
Monty said: The court did not find that she is not a Nazi. It found that Pesutto defamed her because…
Monty said: The court did not find that she is not a Nazi. It found that Pesutto defamed her because…
@WCdispatch_ BREAKING: Newly Confirmed Secretary of Education, Linda McMahon, within minutes of being confirmed launches “Final Mission” of the Department…
The price you pay for making people think. It’s hurties.
Bern In reality, Europe has always been a hotbed of instability. About the only time it was stable was for…
QE II rightly engendered respect, and for Brits, love. But her blind spot was her first born. She cossetted him,…
For some of us it never went away. Nor the gourd.
And top o’ the page. Thank you linesmen. Thank you ballboys.
Well this is somewhat embarrassing.
Looky looky. There is a new open thread.
Stumps.
The Oxford PRINCIPLE trial commenced in June.
“But this is where common sense and intuition gets us – and the public – into trouble.”
Yep – as I explained on the old Cat several times, if the general prevalence is 1 per 10,000 in the general population, even a 99% accurate test can mean a positive test is only a 1% chance of actually being infected (run the numbers yourself with a synthetic “perfect sample”).
If you actually walk through this slowly, most people can grasp it, but are loathe to really believe it, or use it to ask questions about what it means for covid numbers we saw early on – even nurses and doctors will allow their “common sense” to over-rule their reasoning facilities in this regard.
Example with different numbers is here (less than 5 mins): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_c3xZvHto3k