Open Thread – Tues 11 April 2023


Passage of the Jews through the Red Sea, Ivan Aivazovsky, 1891

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Boambee John
Boambee John
April 11, 2023 7:55 pm

Farmer Gezsays:
April 11, 2023 at 7:20 pm
I see we’ve had another dose of Montynomics.

Manners, please. That’s Perfesser m0nty, B Ec (Fail) to you.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
April 11, 2023 7:56 pm

Hollywood Wokeness Takes Another Hit As the ‘Super Mario Bros Movie’ Has Explosive Opening

Wokester is dismayed that the Italian character wasn’t played by a Hispanic actor…

Nolte: John Leguizamo Blacklists ‘Super Mario Bros.’ For Not Casting Hispanic in Italian Role (10 Apr)

There’s dumb then there’s woke, which makes dumb look like genius. Mr Nolte is a lot of fun!

Bear Necessities
Bear Necessities
April 11, 2023 7:57 pm

The history of federal fiscal policy in Australia over several generations has been that Labor always taxes less and has lower deficits than the Libs.

The myth of superior Liberal economic management is long overdue for burial. Labor are the technocrats now. The Libs splash cash like there’s no tomorrow.

Cut the crap Monty. You come on here saying your a Conservative but when the ALP shows no interest in being ‘fiscally conservative’ in this term you shout look over there at the LNP. Considering the ticking time bombs left by the ALP over the last 30 years of Medicare and the NDIS I wouldn’t go down the economic history path.

I’m being Conservative in saying you’re a ‘Bullshit Artist’. Other far right wingers might have other words to add.

Boambee John
Boambee John
April 11, 2023 7:58 pm

m0nty=fa

Costello pissed almost all of the windfall away buying votes.

Except the money he used to pay off the Keating debt, bring in several budget surpluses, and establish the Future Fund. The latter funds public service superannuation, if it was meant to buy votes, then it has been less than successful.

Do you actually know anything, or do you simply follow the Grandpa Ed Simpson fashion, and just make things up?

rosie
rosie
April 11, 2023 7:59 pm

Why are IQs dropping?

Could be the links.

Frank
Frank
April 11, 2023 8:00 pm

Katie Holmes Still Doesn’t Understand Why Her Cashmere Bra Went Viral

So, lift and separate is out this season then?

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
April 11, 2023 8:04 pm

The Wallace Line doesn’t include The Philippines but Homo Erectus was there (Luzon, 50,000 years ago, but recent studies point to a possible 700,000 years ago!).

John H – the destination may be the reason. Homo erectus lobbing onto the shores of the Philippines would easily find sufficient food to survive. But a boatload of them arriving on the northwest coast of Australia would probably starve before they could learn what they needed to.

flyingduk
flyingduk
April 11, 2023 8:06 pm

Nothing to do with the 100 neurotoxic vaccines we give children today. Just like those neurotoxic vaccines have nothing to do with the explosion in autism in boys.

The official explanation is that the rise in reported incidence from 1/10,ooo to 1/36 over the last 50 years (co-incident with the expansion of the vax schedule) is ‘better diagnosis now’.

That right- a condition that seriously disables over 1/2 those so afflicted was ‘missed’ in 277 out of 278 cases in the past.

johanna
johanna
April 11, 2023 8:06 pm

There was a story at TheirABC recently about how Aboriginal genes (not to mention obvious facial and body characteristics) have been found in distant Indonesian islands and beyond.

Even TheirABC was forced to admit that this was quite likely because as well as goods being traded, Aborigines traded women as well. Of course, they ran the line that the women had been kidnapped, but since it was only an afterthought, one suspects that there is substantial evidence of the former.

In context, trading women was not unique to Aborigines in Australasia. That’s the part they refuse to talk about, because it opens the floodgates. It not only knocks down the Garden of Eden story, it threatens the whole Noble Savage myth, including about Torres Strait Islanders. TSIs both traded and raided for women.

How long the collision between facts and ideology can survive remains to be seen.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 11, 2023 8:08 pm

Well, he went to Cranbrook, Bear went there too, so the signs aren’t good.

Better check your notes Groogs. Wrong side of the Continent, although that’s not bad for you.

johanna
johanna
April 11, 2023 8:10 pm

Rabz says:
April 11, 2023 at 7:53 pm

Johanna – they are a pain in the arse. No leaves for about eight months of the year, just bare branches. Then they bloom briefly, before dropping all the leaves and flowers on the ground – or in this case, the lawn, which dies back if the leaves and other detritus aren’t cleared – every bloody day.

I’ve got a Photinia hedge growing up underneath it, which should be high enough by next summer to provide some much needed cover for the entire year.

OK, probably diseased and not worth saving. Healthy ones are not like that at all.

Winston Smith
April 11, 2023 8:10 pm

Frank:

So, lift and separate is out this season then?

I could understand a cashmere lining, but that bra is such a poor fit. No support, no shaping.

Frank
Frank
April 11, 2023 8:10 pm

How long the collision between facts and ideology can survive remains to be seen.

On present trends, put your money on ideology for the win.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 11, 2023 8:15 pm

Katie Holmes Still Doesn’t Understand Why Her Cashmere Bra Went Viral

This certainly requires further investigation at my preferred news source, the Daily Mail. Although you have to draw the line at Tom Cruise’s (official) sloppy seconds.

flyingduk
flyingduk
April 11, 2023 8:19 pm

Mr Taylor said it was important that essential services were funded appropriately. But the Andrews’ government needed to explain to Victorians “why they can’t fund them themselves”.

Start with the costs and benefits of one of the longest lockdowns of any jurisdiction in the world….

Salvatore, Understaffed & Overworked Martyr to Govt Covid Stupidity

He’s avoiding an assault charge. The alleged victim was a 76 y.o. man.

Video does not support a conviction, not from what I’ve seen, video from Cossack and from the alleged victim’s comrades.
I’d not in all conscience be able to pass a “guilty” verdict against Cossack.

Indolent
Indolent
April 11, 2023 8:22 pm

Tucker Carlson, who still won’t admit that Joe Biden did NOT actually win the 2020 election.

Tucker: They can’t keep this secret forever

flyingduk
flyingduk
April 11, 2023 8:23 pm

Still waiting on quote for fireplace supply & install. It’s been 5 months now.
Reminder email to sparkies about genset connection.

It took me 6 months to get a sparky to do my genset transfer switch in western vic, and the local mitre 10 said they were sold out of fireplaces for the forseeable future.

Look on the brightside, perhaps the interest rate and the Victorian ‘horror budget’ will see some tradies freed up from building mcmansions and ‘gummint work’ in the near future, and back to the days of tradies ringing you to see if you have any work.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
April 11, 2023 8:25 pm

Crucial decision date set for Bruce Lehrmann defamation lawsuits
Adelaide LangNCA NewsWire
Tue, 11 April 2023 12:20PM

The Federal Court has set a date to hand down its decision on whether former political staffer
Bruce Lehrmann can proceed with his defamation case against two media companies.

Earlier this year, Mr Lehrmann launched defamation action against News Corp’s News Life Media and its journalist Samantha Maiden as well as Network 10 and its presenter Lisa Wilkinson.

He claims the media companies defamed him in their two-year-old coverage of the allegations by Brittany Higgins that he raped her at Parliament House in March 2019.

Mr Lehrmann was not named in the reports at the time but claims he was nevertheless identified by the media companies.

The defamation suits have been stalled as the media companies fight to have the lawsuits thrown out of court.

They argue that Mr Lehrmann missed the 12-month deadline for launching defamation action by a full year, so the lawsuits should not be allowed to proceed.

The former political advisor has argued that he delayed the proceedings due to ongoing criminal proceedings related to the allegations, legal advice to delay, and health issues.

Justice Michael Lee will hand down his decision on whether the defamation lawsuits can proceed on April 28.

The decision is due to be handed down at the same time as the first case management hearing of a third defamation case involving Mr Lehrmann which began only a few days ago.

Documents were filed with the Federal Court on April 6 which show the former political staffer is also suing the ABC over its broadcast of Ms Higgins’ address to the National Press Club on February 9, 2022.

Mr Lehrmann claims the live broadcast of the address implied he had raped Ms Higgins on a couch at Parliament House in March 2019. He was not named in the speech.

He has repeatedly denied the allegations and the criminal charge against him was dropped after a trial in the ACT was abandoned due to juror misconduct.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 11, 2023 8:27 pm

LOL. They’ll be trapping rabbits on the Port Phillip sand dunes shortly.

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 8:28 pm

Bruce of Newcastlesays:
April 11, 2023 at 8:04 pm
The Wallace Line doesn’t include The Philippines but Homo Erectus was there (Luzon, 50,000 years ago, but recent studies point to a possible 700,000 years ago!).

John H – the destination may be the reason. Homo erectus lobbing onto the shores of the Philippines would easily find sufficient food to survive. But a boatload of them arriving on the northwest coast of Australia would probably starve before they could learn what they needed to.

Bruce one of the speculations as to why we did so much better than Homo Erectus is a higher encephalization quotient. Bigger brains, smaller bodies. That may even hold for Cro-Magnon Man. It probably can be further reduced to the size of specific brain regions. Hence the sloping forehead of erectus is indicative of smaller frontal lobes, that region very much associated with creative ideas. I suspect the reduction of body size but increasing brain size allowed the co-opting of other cerebral regions for what is termed polymodal functions; the precuneus being a prominent example.

