The latest election polls from RCP here.
The latest from the betting markets, Kalshi and Polymarket.
“Maybe two ,maybe three hundred blackfella’s shot and burned” by a police party – the forensic evidence was a few…
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The photo of the loot didn’t come across.
Interesting time frame, considering U.S. planning – War Plan Orange called for the fighting of the decisive naval battle in…
Only 24 hrs? That’s if we’re lucky. The media has been talking about a slow count. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/04/election-results-timing/ Four days wouldn’t…
Same here, although my credit was $1000. I’m trying to find a way to claw some of it out to…
First Trump
First Trump, then Pogria!!!
I want Trump to win but I can make no predictions.
Resist pet roasting, squirrel euthanising, baby eating Lizard People Overlords!
Vote Trump/Vance!
Amish coming out for Trump.
Apparently some dem making life difficult for an organic farmer is the reason.
Appears to be this case
https://www.newsweek.com/amish-farmer-turned-republican-hero-becomes-flash-point-culture-war-1872374
https://x.com/DefiantLs/status/1853442574876377392?t=KQ6rFax4wwvLiJkkDwt5Nw&s=19
289 to trump for me please T.E.
I’m not sure I’ve seen a time with the polls all over the place and no alignment with betting markets…
In fact, one only has to recall the undisputed “red wave” that was coming in 2022 according to all polls and markets and…
it never came…
Either way, there will be a very p*ssed off losing mob.
Will the swamp try to disqualify Trump if he wins?
Will anyone believe Harris could possibly win?
The announcement is on Jan 5th 2025 so plenty of time for action, if that’s the plan.
So what happens if Harris wins, and then say, gets assasinated? Prior to inauguration?
Revenge Me!
Predictions: Substantial Trump Win Likely With “Psychiatric Break on the Left, Particularly Among Younger Women”
I really think women without boundaries go nuts. Right now more mothers than dads kill their kids. Something is going wrong. Let’s hope the orange God can bring things back.
Latest predictions:
Cat POTUS poll
Trump to win
526 – caveman
484 – Bar Beach Swimmer
480 – Pogria
407 – John
P – 367
357 – AnotherRanga
347 – Vicki
330 – Perfidious Albino
327 – Wally Dalí
325 – Long Time Lurker
323 – Little Gidding
321 – Helen
320 – Cohenite
319 – Megan
318 – eb
317 – mizaris
313 – Chris
312 – Zippster, thefrollickingmole
310 – Beertruk
308 – Harlequin Decline, hzhousewife
307 – chrisl
306 – Digger
305 – Indolent, Old School Conservative
304 – Bill P
303 – Farmer Gez, Tom
302 – Makka
301 – zimlurog
300 – Tekweni, Brislurker
299 – Wivenhoe
298 – 132andBush
296 – mem
295 – Barking Toad
294 – Sancho Panzer
293 – Titus Groates
292 – Nelson_Kidd-Players
291 – Its Remarkable, Salvatore – Iron Publican
290 – Top Ender*
289 – Not Uh oh
288 – Mak Siccar
287 – Carpe Jugulum
286 – Rosie
285 – Knuckle Dragger
283 – Lizzie
282 – Steve of Kenmore, Iron Cove
281– Roger
280 – calli
279 – Bruce in WA, Siltstone
278 – Winston Smith, Howie
275 – pete m
273 – Petros
272 – Delta A
271 – Vagabond, Colonel Crispin Berka
*not in comp. so will move progressively right if others want this spot
Harris to win
538 – Lysander
334 – Zafiro
320 – JC
315 – alwaysright
300 – Lawgi Dawes-Hall
298 – Monty
285 – Rafiki
280 – Barry
276 – Dr Faustus
273 – Gilas
272 – Davey Boy
Yo. Dover. if you need a donation to buy extra tissues for Monty, let me know
My heart says Trump. My head says Trump. The “realist” part of me says The Kamal. 🙁
Rosie November 5, 2024 4:19 pm
America will not tolerate an authoritarian government, and that’s exactly what the Biden/Harris Thogocracy has become.
The question is just how far will the pendulum swing back to enterprise and citizen accountability?
Can I just say this. The most important thing that needs to be done, along with closing the border is at the very least getting the budget to balance. The 10 year bond yield at 4.3% when in mid Sept, it was at 3.65%. If Trump wins, he has to cut spending. The deficit is currently running at 6.5% of GDP while outstanding debt is ~ US$35 trillion. If Trump wins he has to focus on this asap or things could really unravel if the bond market crashes.
No matter which way it goes, Biden (or Harris) still enjoys the full executive power of the presidency until inauguration day. It is possible (possibly) if she loses, for Biden to retire immediately (on Wednesday), instantly making her the first female president. She could then issue her first executive order disqualifying Trump from the presidency because he is a convicted felon and of course using the actions of January 6. They have the barriers in place around her residence and the White House so they are preparing for something…. Supreme Court action could be severely hamstrung by paid for and pre-organised riots at the Justices homes and the Supreme Court. There was no action last time they did it so they have tested the water and know they are safe.
