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A market opportunity. Lease a thousand acres of prime mountain/river wilderness and set up 2 week adventure packages for teens.…
A market opportunity. Lease a thousand acres of prime mountain/river wilderness and set up 2 week adventure packages for teens.…
Gee, an opportunity to put Trump under oath and set him up to make a questionable comment they can then…
Let’s produce a vast quantity of thrones for everyone that is ‘disadvantaged’ by the racist colonisers who built the nation,…
Vance has also proposed giving parents extra votes for each of their children. Nice idea, but it hasn’t worked in…
Apropos of the attempt on Trump’s life, yesterday morning the below email arrived from Gab (a social media site) Other…
For some of us it never went away. Nor the gourd.
And top o’ the page. Thank you linesmen. Thank you ballboys.
Well this is somewhat embarrassing.
Looky looky. There is a new open thread.
Stumps.
The Oxford PRINCIPLE trial commenced in June.
“But this is where common sense and intuition gets us – and the public – into trouble.”
Yep – as I explained on the old Cat several times, if the general prevalence is 1 per 10,000 in the general population, even a 99% accurate test can mean a positive test is only a 1% chance of actually being infected (run the numbers yourself with a synthetic “perfect sample”).
If you actually walk through this slowly, most people can grasp it, but are loathe to really believe it, or use it to ask questions about what it means for covid numbers we saw early on – even nurses and doctors will allow their “common sense” to over-rule their reasoning facilities in this regard.
Example with different numbers is here (less than 5 mins): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_c3xZvHto3k