Old Lefty
Old Lefty
April 11, 2023 8:33 pm

What you say about Costello’s record, Boambee John @7.58, is true until about 2005.

.After that, the Howard government abandoned its earlier fiscal discipline as it became desperate about re-election.

So also did Keating PM abandon the fiscal discipline of Treasurer Keating. (The retirement of that great man and scourge of the rent-seeker Peter Walsh didn’t help.) There seems to be a law of entropy about governments: even the good ones go bad given enough time.

cohenite
April 11, 2023 8:34 pm

I’m being Conservative in saying you’re a ‘Bullshit Artist’. Other far right wingers might have other words to add.

He’s dickless.

Old Lefty
Old Lefty
April 11, 2023 8:36 pm

That said, Keating and Howard at their worst were light years ahead of Rudd-Gillard-Rudd, Turnbull and Morrison.

johanna
johanna
April 11, 2023 8:36 pm

Nothing to see here:

Oops, despite several attempts, the link at TheirABC is still not working.

Here’s the story.

asmania’s Tafe system, the state’s Teachers Registration Board and the office of the Commissioner for Children and Young People have been caught up in a recent Tasmanian government data breach — but a security expert says reporting about hack needs to be measured.
Key points:

In March, a hacker group gained access to up to 16,000 documents containing data related to Tasmanians
Tasmania’s police commissioner and a senior bureaucrat have written to the opposition and media outlets warning continual media coverage could embolden hackers
A cybersecurity adviser engaged by the state government says reporting should be careful — but questions still need to be asked

On Good Friday, the Tasmanian government said 16,000 documents had been released online after hackers accessed data from the Department of Education, Children and Young People through the third-party file transfer service GoAnywhere MFT.

The Education Department’s website said the data included the names of children and the school they attended, their home room and year group.

It also potentially included the bank account details and birth dates of TasTafe students.

Those affected have been sent emails urging them to monitor their bank accounts and report any suspicious financial activity.

Institutions keep demanding more and more personal information, which promptly gets hacked.

Have any of the collectors and holders of that information ever suffered as a consequence? No, it is the individuals who are supposed to be placated by emails that suffer the consequences.

Basta!

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 8:37 pm

johannasays:
April 11, 2023 at 8:06 pm
There was a story at TheirABC recently about how Aboriginal genes (not to mention obvious facial and body characteristics) have been found in distant Indonesian islands and beyond.

Even TheirABC was forced to admit that this was quite likely because as well as goods being traded, Aborigines traded women as well. Of course, they ran the line that the women had been kidnapped, but since it was only an afterthought, one suspects that there is substantial evidence of the former.

In context, trading women was not unique to Aborigines in Australasia. That’s the part they refuse to talk about, because it opens the floodgates. It not only knocks down the Garden of Eden story, it threatens the whole Noble Savage myth, including about Torres Strait Islanders. TSIs both traded and raided for women.

How long the collision between facts and ideology can survive remains to be seen

It is going to take a very long time. Indigenous issues are now so dominated by politics that I despair your desires will be met in our lifetime. Last week there was an article published The Guardian where it was highlighted how The Voice was important because her 8 year old daughter had Rheumatic Heart Disease, a tragic condition in one so young. Being a curious chap I looked up the cause of RHD. It is an infection readily prevented by washing hands and hygiene. If indigenous people need that voice to learn the basics of hygiene then all is lost.

GreyRanga
GreyRanga
April 11, 2023 8:38 pm

Photinia stinks when flowering coz the flies are on it all the time. They get to big as well. Pittosporum is a much better choice. The ones with the small leaves and dark wood grow fairly quickly. Can’t remember the name.

WesternDecliner
April 11, 2023 8:44 pm

Was in Victoria when Kirner and the labor mob spent the Govt into fiscal disaster. Common element then and now is that the Govt is made up of economic morons who couldn’t balance a corner shop cash till each day.

After Victoria crashes (again) the adults in the room, wherewver they might be, should consider putting the state on a debit card to manage their spending as it’s obvious labor in Victoria are basically children who cannot manage adult responsibilities.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
April 11, 2023 8:44 pm

. If indigenous people need that voice to learn the basics of hygiene then all is lost.

In an effort to improve standards of hygiene in one outback community, a swimming pool was provided. The young fellas “got bored” and drove a stolen Toyota into said pool.

GreyRanga
GreyRanga
April 11, 2023 8:48 pm

I’ve got a great guy repointing my roof at the moment. Came when he said he would, works 5 1/2 hr days coz his legs are stuffed from roof work. He doesn’t charge like a wounded bull and comes recommended from 4 people in our street.

Boambee John
Boambee John
April 11, 2023 8:50 pm

Old Leftysays:
April 11, 2023 at 8:33 pm
What you say about Costello’s record, Boambee John @7.58, is true until about 2005.

.After that, the Howard government abandoned its earlier fiscal discipline as it became desperate about re-election.

Broadly true, but his record was good enough to make a nonsense of m0nty=fa’s silly claim.

calli
calli
April 11, 2023 8:51 pm

Sorry. Pressed the wrong format button.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 8:56 pm

I just did a walk and the sound of the frogs is a cacophony. They sound happy and going strong after the recent rain. So much for their demise.

About 6 clicks from the guts of the Perth CBD.

flyingduk
flyingduk
April 11, 2023 8:57 pm

After that, the Howard government abandoned its earlier fiscal discipline as it became desperate about re-election.

Neither side of politics has been serious about fiscal responsibility for over a decade now, and why should they? – the debt is mathematically unpayable and ‘the people’ won’t support any reduction in their ‘free stuff’.

Enjoy the ride … its Berlin in early 1945 and you are going to hate what happens next.

Frank
Frank
April 11, 2023 8:57 pm

Rosemary seems to make good hedging here. Useful too.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
April 11, 2023 8:57 pm

Victorian Governor Linda Dessau has police escort at Melbourne’s Australian Grand Prix
By Yoni Bashan
Margin Call Editor
@yoni_bashan
and Christine Lacy
Senior reporter, Margin Call columnist
8:43PM April 11, 2023
No Comments

Linda Dessau is likely to conclude her tenure as Victorian Governor in June, or sometime thereafter, having spent eight years as the state’s vice-regal representative.

Assuming this happens, Dessau’s stint will have outlasted a great number of her predecessors – indeed, she has held the position for so long that it would appear obvious she’s grown accustomed to the trappings of high office. These benefits have not always been managed with utmost discretion.

It was in September that Dessau received a personalised escort and preferential boarding for a Qantas flight at Melbourne Airport, where she somehow got lost between the Chairman’s Lounge and the boarding gate.

Qantas staff insisted that Dessau be first to walk onto the flight and fellow passengers were forced to endure a 20-minute delay in the terminal waiting for her arrival (Dessau denied requesting it).

When she finally turned up to board no one had the faintest idea who she was, and this only aggravated matters further; the people had been expecting a rolled-gold celebrity sighting for their wasted time.

Dessau and her husband, Anthony Howard, certainly don’t mind attending Victoria’s social and sporting fixtures, and this has long been an irritant to event organisers across Melbourne. It’s they who have to endure the demands of Dessau’s office and the persistent requests for spare tickets, the recent Grand Prix being but example.

As noted on the governor’s website, Dessau and Howard hosted the Formula 1 Grand Prix reception on March 30 followed by an official dinner that evening. They also attended the Grand Prix at Albert Park on April 2, all of which is to be expected for a state governor, of course. What’s perplexing, however, is why Dessau required the extravagance and expense of a police escort from the Grand Prix to Government House once the event had wrapped up. Presumably she received the same escort for her arrival as well, although Margin Call was unable to confirm it.

The pomp and nonsense involved in this decision saw streets blocked off and ordinary people once again inconvenienced as Dessau’s sedan, fitted with its distinctive yellow flag, travelled down St Kilda road trailed by half a dozen police motorcyclists and a separate vehicle with officers inside. This all for a three kilometre journey totalling a couple of minutes.

Had the need for heightened security been truly necessary then the Governor would have been better served with an unmarked car and some tinted windows — but we already know that’s unnecessary when an airport terminal full of Victorians were hopeless dumbfounded in trying to identify her. What hope would a terrorist have?

Needless to say this amounted to a remarkable diversion of police resources at a time of apparent need in Victoria, where the police hierarchy have scrambled to form yet-another gangland task force to sink a boot into the latest generation of thugs and hoodlums carrying on in the suburbs.

Margin Call put questions to Dessau about the necessity of the escort. These were palmed off to VicPol officials who answered in diplomatic fashion.

“Victoria Police provide a level of security to Government House, the Governor and other dignitaries while they carry out their official duties and obligations in Victoria,” a spokeswoman said. “At times, this may involve providing support and security at high profile public and sporting events.”

We also asked Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews what he thought of the extravagance, and this was similarly dodged. An official said: “The Governor’s security arrangements are a matter for Her Excellency and Victoria Police.”

MatrixTransform
April 11, 2023 8:58 pm

I’m not confident these can be applied to human beings because we can populate almost any niche.

except Australia heh ?

cohenite
April 11, 2023 9:03 pm

In a world of turmoil more titles for the jaded:

Kill Now, Pay Later: she had a glass in one hand, a bottle of champagne in the other and trouble splashed all over her lush body.

Hoyden of the Hills: man teased, tricked and trapped her. But she gave more than she got back.

