
Epidemiological week 39, ending 2 October 2021
Interpretation: In the current outbreak from 16 June 2021, people aged under 40 are over-represented among the cases, relative to their proportion in the NSW population. Under-representation among older groups may be due to vaccination programs targeted towards elderly and aged care residents.
Yeah, well I guess that is the one ‘interpretation’ that supports the narrative.
The other interpretation, and the far more likely one, is that people under 50 represent a greater proportion of the ‘essential’ workers who were (and are) out and about being exposed to the virus, keeping our society operating. I’d add to that, that they are far more likely to have children living with them to whom to spread the virus (see the 0-9 & 10-19 figures).
I’ll be kind and just suggest that NSW Health could do with expanding their thinking and offer a number of the more likely interpretations.
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