311 please TE.
dover, could you update this story with links to
and
Single-issue budget deficit voters would all vote for Harris, as it is only Democrats who have lowered the deficit over the last four decades. Every Republican president has blown the deficit out, very much including Trump.
In anticipation of a possible Orange Reich one wonders where Waleed Ali might be hiding during this election, given his narrow miss and exfiltration under fire in 2016.
Going to be a wild 24hrs.
Trump to get 330-359 is paying $13.
I’ve had a flutter. (Based on comrade montgomery’s predictions.
I think Kamala Harris deserves to win. She was a very well regarded AG of California. Ran for President in 2020. Dropped out of the race when she didn’t poll better than 2% – even in her home state of California. Resurrected as VP by Biden, she has has an exemplary 4 years. Put in the bin and told to be quiet by Biden after 2 years as VP. 92% of her staff left her office. She didn’t realise that Biden was infirm until his poor debate performance – she seriously had absolutely no idea! Bravely stepped in to replace Biden. So she is honest and loyal and capable! What a gal. Never won a primary and off to be the President. Super candidate. Amazing!
Watch the attempt at the cheat.
13 days is 13 days to try to pull the cheat. Maricopa is 60% of the AZ electorate.
Voting was officially underway on Election Day as six registered voters in the town of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire cast their ballots just after midnight.
The results in the small town were literally too close to call, as the half dozen voters were split three-to-three between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
It’s actually a sharp swing from 2020, when Joe Biden swept all five people who voted against Trump.
Daily Mail
We have our own Titiana McGrath!
Take a bow, Warwick! 😀
Muntard quoting “politifact” is a bit like Snowcone quoting Sarah Ferguson as an authority; except we know with Monty who takes it up the…
…..well, Muntard, I prefer to use the official US Treasury site:
National Deficit | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data
The five highest (pre-Covid) deficits were in 2008, 2009, 2010 2011, 2012. Sure, it came down a bit after that but not much. I can’t quite recall who was in power then lol!!!
The highest deficits ever on record in a post a Covid-overspend, were the last three years (notwithstanding highest US Govt revenue ever for the same three years).
Federal debts only slowed in the years 2017, 2018 and 2019:
Understanding the National Debt | U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data
Federal debts blew upward, exponentially from 2007 to 2014).
it’s impossible to talk to idiots like you and Snowcone and Friends cos everyone paints Trump’s 2020 Covid spend in their stats to make him seem economically illiterate. Like Chalmers talking about Scomo’s Covid debt when Chalmers and Albo were calling for billions more to be spent for longer.
JC, you can have sloppy seconds on this… 😛
Squirrel murderers v freedom lovers.
You would have to be in a pretty dark place to prefer the death cult.
Trump 297 please T.E. I think the steal will be overwhelmed.
The US Budget is in very deep shit. Social security and debt interest payments alone are crushing revenues. Trump’s tax and tariff policies if enacted won’t initially help that situation and could make it much worse. He will be racing the clock to mollify the bond vigilantes.
Cleaning up the godawful mess that Dubbya left. From funds allocated in bills largely passed under Dubbya. By the end of Obama’s second term, he had finally got the economy humming again. No thanks to Republican intransigence in Congress.
Thanks for reminding us about Dubbya’s all-time disaster economic performance.
As for Trump, his mismanagement of COVID was all on him. Biden kickstarted investment with the IRA, again no thanks to the Freedom Caucus and other anarchists in Congress.
Tomorrow is going to be fun.
According to Joe Hockey on Bolt just now, Trump has the highest polling he’s evah had. Better than 2016 when he won, better than 2020 against Biden.
Like everyone else I’ve no idea what will happen over the next days.
Looking at poorly framed polls doesn’t really help.
If there’s a Trumpslide, I expect a step into the unknown; institutional paralysis and legal theatre and God knows what.
If it’s reasonably close at the end of tomorrow, I expect Cakula to get up (but not by too much) on a cloud of arguably irregular voting. There will be political theatre, but the Swamp will close around their girl.
2024 surely has raised some weird alternate shit.
Muntard is now advocating massive cuts to government spending. Wowee.
Sign up here Munt:
Membership – Libertarian Party
Alternately you can try PHON.
Trump 309
Thanks Warwick for reminding us of Kamal-toe’s performance in the first Primary in 2020.
Chugged off the start line and ran into the gravel at the first corner.
She could only muster 2% (two pussent) of rusted on Dimocrats in a Melbourne Cup Field of nobodies.
Polymarket:
OK, 63/37.
That’s far enough apart that a claim of a Harris win will lead to civil conflict if they try it on.