Dead in Bed: she lived and loved in bed, but now her sinful, satin sheets were a crime scene.

Trip the Town Naked: a shocker which bares a small town’s innermost secrets; its lusts, its strange vices, its twisted cruelties.

Davey Boy
Davey Boy
April 11, 2023 9:10 pm

Christian Sukkar speaks outside court after protest at St Michael’s Catholic Church at Belfield

Two men have appeared in court charged over a mob brawl outside St Michael’s Catholic Church at Belfield three weeks ago

Police were pelted with projectiles while trying to break up a clash between trans rights activists and some protesters who were before Bankstown court today. Their matters will return to court at a later date.

“It does send the right message – stay away from our church. Stay away from our children, it sends the right message”, Christian Sukkar speaking to media outside court.

This relates to the occasion where Mark Latham was invited to speak at the church in question, whereupon a ‘protest’ occurred in the adjacent street.

Frank
Frank
April 11, 2023 9:11 pm

In a world of turmoil more titles for the jaded:

Marketing ideas for the credulous: “Indigenous Bush Banana Seed Body Butter: Rub it all over your body”, some hippy will fall for it.

WesternDecliner
April 11, 2023 9:14 pm

Cohenite

I guess that a that’s set in Canbra, right? A place with too little nightlife and too many egos and $$$$ … ACT Confidential

johanna
johanna
April 11, 2023 9:23 pm

AC/DC for Ukraine? It just gets weirder.

Ukraine has called up the services of legendary Australian rock band AC/DC as it pushes Canberra to donate more fighting vehicles to assist in its war against Russia.

The Sydney Morning Herald (SMH) reports Kyiv wants to make use of the Australian designed and built Hawkei protected mobility vehicle described as its new military “crush.”

The patrol vehicles, which not battlefield tested, were specially designed and manufactured for the Australian Defence Force (ADF) at defence contractor Thales’ facility in the southern state of Victoria.

They are talking about Bushmasters.

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 9:28 pm

Franksays:
April 11, 2023 at 9:11 pm
In a world of turmoil more titles for the jaded:

Marketing ideas for the credulous: “Indigenous Bush Banana Seed Body Butter: Rub it all over your body”, some hippy will fall for it.

Synchronicity? Tonight on SBS is the movie The Road to Wellness. Wonderful line: Health is the key to open the wallets of suckers.

Today it isn’t hippies. It is celebrities, the well off, buying all manner of rubbish. The longevity people are a different breed. They are relying on the emerging science but I think they have too much confidence in early findings. Place your bets, they are making a disciplined effort that I respect.

Vagabond
Vagabond
April 11, 2023 9:47 pm

Dan’s a dead Mong walking

If only.

He might step down now that he’s been the dear leader long enough to get into the record books and get a statue of himself put up but don’t forget that he’s only been able to last so long because he’s had no effective opposition for all that time. And there’s absolutely no prospect of that changing, in fact the disorganised rabble that are the Victorian SFLs are more pathetic than they’ve ever been.

Whichever liar replaces him eventually will be gifted the most toxic of poisoned chalices. However it will take a lot for the electorate to vote for a change of government in Victoria especially as what passes for an alternative would be just as bad if not worse.

Even if, by some miracle, the SFLs ever find themselves with a lower house majority in Vic they will still have to deal with an asylum full of crazies in the upper house.

There’s absolutely no prospect for sensible government down here for the forseeable future, if ever.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 11, 2023 9:51 pm

 1

Razeysays:

April 11, 2023 at 6:15 pm
….

Only the 5% who were brave enough to stand with me against government totalitarianism are worthy. The rest can get fukced.

How did you make your stand, Razey-san?
By posting about running away to Japan?

Alamak!
Alamak!
April 11, 2023 9:59 pm

There’s absolutely no prospect for sensible government down here for the forseeable future, if ever.

Depressing thing is to same the same patterns and the ignorance play out again & again in Victoria. Perhaps when Sri Lankan chaos arrives in full and Federal govt is facing its own debt/currency challenge there is a possibility of some notion of realism in Vic. Sucks to be dramatic about this, but Vic could be the tipping point into currency crash for Oz.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 9:59 pm

Fun and and games on the BOM National Radar Loop. Big pulses out of Hobart -Mt Koonya …if you click on it, nothing shows?

X: Artifacts!
Me: Oh really ignorant clueless one. Nothing wrong with being ignorant. Choosing to remain that way is another story.

Mt Isa, Richmond and Greenvale all light up at the same time…nothing to see here…Ha! Big pulse captured coming out near McKay.

Zoom Earth has the Richmond radar ring signature captured as I type.

Link

All of the above can change at a moments notice when they flick the switches off. If you are looking in an hour or so, you’ll be late to the show when nothing shows up. Zoom should be good for a while after.

johanna
johanna
April 11, 2023 10:01 pm

The ‘worried well’ fuel much of the massive ‘healthcare’ industry. According to them, you should be having endless tests (at never-mentioned expense) for this or that.

I prefer the old maxim of never meeting bad news halfway.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 10:05 pm

Gee whiz! Check out the fish at the end. Who’d order such a dish?

More from Bizarro World

johanna
johanna
April 11, 2023 10:17 pm

Rabz, got it.

Photinias are a bit dodgy for people who are prone to allergies.

Thought I’d mention it.

Meanwhile some Music.

Bit of Tom Petty never goes astray.

Razey
Razey
April 11, 2023 10:20 pm

Is Ukraine winning yet? LOL 😉

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 10:21 pm

That silly cow behind the BUD campaign hiring the freak.*

*That freak might be trolling much like the “teacher” in Canada who was wearing the fake boobs to class. Rebel news caught him out. It’s a wait and see game.

————-

Mark Dice:

MYSTERY SOLVED!

Gabor
Gabor
April 11, 2023 10:25 pm

Roger says:
April 11, 2023 at 7:19 pm

Aussie Cossack

Interesting, silly man, just do the time and get over it, a lot of people would’ve had sympathy. Wasn’t D Hinch imprisoned for similar offense?

He’s avoiding an assault charge. The alleged victim was a 76 y.o. man.

Sorry, didn’t know about that. Don’t have a lot of time for these self-appointed crusaders, not following them.
Some have the right attitude and make good sense, sadly, most of them turn out to be narcissistic grifters, in for a quick quid and five minutes of fame.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:28 pm

2. What odds do you give Zelenski for surviving if/when Russia finishes their SMO? Will he get the Shah treatment sans the cancer, or will it be more convenient for the U.S. to have his bodyguards accidentally shoot him ?

As for Zelensky, I believe the same tried and true tactics of the CIA will likely continue; it’s what they’re comfortable with. I.e. they will probably use him to form a ‘government in exile’ headquartered somewhere outside of Ukraine, and he’ll be pumped up as the chief ‘opposition figure’ to whoever Russia installs as the new “illegitimate president” of rump Ukraine.

With that said, your second option could be possible. U.S. can off him and blame Russia for it to generate max outrage during a key orchestrated falseflag moment.

Many previous leaders get kept as assets and reused elsewhere because they have some kind of useful talent, ability, resources/connections—like being a rich business baron, for instance, in the case of Poroshenko, etc.

But Zelensky is really a useless, wretched figure.

I’m not sure he has much use for them due to the fact that his ‘optics’ are really bad, as the world can clearly see what kind of burned out drug addict he is.

So for instance, it wouldn’t do well for them to recycle him into some sort of EU/UN role, like they do with so many other of these technocrats who have actual oratory skills or at least are presentable in the sense of projecting a certain glossy image, an authoritative presence.

But Zelensky projects none of that, he’ll probably just escape to Israel where his parents are holed up, and fall back on his blow/dope addiction.

From time to time, they’ll parade him around the world to give incendiary speeches against Putin/Russia, ship him around on press tours, but ultimately he’ll fall into obscurity and irrelevance.

m0nty
April 11, 2023 10:30 pm

Is Ukraine winning yet? LOL ?

Has Russia taken Bakhmut yet?

Barking Toad
Barking Toad
April 11, 2023 10:32 pm

Just suffered a bit of PML on SkyNews.

Reece is the most punchable person on earth.

That is all.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 11, 2023 10:33 pm

Steve tricklersays:

April 11, 2023 at 9:59 pm

Fun and and games on the BOM National Radar Loop. Big pulses out of Hobart -Mt Koonya …if you click on it, nothing shows?

Uh-huh.
Sure.
Well, we all know what that means, eh.
It’s happening!!

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:35 pm

10 – How long can the Collective West keep going on with it domination project? and How far can the Russian go after the much vaunted Spring counter offensive?

Project Ukraine is an imminent failure, Project Taiwan is rejected by the Taiwanese population,

the Dollar is being drop left and right As we all know, their Economy is crumbling beyond repair, their industrial base is in no shape that can out match their main adversaries, their military doctrine is not applicable when fighting with a peer, their foreign policy of divide and conquer are being countered by regional player, years of identity war wages on their own population make them weak and vulnerable.

Those at the top of the Western system is in hysteria mode, their lackey in the US gov can not even think straight anymore.

Well, you’re certainly right with your description of the West below. It’s hard to say how long they can continue at this rate. One look at their governance/societies makes the situation feel quite dire. Just look at the things currently happening in France, the endless protests and discontent in Netherlands and elsewhere.

And how many European governments have crumbled and collapsed in the past year, yet the status quo continues on like a circus on wheels.

