1,812 thoughts on “Open Thread – Tues 3 May 2022”

  1. Ed Casesays:
    May 6, 2022 at 6:32 pm
    My point is, if you live in Coeur d’Alane, Idaho or Milton, Vermont, then you have almost nothing to worry about regarding crime.
    Was that your point?
    Here’s a few facts about Couer d’Alene:

    There were 20,219 housing units at an average density of 1,298.6 per square mile (501.4/km2). The racial makeup of the city was 93.8% White, 0.4% African American, 1.2% Native American, 0.8% Asian, 0.1% Pacific Islander, 0.9% from other races, and 2.8% from two or more races. Hispanic or Latino of any race were 4.3% of the population.

    0.4% African American [201 African Americans], compared to a Nationwide average of 13% [45 million African Americans].

    Do you realise that you are actually supporting Dot’s point?


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  2. It’s not just that the Liberals at the level of principle are trash, even at the level of practice, they are appallingly inept. I don’t know what the answer is now. Letting it die will create space for one or other minor party to become the alternative to Labor but I’m not sure I’d like any of the current ones as the alternative. Alternatively, you could institute a grassroots effort to take over the direction of the Libs but this would require a level of leadership and discipline at the state and federal level that I don’t see anywhere at the moment. Is there a single Lib state apparatus that is the least worst that could potentially lead the party back to some semblance of principled and prudent conservatism?

    Let it burn.


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  3. Kunckle Dragger:

    Two million men or more all doing stuff at the same time. The logistics would have been horrifying.

    Yes.
    Yes, they were.
    I’ve forgotten where I read it, but after the war Zhukov? remarked his ability to move 50 Divisions of the High Command Reserve 1000 Km north and south in a week was the secret of quite a few of his successes. The Germans just could not keep up.


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  4. Any more of this and Putin is goneski!

    I suspect there will be
    And I will execute great vengeance on them with furious rebukes; and they shall know that I am the …, when I lay My vengeance upon them. before that happens.


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  5. Ed Casesays:
    May 6, 2022 at 6:51 pm
    but we’ll also consult with the agricultural sector about the issues around live sheep export.”

    Labor has only one issue:

    So you no longer believe that compulsory vaccination is going to happen? And hordes of asylum seekers will be turned back from our shores?

    All so AnAl can shut down live exports instead?


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  6. Winston Smith says:
    May 6, 2022 at 7:35 pm

    Indeed. And I agree with Keith For wheels where he says: It is a human tragedy of epic proportions. All the high tech weapons will not count for anything in the end, it will just prolong the agony and waste more lives on all sides. The whole thing is an obscenity.

    And it could have been avoided. As I have previously posted on a couple of occasions, this conflict was foreseen, envisioned, forecast…… every man and his dog knew it would come to this. Maybe we didn’t know when, but we knew for fvcking certain it was inevitable given the trajectory of the past 30 years.

    Now that it has happened, nobody seems to want to talk about de-escalation. Nah, stuff that, just give those ‘Ukies’ some more weapons and tell ’em their doing a great job. We’re behind them all the way. (Just don’t tell ’em we’re prepared to fight to the last drop of Ukrainian blood – that might spook ’em.)

    It didn’t have to be like this.


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  7. Just because the military action hasn’t gone to plan doesn’t mean we can be ‘cocky’ and dismiss Russia as a spent force.

    Time favours Putin. Russia can withstand sanctions for years. The only deadline for him is to hold all of Ukraine by late 2023, when Ukrainian elections are next due. He is in no rush, and can take his time.

    Ukraine only has until the West gets bored with the issue. The West bores easily. Sorry Zelenskyy, we are talking about abortion now.


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  8. Given his manifest failure to win a conventional war, I think it’s getting more likely that Putin will try to launch a nuke at Ukraine. The problem for him is:
    -If it goes off, regardless of whether there is a NATO counter-strike, his entire regime are confined to Russia for their rest of their lives and all overseas assets of Russian citizens seized, at a minimum. Permanent ban on Russian immigration to the West. Most likely Russia will have no access to foreign currency or banking at all for a generation.
    -If it doesn’t go off, it’s even more dangerous for Putin himself (immediate coup and shot in the back of the head) and the regime: there is now no conventional or nuclear deterrent against any country on Russia’s borders.


