Windwatching Sept 2023


In case you were wondering

SEPT 1

NEM Wind at 7.20am providing 3% of demand at Capacity Factor 11%. (CF is the % of installed capacity. 29% is the average.)

SA the wind leading state, wind generating 4% of demand operating with CF 4.

Victoria, wind providing 3% of demand with CF 4.

NSW , wind providing 4% of demand with CF 18%.

Qld, wind providing 3% of demand at CF 22

Tas, providing 1% of demand at CF 2.

SAT SEPT 2

NEM Wind at 7am, 7% of demand at capacity factor 13% (% of installed capacity. 29% is the average.)

SA the wind leader, 44% of demand at CF20, importing coal power from Victoria and burning diesel.

Victoria, 2% of demand with CF 3.3%. Brown coal 80% of demand.

NSW, 6% of demand with CF16. Black coal 86% of demand. Solar 5%.

Qld, 6% of demand with CF40%. Black coal 73%. Solar 8%.

Tasmania, 3% of demand with CF 8%.

Western Australia, not part of the NEM (National Energy Market) 7% of demand.

SUNDAY 3

NEM Wind at 7am, 21% of demand at capacity factor 38% (% of installed capacity. 29% is the average.) So the wind is a bit better than average.

SA the wind leader, 95% of demand at CF55%.

Victoria, 30% of demand with CF 40%. Brown coal providing 68% of demand.

NSW, 8% of demand with CF15. Black coal 86% of demand. Solar 4%. Importing from Qld and Vic.

Qld, 9% of demand with CF50%. Black coal 77%. Solar 7%.

Tasmania, the battery of the nation, 10% of demand with CF20% . Importing power from Victoria.

This is a fairly good wind day (CF 38 compared with the average of 29) and the demand is at the lowest point for the week, so it looks good for wind, but remember it is the low points that kill the system like the low point of the levee and the gap in the fence.

MONDAY 4

A particularly good wind day with the wind running at 60% capacity factor delivering 27% of demand for power approaching 7:00 AM

This is the kind of day that wind lovers celebrate to announce how well things are going but always remember it is the low points that kill the green dream.

Remember, the average capacity factor is 29%.

SA the wind leader, 86% of demand at CF46, importing coal power from Victoria and burning diesel. They need to have more than twice the average CF to satisfy local demand.

Victoria, 50% of demand with CF 80%. Brown coal 49% of demand.

NSW, 12% of demand with CF36. Black coal 80% of demand. Solar 4%.

Qld, 8 % of demand with CF50%. Black coal 81%. Solar 5%.

Tasmania, 26% of demand with CF60 .

And by dinnertime, with the sun off duty.

The wind is back to normal at 6.20 pm. NEM was 10% of power at CF27.

SA was importing power from Victoria and burning diesel, with wind providing 24% of demand at 14%CF almost down to 10%, the extreme drought level!

TUESDAY 5 Wind almost twice the average CF approaching breakfast.

NEM Wind at 6.40am, 26% of demand at capacity factor 56%, almost twice the average 29%.

SA the wind leader, 68% of demand at CF45%, not sufficient for the demand in the state.

Victoria,39 % of demand with CF 65%. Brown coal 58% of demand.

NSW, 21% of demand with CF60%. Black coal 74% of demand. Solar 3%.

Qld, 19% of demand with CF55%. Black coal80 %. Solar 4%.

Tasmania, 15% of demand with CF30% (average.) Importing power to save the water level in the dams.

Approaching sunset the wind is down to approach the average CF and solar is fading fast. Wind is providing 13% of power and coal 62%.


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Robert Sewell
September 2, 2023 10:26 am

Rafe:
I’ve pasted the entire numbers set on my FB page.
If they don’t get people concerned, then there’s no hope for us.

132andBush
132andBush
September 2, 2023 1:01 pm

Thanks Rafe, great ammunition.

Robert Sewell
September 2, 2023 2:52 pm

@1445,
Battery 22 MW 0%
Biomass 53 MW 0%
Black coal 6,026 MW 40%
Brown coal 2,428 MW 16%
Gas 291 MW 2%
Hydro 728 MW 5%
Liquid Fuel 0 MW 0%
Solar 5,099 MW 34%
Wind 362 MW 2%
Pathetic.

Muddy
Muddy
September 2, 2023 4:26 pm

The answer then, must be to restrict demand.
To restrict demand requires restricting choice (i.e. coercion).
Coercion requires justification.

How about:
Press headline: “The negative energy of deniers can now be accurately measured.”
[This negergy works to clog the air around wind turbines?].

Rufus T Firefly
Rufus T Firefly
September 2, 2023 5:01 pm

This is not a problem.

Once the majority are killed because of:

a. hygiene issues, ie no cleansing of water, then
b. people starving to death, (no refrigeration to keep food in shops), then
c. people bashed to death by the rampaging mobs, due to no Police presence, because, all business has left Australia, (because of NO POWER), therefore no tax receipts for Govt’s, to pay for them, then
d. no hospital service, for the same reason, then
e. lack of gas/electricity to provide warmth which will lead to hypothermia, and,
f. the continual vaccines, the Govt mandates, to stop Climate Change,

those remaining, who will live in caves, or derelict toilets, will have no appliances that use electricity.

Sweet!

Who was it, that signed Australia up to Net Zero AND the W.H.O. tyranny that will occur next year*?

*According to the greatest ever Medical scientist, ……, Bill Gates.

Muddy
Muddy
September 2, 2023 6:58 pm

Yep.
Net Zero = Year Zero.
The old is new again.
Funny ’bout that, huh?

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