The entire collective West appears to only have one policy anymore: War. That’s it. Their leaders seem to discuss nothing other than that.

At the end of the day, though, don’t ever discount or underestimate the human ability to subsist. Human beings can carry on living in far worse conditions than what currently exist in the EU and elsewhere.

When you ‘boil the frog’ slowly, you can get humans to accept shockingly destitute conditions. Just look how gleefully many Europeans jumped to orders to stop bathing, showering, heating their homes, etc., all to ‘spite Putin’.

So, despite how bad it may seem, I fear we’re no where even close to the bottom of the barrel that can be reached. The technocrat leaders will continue doing the same thing, the economies of the countries will continue their slow-disintegration, and the people will continue having short memories due to the ‘boiled frog’ effect, and will accept their ever-worsening conditions as normal.

It won’t come to a true head, in my view, until a global financial paradigm truly shifts, and that can only come when much more massive de-dollarization occurs to the point where the dollar is no longer the global reserve. But at the current rate, that likely still has a long way to go.

The problem is, even though there’s economic headwinds, they are somewhat counteracted by the fact that in times of trouble, most people try to take refuge in the most reliable currencies.

And so while de-dollarization occurs on one hand in the East, on the other hand in the West more people cling to the ‘safe haven’ of the dollar due to negative trending economic conditions, thus ironically strengthening the dollar.

This is why in some ways last year I believe the dollar was even more traded globally than previous years despite ongoing de-dollarization efforts.

So to answer the question, how long can the West go on doing what they’re doing? Probably much longer than we think. Maybe until about 2040-2050.

But that doesn’t mean they won’t be greatly curtailed in their actions before then. Just look at what’s happening currently in Africa, as the imperialists get booted out.

I just don’t think we’ll see truly major changes until at least the 2040+ era. By then, major realignments will have settled into new historical/generational trends, and burgeoning economic blocs will have had time to stretch their legs and truly develop a new path, their own new supply chains and the attendant relationships, etc.

With that said, we’ll likely never see the true end of the West’s attempts to control the globe. The banking cabal which controls the entire West will not give up their control freely, and so, barring a nuclear war that destroys all of humanity, they will forever continue attempting to subjugate and pillage, I simply think by the aforementioned period, they will have at least been curtailed enough such that they are truly counter-balanced by multipolarity.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 10:38 pm

Sancho Panzersays:
April 11, 2023 at 10:33 pm

Enjoy the walk with Cash and Rowdy.

Cash 2.0 Great Dane meeting new people in Ventura Harbor 20″

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 10:39 pm

m0ntysays:
April 11, 2023 at 10:30 pm
Is Ukraine winning yet? LOL ?

Has Russia taken Bakhmut yet?

Given what I have recently learned I am not surprised Russia is struggling so much in Bakhmut. I expect Russia to eventually win. Mostly through brute force, certainly not through superior tactics and personnel. What has been revealed is that the Russian military has serious compliance and logistical problems. A news item last week argued that another big problem is too many soldiers on the turps, which is not surprising given 1 in 5 Russian males die of alcohol related causes.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:39 pm

12 – [Truncated for length] What’s your best evidence that the Russian losses haven’t been anywhere as bad as claimed in the West?

In recent posts, you mentioned audits of Oryx, but didn’t include any links to them – could you post these please? [You mentioned them in the piece where you linked to a pro-AFU youtuber who paid for satellite images of RF tank depots].

I recently asked the Battlegrond Ukraine if they could think of any instances in military history where the ratio of losses on one side were ever in the claimed Ukraine ratio when artillery assets were stacked so heavily in the opposite direction. Of course they couldn’t, but still they plough on.

I didn’t post the main one for a while because the Twitter account which did a lot of audits of Oryx’s work ended up going private. However, just coincidentally he reactivated his account days ago.

As I recall, he’s a U.S. Army veteran, who was an artillery officer. He’s appeared on several of the large war podcasts last year, so if you’re interested you can dig into his work more. But he did a series over the course of months last year auditing chunks of Oryx’s work. It’s spread out so you can search his account for more, but I’ll link you one I could find:

https://twitter.com/ArmchairW/status/1510054419299065859

And even though I’ve written on this before, I’ll re-state the major issues with Oryx’s list:

Tons of outright misattributions from unclear photos.

Tons of found photoshopped material. I.e. actual photos where you can see a Russian tank where a soldier standing in front of it was photoshopped out to make the tank look “abandoned”.

Tons of random photos of perfectly fine tanks which were taken by civilians driving by, which are then marked as ‘abandoned’ even though they’re not.

Tons of tanks in general marked as destroyed/abandoned when in reality Russia recovered them soon after the photo was taken.

Ignoring the fact that the vast majority of the armor losses are from LDPR, yet still calling them ‘Russian losses’. Sure, it’s technically all ‘Russia’ now, but 1) it’s disingenuous to call them losses of the actual Russian army and 2) when LDPR forces lost them, they were not part of Russia, as most of the losses occurred before September 2022, which is when Putin signed LDPR into law.

Ignoring the fact that even in the case of ‘captured’ tanks, Russia subsequently recaptured many of them. In fact there’s a few stories of tanks which switched hands 4 different times. Russia captured hundreds of Ukrainian tanks throughout the conflict, including a few large bases which alone had hundreds of pieces of armor, that’s not even counting all the battlefield captures.
I have a video on my channel of a Kherson armor depot captured by Russia that has over 200 armor pieces—tanks, artillery, and some APCs alone. I have to find it as Bitchute has a terrible search ability, if I find it I’ll post it.

There are confirmed “double dips” in Oryx’s numbers where the same tank is listed as both destroyed and captured because one set of photos will show it as disabled so it’s put into the destroyed category. Then the next day, Ukraine recovers the tank and some other unit shows it in a photo as a ‘captured’ tank so now it’s jotted down in the ‘captured’ column, and voila—you now have 2x the tank losses. Repeat ad infinitum.

Huge amounts of the ‘destroyed tanks’ were actually recovered. For instance in the Ugledar losses they showed a bunch of Russian tanks implied to be ‘lost’, but later footage from the Russian side showed those tanks as having been recovered.

Hundreds of tanks are listed as “unknown”. If you actually click on their picture, most of them have no evidence whatsoever they are Russian tanks. We’re just supposed to take UA’s “word” on it. In reality the vast majority of them are likely Ukrainian. There’s over 300-350 in this category, which alone represents more than 15-20% of all claimed Russian tank losses.

Many tanks caught as Ukrainian but having spray painted a “Z” on it. I have a few confirmed videos of these on my bitchute channel. However, we can assume there’s way more of this as Ukraine had intelligence programs and departments specifically for inflating Russian losses and creating such fakes, so I wouldn’t be surprised if a huge portion of the losses on Oryx’s list actually fall into this category.

Here’s an example I just happened to see in passing yesterday. A T-64 placed under T-90. And guess whose T-64 that is? Likely LDPR’s or some volunteer battalion.

As for losses, I recently posted about how a very meticulous audit of Russian tank storage inventories proved Oryx’s numbers to be fraudulent as the numbers of tanks found being taken out of storage by way of satellite photos pales in comparison to what should be the case if Russia actually lost the amount Oryx claims.

And your comment on losses/artillery disparity is correct.

No matter what the comical loss ratios the UA side claims, at the end of the day we know that POWs scales with losses. And POWs, as I recently explained in a past report, are the only metric that give us insight into the real loss ratios because POW is the only metric officially reported at one point or another by both sides.

And not surprisingly, Ukraine had about 500-600 Russian POWs at a point when Russia had a confirmed 3000-5000, which quickly ballooned to 8000-10,000 (since this was right before the Mariupol/Azovstal situation where Russia took a total of ~5,000 POWs from Illich factory surrender, Azovstal surrender, and general Mariupol fights).

So, someone explain to me, how can you have a 5:1 or 10:1 POW disparity, yet the kill ratio favors your side? It’s simply impossible. The POW case proves without a shadow of a doubt what the real loss ratios are.

And as for your last comment about O’brien’s ‘timely break’, it’s no surprise. His analysis is disastrously flawed and premised on a self-feeding echochamber of establishment propaganda. I foresee he’ll be taking a lot of such ‘long breaks’ soon, and more likely a permanent one after UA’s offensive collapses next month.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:42 pm

13 – As the economies of real production win on the battlefield against the collective west’s casino economies what are the probabilities of a split and isolation of the collective west. And can this model survive without the other 85%’s resources?

That’s a good question, because no, I don’t think they can survive as Europe literally has no natural resources of their own at all—at least not commensurate with the types of populations and comfort levels they’re used to maintaining.

So depending on what we mean by ‘survive’, will they physically survive, sure. But will Europe likely go through a dark age of mass depopulation and end up being powerless rump states by 2100? There’s a good chance of that.

One could argue: “But Europe has huge human capital and intellectual/innovation capacities. It’s been strong for hundreds of years, yadda yadda.”

While much of that was once true, look at what’s happening to Europe just in terms of the unchecked immigration as per the infamous Coudenhove-Kalergi plan.

By 2050-2100 Europe will likely be unrecognizable and have no further ability to ‘innovate’ itself out of the box.

Unless, of course, major tectonic changes take place where true populist revolutions overthrow all technocrats, destroy the EU and seize control. That’s always possible, and could reverse the course in large part. But the cabal has its clamps set pretty tight, so it’s hard to imagine that happening in a widespread way, though I’d like to think eventually it will happen, just not fast enough to keep Europe competitive with the rest of the sane, developing world.

