Wombat does energy policy


Real or surreal?

A headline in a daily newspaper recently announced Australia’s “carbon cut challenge just got real.

This is the move to require 215 “big polluters” to cut their emissions by some 5% each year to 2030 to help meet the 43% emission reduction program.

The path to a 43 per cent emission reduction by 2030 appears achievable and economists believe Bowen’s price signal for the industrial sector will help businesses achieve this in a cost-efficient way.

Unbelievably (actually, true to form) the Business Council is fully supportive.

In the harsh light of engineering reality this move is simply surreal, like the whole “decarbonisation” process itself. Face the facts, spelled out by Mark Mills, worldwide the transition has hit the wall – decades of time and trillions of spending have reduced the fossil fuel component of total energy use from 84% to 82%. See here for a short and graphic account.

In Australia, we are one coal station closure from the brink of disaster, demonstrated by the crisis in June which will become chronic.

As for getting tough with the “big polluters”, this will undermine the productivity of industry just when we most need to increase it. It will inflate costs and put an end to unsubsidized investment in new industries that depend on affordable power.

The report ended with a comment that the net zero aspiration would appear to be impossible with existing technology . This should have been the headline, not an afterthought in the past para. This looks like an insurance policy to cover himself when the ponzi scheme collapses. Does he have inside information?

What will his editor say? More research required.

To be clear about the lunacy of the net zero ambition, check out the Basic Information Package from the Energy Realists of Australia.


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Roger
Roger
January 17, 2023 8:08 am

Unbelievably the Business Council is fully supportive.

Unbelievable?

From their mission statement:

‘The Business Council champions the role that responsible businesses play in generating sustainable economic growth and advocate for policy settings that are in the national interest.’

Bruce
Bruce
January 17, 2023 8:26 am

It is, and has only EVER been about the “spillage”.

The “loose cash” sloshing about, ALL of it stolen at government gun-point from the “punters”.

The arrogance and contempt in these “final solutions” to an ill-defined, probably non-existent problem, is deliberate provocation .as are virtually ALL government “initiatives”.

They WANT people to get angry and occasionally “lose the plot”, because that justifies further grinding or smashing them into the dirt, accompanied by carefully-selected video on the nightly “news”.

It is a symbiotic relationship, as it is the “churnalists” who initiate the “narrative” in the first place.

Tom
Tom
January 17, 2023 8:55 am

The author, John Kehoe, ended with a comment that the net zero aspiration would appear to be impossible with existing technology . This should have been the headline, not an afterthought in the past para.

The AFR is Groupthink Central, the fashion accessory that corporate road warriors use to advertise to other road warriors their compliance with the latest groupthink.

Never mind that the groupthink gleefully complies with Marx’s posthumous ambition to destroy the free market, which in Australia means using renewables to destroy manufacturing industry and drive it into the arms of the Chinese Communist Party, which is laughing all the way to the bank at the self-destructive stupidity of Western “capitalists”, who turn out to be communism’s most valuable useful idiots.

Needless to say, there is not a single journalist on the AFR staff who is not on board with Marx’s ambition to destroy capitalism, from communist cartoonist David Rowe to the journalism factory fodder on the shop floor.

When he joined the staff a decade ago, AFR editor-in-chief Michael Stutchbury huffed about wanting to break stories and set the agenda. It took about three years for the dominant AFR culture to eat and own him like the rest of the staff-collective-controlled former Fairfax empire and he’s now just one of the gang, the AFR’s most celebrated useful idiot.

jupes
jupes
January 17, 2023 9:04 am

Unbelievably the Business Council is fully supportive.

Says it all. Like the Liberal Party, these clowns are well past their use-by date.

duncanm
duncanm
January 17, 2023 9:10 am

Net zero is completely achievable by Australian industry.

… then people will wonder why there is no industry in Australia.

thefrollickingmole
thefrollickingmole
January 17, 2023 9:13 am

The author, John Kehoe, ended with a comment that the net zero aspiration would appear to be impossible with existing technology .

So close down.
Start mining/smelting/farming for unicorns
Lie
Suck gubbiment arse for exemptions.
Pay spivs to plant trees and erect eco-crucifixes.

This is what happens when lawyers believe they can bend reality/cancel physics/ defeat the god of the copybook headings by passing laws.
https://www.kiplingsociety.co.uk/poem/poems_copybook.htm
In the Carboniferous Epoch we were promised abundance for all,
By robbing selected Peter to pay for collective Paul;
But, though we had plenty of money, there was nothing our money could buy,
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: “If you don’t work you die.”

Then the Gods of the Market tumbled, and their smooth-tongued wizards withdrew
And the hearts of the meanest were humbled and began to believe it was true
That All is not Gold that Glitters, and Two and Two make Four
And the Gods of the Copybook Headings limped up to explain it once more.

As it will be in the future, it was at the birth of Man
There are only four things certain since Social Progress began.
That the Dog returns to his Vomit and the Sow returns to her Mire,
And the burnt Fool’s bandaged finger goes wabbling back to the Fire;

And that after this is accomplished, and the brave new world begins
When all men are paid for existing and no man must pay for his sins,
As surely as Water will wet us, as surely as Fire will burn,
The Gods of the Copybook Headings with terror and slaughter return!

rickw
rickw
January 17, 2023 11:09 am

Unbelievably the Business Council is fully supportive.

Not unbelievable.

This is yet a further evolution of Australian Fascism.

Government and Corporation are fully aligned in their mission to absolutely impoverish you.

