You’re doing it again Roger. Trying to deflect from the Labor Party disaster whilst fingering the Libs. Not impressed. Are…
Open Thread – Weekend 18 Dec 2021
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Do arabs do anything else but whinge ..? .. FFS!Yes. They lie. Incessantly.
I’m not expecting Duts to be our saviour but with appropriate pressure I think he can be steered in the…
Footage. You’re completely obsessed with this “footage” nonsense. How exactly do you propose obtaining this miraculous “footage”? Should the BBC…
You’re doing it again Roger. Trying to deflect from the Labor Party disaster whilst fingering the Libs. Not impressed. Are…
For some of us it never went away. Nor the gourd.
And top o’ the page. Thank you linesmen. Thank you ballboys.
Well this is somewhat embarrassing.
Looky looky. There is a new open thread.
Stumps.
The Oxford PRINCIPLE trial commenced in June.
“But this is where common sense and intuition gets us – and the public – into trouble.”
Yep – as I explained on the old Cat several times, if the general prevalence is 1 per 10,000 in the general population, even a 99% accurate test can mean a positive test is only a 1% chance of actually being infected (run the numbers yourself with a synthetic “perfect sample”).
If you actually walk through this slowly, most people can grasp it, but are loathe to really believe it, or use it to ask questions about what it means for covid numbers we saw early on – even nurses and doctors will allow their “common sense” to over-rule their reasoning facilities in this regard.
Example with different numbers is here (less than 5 mins): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_c3xZvHto3k