A good analysis of such far-off projections I’ve posted before is this, which projects that in the future, only the resource rich nations will be superpowers or relevant at all: https://www.unz.com/akarlin/future-superpowers/

It makes a good argument for Russia being the world’s superpower by the year 2100.

Europe’s favorite plunder yard, Africa, is now being overtaken by China and Russia.

So once Eurasia is closed off to the Western/Atlanticist powers, and then Africa, too, is locked away, what will they be left with? Who else is left to plunder for critical natural resources?

South America will likely be the only place left but SA is also waking up recently, so the outlook is not good for the robber cartel.

And since the world appears to be steering more and more towards ‘bloc-ism’, then the ‘isolation’ part of your question becomes a very real scenario. Particularly because, most of the ascendant powers like India, China, Turkey, etc., have all called for increased expansion of things like expansion of seats and voting powers, for instance at the UNSC and other global institutions up to now dominated by Old Europe. This will lead to further and further powerlessness and impotence of the globalist cabal, as they will gradually lose more of their ability to browbeat, strongarm, and coerce lesser powers into accepting the short end.

With that said, China, Russia, et al, will remain open to working with Europe forever, but only on a new set of equal terms. And I think the trend in the next 10 years will see increased revolt against American hegemony in Europe. Just today, for instance, was this article:

Where Macron said:

PARIS, April 9. /tass/. Europe has become more dependent on the US in recent years, but it should strengthen its strategic autonomy and not depend on the dollar’s extraterritoriality. This was stated by French President Emmanuel Macron in an interview with the newspaperLes Echos, published on Sunday.

I think this will continue with European leaders.

However, eventually as China et al continue to cinch up the actual productive zones of the world, Europe will be so detrimentally isolated that they’ll be faced with either dumping the U.S. or desperately igniting WW3 in order to use the old trick of destroying all competitors’ economies and industrial capacities to knock them down a few notches below that of Europe.

So that’s why as we slow march towards 2030 and beyond I see increased risk of a global war occurring for this very reason, the desperate, cornered position of the Atlanticist West.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:46 pm

14 – When discussing NATO and Ukraine (or other places) the counter argument of “There are other ways to project military power” is often used in response to a statement that NATO is not crazy enough to have a full-on clash with Russia, so Russia is not to be worried about the NATO expansion. Generally, I feel that the counter argument does have a right ring to it because any military force, even if not actively used at the moment, creates deterrence which affects the politics, economics etc. In terms of specific examples for such a deterrence, I can think of a situation where Ukraine is in NATO, and certain factions in Ukraine (or the entire Ukraine’s government) continue putting pressure on its Russian-speaking population and Russia cannot do anything about it militarily because of Article 5. Or for example Kiev cannot control, very conveniently, some groups that are blowing things up in Russia proper and still Russia cannot do much because Ukraine is in NATO. However, I am not educated/smart enough to work out more examples. What is the full spectrum of ways to project a military power without going full on (or nuclear war)? Or maybe you have seen articles/books where the “other ways to project military power” would be studied, classified, and discussed with examples? Could you refer me to those? Application to potential scenarios in Ukraine would be a huge bonus.

Thanks much in advance!

A lot of what you’re referring to is called hybrid/asymmetrical warfare or 4GW / 5GW, which stands for 5th Generation Warfare. You can read this link and get more info on it if interested. I’ll also ask anyone who knows any particularly good books or sources on Hybrid/5GW warfare specifically to post them in the comments, so look out for that.

Also, there’s the concept of Soft Power, which is defined as the ability to attain one’s geopolitical goals but without using direct military means, instead using things like persuasion, diplomacy, etc.

In terms of projecting specifically military power without actually using it, obviously the king of that is the nuclear weapon, as it is a weapon primarily of deterrence. That means the simple fact of you having it, and your adversary knowing you have it, greatly affects and influences their decision making and ability to do things to you.

Hypersonic weapons, without needing to be nuclear, can also have this power, simply because there is no real defense against them.

But the other biggest recent example of more subtle ways of projecting hybrid and asymmetrical power are the following two examples I’ll give:

the first is Russia’s activities in Africa. There they are using Wagner mercenary troops which allows them to function with an inbuilt plausible deniability, which means they can in some ways take direct actions without Russia being overtly blamed for it. And they are greatly undermining France and other Western nations there, and did the same thing in Syria, where Wagner was used to directly attack American-linked assets (i.e. groups like Maghawir al-Thawra) in ways that would have been too provocative for Russia proper to attack. In essence, using irregular military non-state actors, as they’re called.

Another example of how Russia projects hybrid power is something that was interestingly revealed in the latest leaks from a few days ago.

There was a small tidbit most people missed, which stated as per U.S. intel reports that basically Israel refuses to give Ukraine any anti-air or offensive weaponry because it fears Russia stopping Israel’s attacks on Syria. I.e. if Israel angers Russia, then Russia can provide Syria with much more serious AD capabilities that would nullify Israel’s strikes.

So by hanging that sword over Israel’s head, Russia is projecting military power by virtue of that unspoken threat, and causing a deterrence action in Israel.

Russia currently utilizes a large amount of such different ‘levers’ in Ukraine alone, that we don’t think about on a daily basis.

For instance, Russia allows Ukraine to still have the ‘Grain Deal’, where it allows them a grain corridor and other trade to still come into Odessa, this is in exchange for certain concessions with the West, where in secret backdoor deals, the West promises to limit certain types of support to Ukraine.

There is rumor that this also goes for the railways, and is the chief reason why Russia has not taken out the bridges over the Dnieper, which have 12+ railways on them. And on top of that, the various oil and gas pipelines, which continue to operate through Ukraine, such as the Druzhba pipeline which still carries oil to Poland, Hungary, and central Europe by way of Ukraine.

There are various deals and levers in place with all of these assets which allows Russia to project certain power and influence without military might.

The other major way of doing it is by way of influencing other friendly nations in your ‘bloc’ or alliance to do things in exchange for certain concessions. Russia is greatly influential in the Middle East and Asia, for instance. So there is an implied threat and deterrence for many countries where Russia could influence its Middle Eastern/Asian partners to take certain actions that would bring harm to a given country’s economy.

And lastly, the specter of arms sales to places that are very inconvenient. For instance, as the world’s second largest arms supplier, Russia can threaten to sell arms to many enemies of the U.S. and create deterrence by basically threatening a very dangerous situation, in the same way as the Israel example given above.

As an example, Russia could shut the U.S. and Israel up very quickly by threatening to provide major arms to Iran, or North Korea, etc. So it hangs such threats over their heads as a way of creating balance and compromise in keeping the U.S. from taking certain actions or encroaching on Russia’s red lines, etc.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:47 pm

15 – Holding many variables constant and leaving aside personal preferences for either side, I am of the opinion that it would be much better for us (the USA) if Russia “won”. It seems to me that it would be very dangerous for “us”, if Russia lost. I don’t expect the fools who cornered Russia into this war to see that, but it is clear to me that a Russia that loses or appears to be losing would be extremely dangerous.

I don’t see a question here, but I’ll put it up anyway simply to say I agree with your sentiment, as it appears self-evident to me and many people.

All I’ll add is that, I don’t think Russia losing would be most dangerous to the U.S. from the standpoint of a caged animal vindictively attacking the U.S. in retaliation. But rather, I believe that such a circumstance would be much worse for the U.S. simply because it would be a major victory for the warmongers and neocons in control of the country, and therefore would empower them to further continue destroying both the U.S. and the rest of the world with their twisted neo-imperialistic lust.

But if the neocons lose by the fact of Russia winning, that could lead to a final disempowerment and overthrow of their rule, as it would look like a catastrophic foreign policy and malfeasance in hindsight, and could usher in a new age of more sound, reasonable U.S. rulership and policies, at least eventually.

In short, Russia losing “enables” all the worst elements of the U.S. deepstate/MIC superstructure. While Russia winning could sap and gut them and go a long way towards helping restore any semblance of true ‘democracy’ or real leadership/representation in the U.S. as the deepstate’s failures could lead to its undoing.

Indolent
Indolent
April 11, 2023 10:48 pm
OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:51 pm

16 – Will Russia take Odessa this year or next? Will any part of Ukraine remain independent at the point Russia decides to end the conflict?

In my opinion Russia is not going to negotiate with the West and the battle will determine the border.

Firstly, in case you’re interested in a real deep-dive, I’ll paste two previous articles where I covered that in great depth:

Now, to directly answer your questions. Will they take Odessa this year? Almost certainly no. Next year is a possibility, although unless the entire AFU collapses from attrition, I would personally estimate an even slightly longer timeline, whereby Odessa could be taken maybe by 2025.

The reason is, you see how long the slow trudge takes. We’re almost halfway through this year already and we’re still in Bakhmut.

Once it falls, the remainder of the Kramatorsk-Slavyansk agglomeration could take well into next year to liberate, particularly given that there are usually long pauses for rearmament/refitting of major combat groups in between large battles.

I could see Kramatorsk-Slavyansk taking to the end of this year at the earliest, and maybe even up to middle of next year at the latest.

So imagine if that happens, we’ll be in 2024 and still not even close to getting to the West side of the Dnieper, let alone taking Odessa.

