Weather telling a climate tale


The hurricane season in the United States goes from June to November. Prior to Hurricane Ian, the season had been “remarkably quiet.” Strange business when climate change is roaring about causing havoc to human populations; and goodness knows how our cousins the animals are faring. Dying out, like polar bears, I would guess.

Hurricane Ian was at category 4 when it hit the Florida coast. That’s powerful among hurricanes, which are measured on a scale of one to five. Undoubtedly climate change is reasserting itself, as true believers in anthropogenic global warming knew it would.

Counting Ian, the ten most powerful hurricanes to hit the US coastline, according to one source I found, started in 1893 with a category 4 hurricane, The Cheniere Caminada, which hit Louisiana. I don’t know, but maybe a powerful hurricane or two hit in the centuries before? Be that as it may, five out of the ten identified occurred before 1970 and five afterwards. The deadliest by far was the Galveston hurricane of 1900. Eight thousand people died.

Where does this leave us? Well, if you choose to believe in statistics, evidence and facts, it’s hard to show that climate change has had any effect at all on the frequency or intensity of hurricanes. For example, a comprehensive recent study by Italian scientists led by Gianluca Alimonti, from the Italian National Institute for Nuclear Physics and the University of Milan, found no evidence that extreme weather events, including flooding, droughts and hurricanes, were increasing in their frequency or intensity. This, of course, more or less echoes Shellenberger, Koonin, Lomborg among others.

Still, statistics, evidence and facts are one thing, feelings another. And, feelings must be respected. Most of the mainstream news media and many progressive politicians and commentators know instinctively, primevally, gut-wrenchingly, spiritually even, what the dire wages of burning fossil fuels looks like when they see it. Amen to that.


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Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
September 29, 2022 4:59 pm

But-but-but the Democrats tell us they can stop hurricanes if only we do what they say!

Vote Democrat and stop HURRICANES, says Sen. Amy Klobuchar, before touting Biden’s record on climate change (28 Sep)

Surely they wouldn’t lie?

WolfmanOz
September 29, 2022 6:17 pm

I recall reading a while ago that one of the main reasons for people’s perception in regards to supposed increasing severe weather incidents is that almost everyone is carrying a smart phone videoing the incidents, whereas 20+ years ago it was solely dependent on TV news crews, if they even got there.

Not scientific but I see the point.

rosie
rosie
September 29, 2022 7:09 pm
Jannie
Jannie
September 29, 2022 11:46 pm

Well there is a pattern. Every year the predictions get worse. They predict worse outcomes, and the predictive accuracy gets worse.

rosie
rosie
September 30, 2022 2:18 am
NoFixedAddress
NoFixedAddress
September 30, 2022 4:02 am

Jannie says:
September 29, 2022 at 11:46 pm

LOL

Random walks!

caveman
caveman
September 30, 2022 8:03 am

The Earth is about 4.54 ± 0.05 billion years.(source interwebs)
Yeah, climate change.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
September 30, 2022 8:14 am

The damage caused by Ian is nasty, but the photos show it fortunately wasn’t as bad as Cyclone Tracy. Very bad though, and I’m sad for the poor people affected.

Paul Homewood today has a look at whether it really had sustained winds of 150 mph:

Hurricane Ian (29 Sep)

Typically 940 MB storms [like Ian] have wind speeds of about 115 Kts. … Two of of the most intense hurricanes to hit the US had much lower pressure than Ian, but were estimated at the time to have no stronger winds than Ian this week … Curiously the only other hurricane to buck this is Laura in 2020, with a central pressure of 939 MB and 130 Kt winds. Other than Laura, 130 Kt and over winds have not appeared in any storm with more than 934 MB pressure.

Looks awfully like there’s more than just monetary inflation going on. I wonder why they would want to make it seem worse than it was? It’s a mystery.

wal1957
wal1957
September 30, 2022 8:56 am

Still, statistics, evidence and facts are one thing, feelings another. And, feelings must be respected.

It’s not just “feelings” with these ratbags, it’s a religion . All religions rely on faith or belief.
That is why the gerbil warming scam has survived so long. They refuse to acknowledge the facts, otherwise their religious beliefs are a fraud.

Big_Nambas
Big_Nambas
September 30, 2022 1:31 pm

I love CO2, I love global warming!

I love a greening planet!

But most of all I love laughing at all the fuckwits who believe in man made climate change!

another ian
another ian
September 30, 2022 2:04 pm
rickw
rickw
September 30, 2022 5:41 pm

The deadliest by far was the Galveston hurricane of 1900

I can’t remember exactly where I was near Galveston, but there was a park that had some very low structures coming out of the ground. Apparently the tops of cemetery memorials. The cemetery had metres of mud dumped over it by the Galveston Hurricane.

Hasbeen
Hasbeen
October 1, 2022 12:08 am

The same overstating of cyclone strength is happening in Oz.

I have been through a number of cyclones, including Ada in the Whitsunday area of Queensland. We didn’t get the worst of it, something under 100 knots, probably about 90 knots. My most vivid memory of that one is coming out to find EVERY tree completely stripped of leaves. There was not a leaf to be seen apart from great drifts of them in sheltered places.

A few coconut palms were stripped completely, & many were broken off above half height, & many others blown over. Today when we get reports of cat 4 cyclones I look at the trees in news reports & know the reported wind speed is utter garbage, simply by the lack of damage to the flora, & the number of leaves still on the trees.

NoFixedAddress
NoFixedAddress
October 1, 2022 9:24 pm

Stop using oil, gas and coal and watch civilization.

  1. End of play for Reynolds’ defamation action : My Truth, + Sick Grandfather Inspiration, + Fecunditee. Give up now.

  2. Anyone awake, wanting to watch great tennis, should be on Ch9 Wimbledon. Djokovic struggling against Alcaraz, but still showing why…

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