Looks like everyone’s gone to bed. Might do the same.
Looks like everyone’s gone to bed. Might do the same.
Shit! Late to the party again! Story of my life.
First cab off the rank!
Barking Toad May 1, 2024 9:28 pm ZK2A, the Plonk and Knickerless know they are fcuked so are throwing all…
“The Band Played Waltzing Matilda”. Apart from the original by Eric Bogle there’s been some good renditions of this song.…
For some of us it never went away. Nor the gourd.
And top o’ the page. Thank you linesmen. Thank you ballboys.
Well this is somewhat embarrassing.
Looky looky. There is a new open thread.
Stumps.
The Oxford PRINCIPLE trial commenced in June.
“But this is where common sense and intuition gets us – and the public – into trouble.”
Yep – as I explained on the old Cat several times, if the general prevalence is 1 per 10,000 in the general population, even a 99% accurate test can mean a positive test is only a 1% chance of actually being infected (run the numbers yourself with a synthetic “perfect sample”).
If you actually walk through this slowly, most people can grasp it, but are loathe to really believe it, or use it to ask questions about what it means for covid numbers we saw early on – even nurses and doctors will allow their “common sense” to over-rule their reasoning facilities in this regard.
Example with different numbers is here (less than 5 mins): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_c3xZvHto3k