So I believe that’s still a very long way off. However, it could happen much faster if the key turning point battles of the middle of this year, which will certainly go down, result in the AFU having its back broken.

This could greatly accelerate the downfall, but it will all depend how hard the newly built up Russian mobilized force hits the AFU, and how well the new Russian mass-production arms industry ramp-up equips the Russian forces with adequate state of the art guided weapons, drones, etc.

As to the second part of your question, read the two articles I posted to get a much deeper dive of that as well, as I go into detail about how much of Ukraine will remain, etc. And also, look at Question #2 at the beginning of this mailbag, as I also went into detail on this very topic as well.

But to reiterate it, I do believe Russia will leave Kiev and Western Ukraine, but under a Russia-friendly leader installed by Russia.

However, as I also wrote earlier, one of the alleged ‘leaked’ settlement documents for a potential Russian peace plan, states that, on top of unconditional surrender bringing full demilitarization and denazification, Russia would also require Ukraine to rejoin the CIS. And since the CIS is basically the undisclosed successor to the USSR, I believe that ultimately, in a far, far long term future, Russia does plan to regain the former ‘Russian Empire’, which will include the full absorption of Ukraine in a similar statute as the current Belarus ‘Union State’ process that will soon bring Belarus under de facto Russian rule.

But keep in mind, this is a much longer term plan some Russian politicians like Zhirinovsky have hinted at. Russia is not in a ‘rush’, no pun intended’, to do this, and will likely be happy to achieve it by 2050-2070 or even 2100.

For now, it will suffice simply to have Ukraine as a rump state ruled by a Russian-friendly or outright pro-Russian candidate, with Russian peacekeepers monitoring the country to enforce full demilitarization rules, and prevent any NATO/Western arms from slipping in across the border with the intention of arming any underground guerilla insurgency, etc.

I’ll post the well-known graphic again, but basically I believe the top option of ‘decisive victory’ is what Russia will achieve:

Phew! For those that made it through them all, congrats. That was a doozy of over 13,000 words, but it was worth it because your incisive questions were well thought out and hard-hitting.

It was a ton of information but I hope you all can find something useful in it. For those that appreciate the work I put in for you all, I would greatly appreciate if you subscribed to a monthly or yearly pledge, so you can join those intrepid pledgers in asking a question on the next one. I’m still trying to fully transition to doing this full time, and these long articles are very time-intensive, so I appreciate each and every paid subscription for those that choose to support my work.

caveman
caveman
April 11, 2023 10:53 pm

When it’s all over , Zelensky probably get a gig on I’m a celebrity get me outta here. Maybe do some Lowes commercials.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 10:55 pm
OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:56 pm

Wartime Intelligence Leaks Can Sink Allies

If Ukraine’s air defenses are now at risk, the U.S. bears some of the blame.

By The WSJ Editorial Board

The leak of classified U.S. documents related to the Ukraine war looks like a debacle at many levels—undermining the confidence of allies in the U.S., revealing how much the U.S. knows about Russia’s military deliberations, and above all betraying the weakness of Ukrainian air defenses.

The source of the leak isn’t known, which is disconcerting on its own. The documents first appeared on social media, and the press hasn’t been able to verify their authenticity.

But the obvious alarm among U.S. officials suggests that much of the leaked intelligence is accurate. The Justice Department and Pentagon began a criminal investigation last week, for what that is worth.

The leaks are especially damaging because they disclose secret U.S. judgments about the progress of the war. It’s not the same as betraying the location of troop movements, but it’s close.

The disclosure of how much the U.S. knows about Russian military plans could be a death sentence for sources in Russia.

The most troubling leak is that Ukraine’s air defenses could be defeated by May, which would give Russia air superiority and a huge tactical advantage. The Kremlin hoped air dominance would help it achieve an early victory, but Ukrainian air defenses held up well against the initial assaults.

Russia chose to keep its aircraft sorties in Ukraine to a minimum to preserve its expensive air force; instead it has relied on Iranian drones and cruise missiles. This has made it harder for Russia to disrupt Ukrainian convoys and artillery deployments.

But the leaked documents assess that Ukraine is running out of missiles. If Kyiv’s air defenses collapse, Russia will have free rein to attack Ukrainian ground troops and move to capture more Ukrainian territory.

The leak hands Russia vital intelligence that will complicate Ukraine’s decisions for its long-anticipated spring offensive. It may also give new confidence to Vladimir Putin that his forces can outlast Ukrainian forces.

The U.S. in particular has been far too slow in delivering advanced air defenses to Ukraine, which has had to manage mainly with old Soviet-era defenses. President Biden waited until December to authorize the delivery of a single Patriot missile battery to Ukraine, with another coming via Germany. France and Italy are providing their version of the Patriot. But none of these systems has been deployed.

That dereliction may now have serious battlefield consequences. After the leak, the U.S. has an even greater obligation to speed up deliveries of Western air defenses and advanced fighter jets such as F-16s that can defend the skies if Russia unleashes its fighters.

Meanwhile, let’s hope the intelligence leak is a one-time episode. If the leakers have stolen more documents, and this becomes a deluge, more than Ukraine will be in trouble.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:58 pm
OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 10:58 pm

With the economy rooted, what would you like our Treasurer to be worried about?

With the economy rooted, what would you like our Treasurer to be worried about?

Gabor
Gabor
April 11, 2023 11:01 pm

Will Russia take Odessa this year or next? Will any part of Ukraine remain independent at the point Russia decides to end the conflict?

Why not?
It was Catherine the Great who founded Odessa in the first place.

m0nty
April 11, 2023 11:03 pm

With the economy rooted, what would you like our Treasurer to be worried about?

Clearly his primary concern should be trans kids in school sport.

WesternDecliner
April 11, 2023 11:07 pm

Solve the potato supply chain first, we Anglo-Irish need to know essential diet staple will be there when Australia goes through its (de)carbon crash, like Sri Lanka did

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 11:08 pm
OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 11:11 pm

The six biggest revelations from the Pentagon’s leaked intel documents

Here are the biggest revelations from the leaked documents:

. Five photos of printed presentation slides and maps dated March 1 detailed timelines for the training and preparation of nine Ukrainian brigades ahead of an expected counterattack, as well as information about tanks, vehicles, and artillery, along with equipment supply trains. US officials told The Post the photos showed real slides, but some information appeared to have been edited — most notably claims that Russia had lost between “16k-17.5k” forces in the conflict so far while between “61k-71.5k” Ukrainian troops had been killed in action.

. Other documents leaked from the Pentagon predicted that, without reinforcement, Ukraine’s air defense forces would be exhausted by May 23 — allowing Russia’s fighter and bomber aircraft to return to the skies in large numbers, according to The New York Times.

. South Korean officials were wary of sending ammunition to the US out of concern that the arms would be sent on to Ukraine — information American intelligence officials obtained by spying on one of Washington’s strongest East Asian allies, the Times reported.

. US officials have explored how to persuade Israel to provide “lethal aid” to Ukraine while remaining officially neutral in the conflict between Kyiv and Moscow, according to NBC News. Options that have been discussed include having Israel route materiel to Ukraine through third parties or highlighting Moscow’s support for Iran as well as its role in Syria’s ongoing civil war.

. Hackers working with Russia’s FSB spy agency claimed to have halted operations at a Canadian natural gas pipeline company earlier this year, The Globe and Mail newspaper reported. However, the company’s president has denied the claims and Canadian officials have been unable to confirm the cyberattack took place. .

. Leaked CIA intelligence claimed Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency had made “explicit calls to action” against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s controversial judicial reform plan — though his office has since called the report “mendacious and without any foundation whatsoever.”

On Monday, the Pentagon said Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin was informed of the leaks April 6 and has spent the ensuing days reaching out to allies and holding daily meetings to assess the damage caused by the leaks.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 11, 2023 11:15 pm
OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 11, 2023 11:28 pm

“The Military Can’t Afford to Alienate Anyone Except White Men”

Also those who won’t get vaccinated.

The Biden administration’s reaction to being criticized for playing identity politics with the military has been to play identity politics with the military.

Are you concerned about our military readiness now that its purpose has been redefined to focus on the national security threats emerging from climate change, white privilege, and abortion bans?

Please allow the man claiming to be a woman to explain why you’re undermining military readiness.

And Skelly has a message for Republicans accusing the Department of Defense of promoting diversity and inclusion in the armed forces at the expense of military readiness: their campaign is what’s hurting the military’s warfighting capabilities.

“If you want to be ready, then you have to ensure that everybody that is in your force can be their best selves and contribute as a member of a team and be seen as valuable,” said Skelly, speaking at the Pentagon in his first in-depth interview since taking the job in 2021.

He is the DoD’s highest-ranking openly transgender official, and the second to hold an office that requires Senate confirmation. The first was Rachel Levine, who serves as assistant secretary of health.

Skelly’s appointment was welcomed as a powerful signal of support by transgender troops now serving openly since President Joe Biden overturned a Trump-era ban on trans service members.

But Republicans in Congress are looking to roll back those changes through proposed legislation to ban transgender people from serving in the military.

It’s part of a larger push by some Republican lawmakers who argue that personnel policies like diversity trainings, racial justice education and events like a recent drag show on a military base alienate some potential recruits and distract from the forces’ main mission: fighting wars and protecting the homefront.

Republican lawmakers who say DoD’s diversity push is hurting readiness have got it backward, Skelly said. When a team is in crisis, the trust between team members is what makes or breaks the mission.

