done via top tier bullion bank certificates that promised 5-day delivery. These weren’t small positions – we’re talking about substantial tonnage that was supposedly safely stored and readily available. What unfolded next exposed a troubling reality about the paper silver market and I believe led to the huge run in silver that followed as it ultimately ran to its all-time high in nominal terms.
When we decided to take delivery, what should have been a routine 5-day process turned into a nine-month odyssey of excuses and misdirection. We had strategically contracted to store our silver in Canada’s government mint refinery and storage facility – ironically, the same facility that had been emptied when Canada foolishly sold off all its gold and silver reserves. The vaults were empty, waiting for our silver.
At first, our counterparties claimed it was merely a logistical issue. Then the excuses began:
When I demanded bar numbers for our inventory purposes, we were met with weeks of silence and more excuses. Our legal position was frustrating – our lawyers advised that we couldn’t effectively sue because what damages could we claim? Missing out on “the enjoyment of looking at our silver bars” wasn’t exactly a compelling legal argument. Meanwhile, silver prices kept climbing.
The truth became clear: our counterparties had taken our money and likely just bought futures contracts. They never had the physical silver. This situation likely trigger the 2006-2010 silver rally and foretells what will likely occur again soon.
The reality is over many decades bullion banks have been caught repeatedly manipulating commodity markets. When squeezes start due to actual physical demand they engage in unethical conduct delaying their deliveries to buy themselves time. They likely get aggressive in outer month futures contracts to cover their asses and probably even ultimately profit from the rise they expect they will be causing as they slow walk their promised deliveries of material. Along the way they rely on margin requirements to be increased and profit taking to occur by speculators that don’t have the market insights the banks do. Finally, after they’ve positioned themselves net long via the futures market they let the price rip.
The Modern Silver Market
Today’s silver market is facing unprecedented pressures. Beyond traditional industrial uses, we’re seeing explosive growth in:
But here’s what makes this time different: we’re on the cusp of a robotics revolution. From home cleaning robots to industrial automation and autonomous mining equipment, the coming wave of automation will require massive amounts of silver for solid state batteries and electronics. Add in the growing energy storage needs for wind and solar power, and we’re looking at structural demand that dwarfs anything we’ve seen before.
Historical Perspective
Silver has always been considered “poor man’s gold,” but history shows its potential for explosive moves. The French learned this lesson the hard way when silver left their country and their currency was no longer backed – leading to economic chaos. The inflation-adjusted highs from the 1970s would equate to over $200/oz today, and I believe we’ll not only test but exceed those levels.
Why This Time Is Different
The coming silver bull market will be unprecedented for several reasons:
When the market finally breaks, we’ll likely see exchanges failing to deliver physical silver, forcing cash settlements. This will drive people to seek physical metal, creating a self-reinforcing cycle. Just like in the 1970s, we’ll see panic buying silver coins and bars. But, this cycle people wont be lining up in the streets. We will see the “sold out” signs appear globally on bullion selling websites.
The Perfect Storm
Unlike previous bull markets, today we have:
The Bottom Line
The lesson from my Sprott days remains crystal clear – when you really need delivery, paper promises can prove worthless. In a market this tight, physical possession isn’t just nine-tenths of the law – it’s everything. The coming silver squeeze will likely make our previous delivery issues look minor in comparison.
The winning is a bit much.
It’s like a snowball rolling down a hill, it’s getting bigger and bigger, and rolling faster and faster.
And honestly, i need a nap, a couple of Panadols and maybe just a little bit of valium.
The NOAH investigation into corruption of the Global Warming Scam is one step too far for me – I’m getting giddy.
Deputy Public Policy Editor at Open the Books Rachel O’Brien says the Federal Register lists 451 agencies, 75 of which are defunct and obsolete.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ZpWvB5VCQQ