Boxcar
Boxcar
January 17, 2023 11:15 am

Let’s not kid ourselves, the grifters all know it’s a grift.
They know ZERO is not achievable, even that climate change doesn’t exist.
Planet Algorithm is only saveable in a computer.
And, if ZERO was achievable, they would eventually run out of revenue, and that ain’t going to happen.
So, just as they have since we were running out of oil in the 70’s, they will move the goalposts.
Like the Hole in the Ozone layer, everyone who could read, knew it was cyclic. Last week the grifters announced they had saved it. Argue that!!!

Angus Black
Angus Black
January 17, 2023 12:01 pm

The Business Council simply don’t care – provided always that the lunacy is mandated?

Locally, prices will rise to cover costs – because no competitor can do otherwise. Internationally…well, even more impetus to “right-shore” (which also gets you out of restrictive Australian labour laws).

And a great big Green Tick from the Woke, to boot.

Who loses? The Australian people, of course, but hey, they can’t do anything about it.

Tommbell
Tommbell
January 17, 2023 12:09 pm

There will be no popular uprising so long as taxes fund government bribes and handouts. Australians are like that in the modern era. Ironically coal probably is one of the biggest contributors to government coffers. The day when there’s no one left to tax is still a way off. So I expect this madness to continue.

Charles Rasp
Charles Rasp
January 17, 2023 2:59 pm

“The author, John Kehoe, ended with a comment that the net zero aspiration would appear to be impossible with existing technology . This should have been the headline, not an afterthought in the past para.”
I read the AFR for various reasons, one being to see what the Fairfax Left and fellow travellers think about the world (painful but necessary), another because there is still some quality economics reporting and information amongst the elitist drivel. That comment by Kehoe really stuck out like dogs balls. Why was it there and why wasn’t it edited out? It certainly isn’t part of the permitted narrative. The progressive left doesn’t do doubt, they only do unsubstantiated conviction.

It’s one of a few very obvious expressions of nervousness about the viability of net zero and Labor’s disastrous energy plans from the climate catastrophist adjunct in the press and commentariat recently. Another came a few months ago from former chair of the Energy Security Board Kerry Schott, when she cautioned that ditching fossil fuels too quickly would jeopardise NEM reliability. Chief Victorian Electrical Engineer Dan Andrews was obviously not listening.

They know it cannot be done, at least not the way they have championed and cheered for. They know it, but cannot extricate themselves from their entrenched ideological narrative. They’re getting nervous, very nervous. What if it doesn’t work? What if we have blackouts? What if the unexpected high price if renewables energy makes our lives miserable? What will happen if the semi-nationalisation of the gas industry widens? Will there be tar and feathering?

Kehoe didn’t want to draw attention to himself, he snuck that hint of skepticism in at the end to start covering his arse, but not in the headline where it might draw too much attention.

Like I say, they’re getting nervous. And they have every reason to be.

Kneel
Kneel
January 17, 2023 3:35 pm

“Groupthink Central”

I support the latest thing – whatever that is.
Hey, I still get my tuna safe dolphin meat for lunch… you how hard THAT is to get?

Plasmamortar
Plasmamortar
January 17, 2023 6:19 pm

Even if we had the technology for net zero, all our so called ‘gainz’ would be offset by our very common bushfire events.

No idea how much CO2 they produce, but I’m sure it’s a lot…

Rabz
January 17, 2023 7:14 pm

The path to a 43 per cent emission reduction by 2030 appears achievable and economists believe Bowen’s price signal for the industrial sector will help businesses achieve this in a cost-efficient way

Barely seven years away and don’t be surprised if labore are still in government federally.

Stupidity and insanity on stilts.

Bazinga
Bazinga
January 17, 2023 7:20 pm

It’s entirely possible Bowen has the lowest IQ in this country

Michael Spencer
Michael Spencer
January 17, 2023 10:00 pm

Perhaps a few readers might risk checking something that I’ve assembled about the climate FRAUD, in the hope that this might help to get through to some of our propagandised Youth.

This is the ‘introduction to an introduction’ with quite a few optional side-bits, all leading to the technology that will “fix” the supposed “problem” of ‘carbon [sic] pollution’. (http://www.galileomovement.com.au/media/SaveThePlanet.pdf – Oh look! “Galileo”! Wasn’t he some sort of a nut case that the ‘scientific experts’ of his day said was “Off with the fairies!” (Hmmm….. I wonder how that turned out?)

I’ve tried to make it so people can get introduced to the technology gently and without technicalities which tend to ‘switch off’ Mr & Ms Average – and with a bit of [instructive] humour here and there …..

Simple Simon
Simple Simon
January 18, 2023 3:23 am

Rafe
Your link to the Basic Information Package returns the following:

404 – Not found
We searched the space, but we couldn’t find the page you’re looking for.

I would be interested in reading the package, if possible.

duncanm
duncanm
January 18, 2023 9:07 am

.. and that’s not even mentioning the near doubling of electricity supply which will be required if the dream of electric transport comes about.

Boxcar
Boxcar
January 18, 2023 1:43 pm

Oldie but a Goodie
Here is a list of businesses missing from green electorates/councils:
abattoirs
power stations all classes
farms both cropping and grazing
grower shed
piggeries
stables
mines – all classes
smelters
other mineral processing facilities
quarries
solar farms
wind farms
airports
ports
truck stops
logging
orchards

Kneel
Kneel
January 18, 2023 3:17 pm

“and that’s not even mentioning the near doubling of electricity supply which will be required if the dream of electric transport comes about.”

Closer to triple.

yarpos
yarpos
January 19, 2023 10:25 am

They have no plan; just more government by wishful thinking. The will be puzzled (like researchers looking at sudden deaths) when it inevitably falls apart. Then the search for scapegoats will be trotted out and of course the all time failed manager phrase about the “perfect storm of events” that worked against their otherwise genius plan.

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