“It’s all about small unit cohesion,” he said, arguing that “ostracizing anybody” makes that more difficult.

The military can’t afford to alienate anyone… except the straight white religious men and anyone who won’t get vaccinated.

The military must be turned upside down to accommodate the tiny percent of the population that suffers from a mental illness that causes it to believe that it’s actually a member of the opposite gender.

Failing to let men shower with women would undermine “military readiness” and “unit cohesion”, but forcing thousands of unvaccinated personnel out doesn’t undermine anything.

Ibram X Kendi fanboys must be catered to with daily doses of racism, but if you refuse to confess your white privilege, you must be punished.

It’s all about unit cohesion. The units being those of the Left.

Skelly said he regularly speaks with members of “Gen Z” who express reservations about serving in the military because they fear they or their friends won’t be treated with respect.

“I don’t know what ‘wokeism’ is, it’s not a defined term,” he said. But “If people understand that they’re not going to get a fair shake, because they come from a specific ethnic origin, or based on their identity, or based on who they love, we are going to be worse off because not enough Americans are going to want to be a part of the U.S. military.”

But the traditional religious people who don’t want to be part of the military because it is all about leftist values and virtue signaling, that’s just fine.

It’s not like there’s a catastrophic recruiting crisis on, is there?

The military can’t afford to alienate anyone except its core demographic: traditional white men.

But hey, if you doubt the military’s commitment to readiness, just talk to the dude in the skirt.

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 11:31 pm

There was a small tidbit most people missed, which stated as per U.S. intel reports that basically Israel refuses to give Ukraine any anti-air or offensive weaponry because it fears Russia stopping Israel’s attacks on Syria. I.e. if Israel angers Russia, then Russia can provide Syria with much more serious AD capabilities that would nullify Israel’s strikes.

The Russians claim the s400 can track stealth fighters. Israeli F35i fighters roamed freely over Syria, well within the range of those missile batteries. Israel has had no trouble taking out Russian built SAMs. Whoever made the above claim needs to do their homework. There are many possible reasons for Israel’s refusal, not least being it has a long history of modifying military hardware and is very good at that. It won’t give away that technology because it may fall into Russian hands which in turn makes it available to Iran.

MatrixTransform
April 11, 2023 11:37 pm

Whoever made the above claim needs to do their homework

and …

people doing homework shouldn’t smoke bongs

just sayin’

Arky
April 11, 2023 11:45 pm

There are confirmed “double dips” in Oryx’s numbers where the same tank is listed as both destroyed and captured because one set of photos will show it as disabled so it’s put into the destroyed category. Then the next day, Ukraine recovers the tank and some other unit shows it in a photo as a ‘captured’ tank so now it’s jotted down in the ‘captured’ column, and voila—you now have 2x the tank losses. Repeat ad infinitum.

..
Notice something, and note it well.
Oryx puts out photographic evidence, relying on contributions, which can be audited for errors.
Unlike the complete putrid arse juice the other side presents as argument.
STOP BELIEVING RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA.
That you are living, as always, in a decadent, flawed, corrupt system, as all systems, always, everywhere are, is no excuse for treachery.
Wake up to yourself.

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 11:57 pm

An increase of people being diagnosed with Parkinson’s Disease

This is a serious problem because the rate increase is not slowing. We have to find a way to put the brakes on it. Conversely, the rate of Alzheimer’s is slowing and due to smoking rates declines vascular dementia should also decline.

The genetic analysis will help but there have already been many genetic studies. The genetic studies will not explain why younger people are getting it or the increased rates. Many studies implicate pollutants. I have a personal interest because a relative has the condition. Haven’t found a single thing that might help with the condition. I suggested benfotiamine(vitamin B1 analogue with better results than natural B1) and he claimed that helped but I’m not so sure, too much potential placebo in play. It is a very peculiar condition because the initial cause is in 2 rather small groups of cells whereas other neuropathologies tend to be widespread.

John H.
John H.
April 11, 2023 11:59 pm

Arkysays:
April 11, 2023 at 11:45 pm
There are confirmed “double dips” in Oryx’s numbers where the same tank is listed as both destroyed and captured because one set of photos will show it as disabled so it’s put into the destroyed category. Then the next day, Ukraine recovers the tank and some other unit shows it in a photo as a ‘captured’ tank so now it’s jotted down in the ‘captured’ column, and voila—you now have 2x the tank losses. Repeat ad infinitum.

..
Notice something, and note it well.
Oryx puts out photographic evidence, relying on contributions, which can be audited for errors.
Unlike the complete putrid arse juice the other side presents as argument.
STOP BELIEVING RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA.
That you are living, as always, in a decadent, flawed, corrupt system, as all systems, always, everywhere are, is no excuse for treachery.
Wake up to yourself.

On youtube there is a Russian program, Combat Approved, about their military hardware. The hyperbole is hilarious.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 12, 2023 1:00 am

If you are sceptical, that’s fine.

Del asks all the right questions here like any good journo should. Follow along. All those paying subscriptions to the MSM whores, take note.

1:16:50.

TACKLING THE CHEMTRAIL CONTROVERSY”

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 12, 2023 2:11 am

Steve tricklersays:

April 12, 2023 at 1:00 am

If you are sceptical, that’s fine.

Del asks all the right questions here …

Del is full of it.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 12, 2023 2:13 am

Sancho Panzersays:
April 12, 2023 at 2:11 am

And sh*t flows from your mouth…as per usual.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 12, 2023 2:21 am

Ooooh!
I blame the chemtrails.
And the BoM radar, of course.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 12, 2023 2:26 am

Have a look at this! Look at the RPM on the dash @ 5:17 onwards with Cleetus.

Jackstand Wrecked His Truck, Neighbor’s Engine EXPLODED, Zach Hit The Fire Truck… An EXPENSIVE Day”

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 12, 2023 2:31 am

Five geeeeee!

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 12, 2023 2:33 am

Jake Myers stabs the throttle into the immediate 6-8 grand rpm from a blown small block Windsor and hardly backs off.

They’ll ( USA ) will catch up, eventually.

S1CKO || SUMMERNATS 35 BURNOUT MASTERS WINNER”

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 12, 2023 2:44 am

Sancho Panzersays:
April 12, 2023 at 2:31 am

Share what your are drinking. Considering this time of night, caffeine is playing a part?

Wally Dali
Wally Dali
April 12, 2023 2:48 am

Watermelon Red Bull
mmmmmm subtle and snappy, a proper grown-up drink.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 12, 2023 3:07 am

I’m drinking Del Bigtree’s bathwater.
Good nose, smooth on the palate with the barest hint of iodine.
May contain nano-wriggler residue so best to decant it.

Steve trickler
Steve trickler
April 12, 2023 3:23 am

Sancho Panzersays:
April 12, 2023 at 3:07 am
I’m drinking Del Bigtree’s bathwater.
Good nose, smooth on the palate with the barest hint of iodine.
May contain nano-wriggler residue so best to decant it.

Best part in the movie The Game. Feat. music -Jefferson Airplane -White Rabbit-“

Win
Win
April 12, 2023 3:26 am

Amazing , I usually scroll past Ed but this morning I agree with him and have nothing to do with The Cossack who videoed himself acting as a Russian bully with his open harassment and intimidation of Fiona Martin.

Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:00 am

Turn the page.

Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:01 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:03 am

Mark Knight (undated).

Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:04 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:05 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:06 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:08 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:09 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:10 am
Tom
Tom
April 12, 2023 4:11 am
Johnny Rotten
Johnny Rotten
April 12, 2023 4:36 am

Thanks Tom.

Anchor What
Anchor What
April 12, 2023 6:32 am

In the USA everything is Trump’s fault. Our leftosphere of pollies and fellow travellers in the media now seize on everything they can spin into fatal web for Dutton. The No position on Da Voice is all his fault.

132andBush
132andBush
April 12, 2023 6:43 am

Bourne1879 says:
April 11, 2023 at 5:01 pm

Aussie Cossack in Daily Mail now proving why he deserves to be in jail.

He is holed up in Russian consulate. His solution to his problem has been to read out list of names of Aussies fighting in Ukraine and suggest Wagner group capture them so can be traded for him. Even says some might not be captured alive.

Hopefully those people who hosted him on podcasts etc are now wiping their hands of him as he is a dangerous clown.

I’m shocked.

Pogria
Pogria
April 12, 2023 7:17 am

Even with the looming Chinese threat hanging over them, the Taiwanese show they have a wicked sense of humour.

Cassie of Sydney
April 12, 2023 7:20 am

When the referendum happens, and the “Yes” vote wins, and the Voice is legislated, and the following inevitable disasters occur…..

Indigenous activists will routinely block government legislation, state and federally.
Our High Court will be choked by indigenous claims.
Inner-city, very white, indigenous aristocrats, such as Langton and Burney, will form part of Australia’s very own House of Lords, and they will rule over us.
Non-indigenous will be forced to pay a “Welcome to Country” tax on land and property purchases.
Income taxes will be increased, with the introduction of a new tax applied to all non-indigenous.
The Indigenous will be handed all water rights across the country.
Learning Aboriginal languages will be mandated in schools.
The names of all regions, towns, and cities will be changed. Use of the names will be compulsory.
Religious instruction in state schools will become compulsory, with the forced learning of “Aboriginal religions”.
Children will be forced to stand in front of class and recite lists of the sins caused by white European settlement.