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  9. The only deadline for him is to hold all of Ukraine by late 2023, when Ukrainian elections are next due.

    lol they aren’t taking let alone holding all of Ukraine with less than 100 battalions.


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  10. Didn’t realise gorillas liked peanut butter.
    They don’t.
    Gorillas are Insectivores, they rip bark off trees to get at the grubs underneath.


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  11. Putin may as well tear up the Test Ban Treaty and do an underground nuke test. That would concentrate western minds when they are convinced his nukes actually work. Are people certain the West’s nukes work? Been a long time since a test. They are using computer simulations now, bit like the Global Warming bullshit.


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  12. Dot:

    Back to armies, I always thought a regiment at full strength could be anything from a few companies to a brigade in a Commonwealth nation.

    Don’t quote me on this, but I understood the Brigade was the smallest Independent Formation that could deploy a combined arms group as a regular formation.
    Here’s the Australian Army Order of Battle.
    If you look at 1st Division, it’s made up of 1 armoured Regiment, 2 Infantry Regiments, 1 Engineer Regiment, 1 Artillery Regiment, 1 Signals Regiment and 1 combat support battalion.
    Hope that gives you an idea of what we are currently doing.


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  13. 2dogs says:
    May 6, 2022 at 8:04 pm
    Time favours Putin. Russia can withstand sanctions for years.

    Yep, I agree, but meanwhile the death toll and misery mounts.

    Ukraine only has until the West gets bored with the issue. The West bores easily. Sorry Zelenskyy, we are talking about abortion now.

    haha. God knows that’s true. The issue will continue to slip down the news hierarchy……unless DaFisk is right: I think it’s getting more likely that Putin will try to launch a nuke at Ukraine.

    But that such a thought could even be suggested on a blog is obscene. (no offense Fisky). Using nuclear weapons – seriously?! Where? Kyiv? Lyiv? Both? And then what? NATO respond which will guarantee an escalation? (say goodnight folks ‘cos then we’re all fvcked.)


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  14. Frank:

    Didn’t realise gorillas liked peanut butter.

    I initially went through an entire menagerie of animals to fit the situation:
    .1 The lion enclosure with a steak on his head,
    .2 The Chimp cage with a banana up his freckle,
    .3 The Killer Whale pool in a penguin suit,
    Then I realised gorillas are largely vegetarian. So, peanut butter.


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  15. 2dogs says:
    May 6, 2022 at 8:04 pm

    Time favours Putin. Russia can withstand sanctions for years. The only deadline for him is to hold all of Ukraine by late 2023, when Ukrainian elections are next due. He is in no rush, and can take his time.

    I doubt that “all of Ukraine” is his objective, Putin most likely wants to secure the south and eastern ethnic Russian provinces and not advance further. If he tries to hold western Ukrainian land, he’ll have an ongoing partisan war to deal with.


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  16. Dot, I’m back from the shops – that was a bit of an ordeal, I managed to snag the last few four packs of tonic water in town (supply chain issues = shortage of essentials, i.e. tonic water)
    Do you still need me to explain the difference between a Company & a Corps? or a Captain & a Colonel?
    Surely someone far more adept at explaining the military formations of the beetroot soup slurpers has stepped in & clarified things?


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  17. Old Bloke

    If he tries to hold western Ukrainian land, he’ll have an ongoing partisan war to deal with.

    It took Stalin the better part of six years to suppress the last Ukrainian partisan war.


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  18. Ross Fitzgerald has a great article on Quadrant Online concerning the fake Teal independents. Writes a bit about the seat of Fowler and the worthy candidates of Vietnamese heritage. Of course, since Vietnam was mentioned, Pavlov’s Dog from Toowoomba started salivating in the comments.


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  19. Who leaked Scotus?

    Will Chamberlain
    @willchamberlain
    Meet Elizabeth Deutsch. She’s currently a law clerk for Justice Breyer.

    And, in my humble opinion, she’s the most likely person to have leaked the draft Supreme Court opinion in Dobbs, purporting to overturn Roe v. Wade.

    https://twitter.com/willchamberlain/status/1521685968939630592

    Why does he think that?

    Will Chamberlain
    @willchamberlain
    ·
    May 4
    Here’s where things start to get interesting. Every law student has to write a note – a long legal research paper, usually making a novel argument about the law.

    Elizabeth Deutsch wrote hers about reproductive rights and abortion.

    And

    She clerked for a stridently pro-choice appellate judge.

    And it just so happens that her husband is a journalist, who shared bylines with Josh Gerstein at Politico, and it looks like they are still buds.

    I guess it wasn’t Roberts. 🙂


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  20. Albonayzee explodes at j’ismists and insists “I’m in charge, I tells ya” as he’s smashed with questions about whether he REALLY has the ticker to be PM: “You can’t stand up to us, how can you to China?”

    Total narrative fail, gathering its own momentum.

    Which side can score the most own goals between now and the 21st? Stay tuned, peoples, the bottom of the barrel scraping has barely even started … 😕


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  21. ZURICH, May 5 (Reuters) – Over 500 kg (1,102 lb) of cocaine estimated to be worth more than 50 million Swiss francs ($50.65 million) have been found in a container of coffee bean bags for Nestle’s (NESN.S) Nespresso factory in Romont in western Switzerland, the cantonal police said on Thursday.

    Police were informed on Monday night by Nespresso that staff had found an undefined white substance while unloading bags of coffee beans that had just arrived from Brazil, the police said in a statement. Analyses showed the substance was cocaine. “The substance in question did not come into contact with any of our products or production equipment used to make our products,” Nespresso said in an emailed statement.

    “As a police investigation is underway, we cannot share more details. We want to reassure consumers that all our products are safe to consume,” the maker of single-serve coffee capsules said.


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  22. Doocy: “These activists posted a map with the home addresses of the Supreme Court justices. Is that the sort of thing this President wants?”

    Psaki: “I think the President’s view is that there is a lot of passion.”

    A “lot of passion”
    What we should be hearing is lotsa references to “National Guard” and “US Marshalls” and “20 years in Leavenworth”.. etc etc


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  23. Given his manifest failure to win a conventional war, I think it’s getting more likely that Putin will try to launch a nuke at Ukraine.

    No, what is far more likely is that the alphabet agencies and the military complex will launch a false flag nuclear attack in Ukraine to influence/distract from the midterm elections and as an excuse to attack Russia directly. If it does happen and it’s in the Donbass you can bet it’s not by Russia. I don’t believe there is anything they would stop at.


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  24. Russia isn’t the west, losing a few ships won’t worry Putin. A few admirals might be for the high jump though. Can’t see them escalating to nukes. If it turns out to be true that the US has been helping target the Russian ships, that could get conventionally ugly though.


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  25. Can’t see them escalating to nukes

    Until they do.

    I’m still hoping Putin nukes Washington when Biden is there. And a small one on Canberra, please. It would improve both places beyond recognition. The politicians might not like it, but they’d be dead. The ppl of both countries would be eternally grateful.


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  26. Who leaked Scotus?

    Will Chamberlain
    @willchamberlain
    Meet Elizabeth Deutsch. She’s currently a law clerk for Justice Breyer.

    The left have got away with everything so far. If she did it and gets no punishment it’s all over.


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  27. Elon has put together a cap table for twitter that combines parties that haven’t hunted together since they seeded facebook.
    The retards will focus on Qatar & the Saudi’s rolling their equity.
    That aint the story.


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  28. It’s fascinating how political fault lines change.
    While Hillary was getting Wall Street money, Obama was getting funded by Silicon Valley.
    Now those guys who bankrolled Obama in 2008 have split again with a chunk banking Elon & a chunk backing Thiel with another chunk in deep with the deep state & Biden.


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  29. Do you still need me to explain the difference between a Company & a Corps? or a Captain & a Colonel?

    This should be entertaining given you confused me with someone else and didn’t explain or object to anything else.


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  30. Given his manifest failure to win a conventional war, I think it’s getting more likely that Putin will try to launch a nuke at Ukraine.

    Why would he do that?

    “His” (Dugin’s) rhetoric considers Ukraine as part of Russia. Would you nuke Adelaide to reintegrate it into a glorious Australian Empire?


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  31. Are you looking for a really, really – and I mean, really – dumb take on the war in Ukraine? Look no further:

    Russian military situation deteriorating, strikes inside Russia, and arrival of game-changing equipment from the West

    Some pretty damn huge calls there, Paul. Some of those cheques you’ve written are going to need to be cashed really soon.

    Hope he’s good for it.

    As an aside, you’d think a “professional writer since 2000” would understand the importance of citing their sources.


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