The above is just a smidgen of what will happen. A lot is already happening.

Make no mistake, Linda Burney, who stands in front of us, clutching her necklace of Paspaley pearls, lying to us about how when she was growing up she was classed as “flora and fauna”, and the always vicious Marcia Langton, a woman who never smiles, they don’t want harmony or reconciliation, they want revenge. The Voice is about revenge. It will be used to make non-indigenous second class citizens in our own country.

And when all of the above happens, will the likes of Leeser and Kenny stand up and say “sorry guys, we got it wrong”?

caveman
caveman
April 12, 2023 7:23 am

Chalmers is an IMF stooge, he could be learning from his maiden budget,instead preaches doom n gloom like before, gives no confidence to people and the economy but has a plan to turn capitalism on its head.
The guys is as useless as ears on a jug………oh.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 7:42 am

Paspaley pearls

Which always look as ridiculous as Bronwyn Bishop in a possum skin cloak. Forget media advisors think fashion advisors.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 12, 2023 7:47 am

And we awake this morning to the devastating news that Number One People’s Resistance Fighter, Aussie Cossack, is nothing more than a selfish, narcissistic, sociopathic grifter.
I can’t even …
No-one saw this coming.

lotocoti
lotocoti
April 12, 2023 7:48 am

Good luck to some aspiring Rudolf Nureyev attempting
the spinny spinny thing with this bloke.

Roger
Roger
April 12, 2023 7:48 am

Leeser’s retreat to the back bench is a victory for Dutton.

The press gallery is too dim to realise it.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
April 12, 2023 7:51 am

“Bronwyn Bishop”.
Can’t divulge how I know this, but Julie Bishop does not appreciate being called that.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 7:53 am

Having been showered with excess by Howard and Costello Boomer retirees are now in the taxation sights of the Grattan and Ponds Institutes. Expect both to be given the usual warm tongue bath by Their ALPBC, Australia’s most trusted unwatched news source.

flyingduk
flyingduk
April 12, 2023 7:55 am

From the Oz

Biden ends Covid emergency after 1124 days: End of Covid national emergency comes under pressure from the Republican-controlled House of Representatives and with almost no fanfare.

So the ‘war on COVID’ comes to an end the same way as every other US war since WW2, ie huge amounts spent, huge numbers of casualties and no real victors except the corporate suppliers of the munitions.

The Afghan war lasted 20 years, and was replaced within months by the next ‘business opportunity’ for the corporations – Ukraine.

I wonder what will replace the covid war. In the very least, it wont take long to show itself.

Winston Smith
April 12, 2023 7:56 am

Cassie of Sydney:

The Indigenous will be handed all water rights across the country.

The next crisis after power will be water. The failure of dam building was deliberate, and rationing is in our future.
It’s not about saving the planet – it’s about denying the peasants of a lifestyle the rich refuse to share.

flyingduk
flyingduk
April 12, 2023 7:58 am

And when all of the above happens, will the likes of Leeser and Kenny stand up and say “sorry guys, we got it wrong”?

Yep, about the same time the health tyrants apologise for their covid policies.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 8:05 am

Can’t divulge how I know this, but Julie Bishop does not appreciate being called that.

Hopefully I get an opportunity to test this.

duncanm
duncanm
April 12, 2023 8:06 am

FWIW – here’s Leeser’s explanation to his electorate.

Dear Berowra Resident,

As you might have heard, earlier today I resigned from the front bench.

I want to explain to you why.

Almost ten years ago, I sat down with a small group of constitutional conservatives and Indigenous leaders and worked on a proposal for constitutional recognition of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians.

The idea we developed was different, it was organic, it was consistent with our constitutional heritage, and it was a uniquely Australian idea designed for Australian conditions.

The proposal was called the Voice.

It was about creating a new structure to improve outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians – and it was about finding common ground.

Over the past year I have had many respectful discussions with my parliamentary colleagues about the Voice. I have listened to their views and they have heard mine, but ultimately I have not been able to persuade them.

Our tradition in the Liberal Party is grounded in a belief in conscience and freedom.

While Shadow Ministers are bound by the decisions of the Shadow Cabinet and the Party Room, backbenchers are free to vote on every piece of legislation according to their own conscience.

Unlike almost any other party in the parliament, the Liberal Party gives backbenchers the freedom to champion the ideas they believe in.
Because I intend to campaign for a yes vote I have resigned from the Shadow Ministry.

I did so because the Shadow Cabinet and I are in different positions in relation to the Voice.

I want to reassure you that I remain your local Federal Liberal MP committed to delivering for Berowra.

My resignation as a frontbencher does not change my work as your local member.

I resigned from the frontbench because I wanted to keep faith with an issue that has been dear to me for almost a decade. As I spoke about at the National Press Club last week, I participated in the earliest discussions for a constitutional voice.

In this decision, I also tried to faith with my values – liberal values guided by my local community here in Berowra with a fair-minded, conservative temperament.

As a Liberal I believe in the dignity of every Australian – in what can be achieved when they are affirmed, valued, and empowered. I believe that better policy is made when the very people affected by it are consulted on it.

I will in the weeks ahead be arguing for the changes to the referendum wording so that the final model for the Voice – is constitutionally sound, gives Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians a place in our founding document, and recognises the supremacy of Parliament in our constitutional system.

I acknowledge the support and good grace of Peter Dutton throughout the process and the faith he has shown in me.

As Shadow Minister I have travelled with Peter and seen him listen to and engage with Indigenous leaders and Indigenous people in the community. I know he has a genuine desire to improve the lives of Indigenous Australians.

However, on the Voice we find ourselves in different places. People of goodwill can disagree.

Importantly, this referendum is not about politicians. At a referendum you get the same vote as me. This is your choice.

As well, I want to hear what you think and answer any questions you might have about the Voice.

You can read the full statement I made today here.

Kind regards,

Julian Leeser

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 8:10 am

The ALPBC Bridget Archer speed dial getting a real workout. The new Amanda Vanstone.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
April 12, 2023 8:10 am

The next crisis after power will be water. The failure of dam building was deliberate, and rationing is in our future.

I was amused by this one:

Costa Rica To Save The Planet (11 Apr)

The World Economic Forum says Costa Rica has an ambitious plan to reach a “zero carbon footprint.”

Wow that’s impressive! I wonder how they do it? Solar panels and batteries?

“In 2018, 98% of its electrical energy was derived from renewable energy sources, about 72% of which came from hydroelectric power and 15% from geothermal. Currently, Costa Rica generates less than 1% of its energy production using solar power.”

Ok not solar panels. But how dare they destroy Gaia by generating most of their electricity from evil dams? The nerve!

Crossie
Crossie
April 12, 2023 8:11 am

It’s not about saving the planet – it’s about denying the peasants of a lifestyle the rich refuse to share.

This should be carved into the side of Mt Rushmore.

calli
calli
April 12, 2023 8:11 am

Importantly, this referendum is not about politicians.

If he sincerely believes that, he is deluded.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 8:13 am

Dear Berowra resident,

I’ll grovel to anyone.
Please vote for me.

In kind regards,

Julian Leeser.

shatterzzz
April 12, 2023 8:14 am

Make no mistake, Linda Burney, who stands in front of us, clutching her necklace of Paspaley pearls, lying to us about how when she was growing up she was classed as “flora and fauna”

Wierd! .. I’m sure I read somewhere the other day that Linda didn’t even know she had 251 in her until she was 16 so who was classing her as “flora & fauna”? .. still if you look like a mushroom, behave like a mushroom, your, probably, are a mushroom! ……

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 12, 2023 8:17 am

Victoria’s crippled finances are all Daniel Andrews’ fault

Having resisted any appeals from the federal government for moderation in 2020 and 2021, it is a bit rich for the Victorian premier to look to Canberra now for help in fixing his budget black hole.

Robert Carling Economist

Victoria’s Premier Daniel Andrews deserves full marks for audacity for calling on the federal government to help his state’s crippled budget. Although it is true that Victoria’s state finances are in poor shape, it is also true that this is the state government’s own fault.

Andrews blames the pandemic; but that hit the finances of all states and territories.

If the hit was worse in Victoria, it was because of mismanagement and the government’s extreme lockdown remedies

After he resisted any appeals from the federal government for moderation in 2020 and 2021, it is a bit rich for Andrews to look to Canberra now for help in fixing his budget black hole.

In any case, the deterioration in Victoria’s finances was well under way before the pandemic.

In responding to Andrews, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese should start with a lecture on the history of Commonwealth-state financial agreements.

The Commonwealth once borrowed on behalf of the states, but since the disastrous mismanagement of the late 1980s and early 1990s, the states have been fully responsible for their own financing, borrowing independently and under their own credit ratings.

Any talk of bailouts today is totally retro.

Stiff medicine

Victoria featured prominently in the late ’80s/early ’90s fiascos – remember the State Bank of Victoria? – but emerged strong from the course of stiff medicine administered by the Kennett government from 1992 to 1999.

The lessons of this experience stuck with the subsequent Labor governments of Steve Bracks and John Brumby – which, by and large, ran a disciplined fiscal policy up to 2010 – and the one-term Liberal government that followed.

However, Victoria’s finances began to unravel after the election of the first Andrews government in 2014. The new government was apparently itching to use the strong fiscal position it had inherited as a platform to spend up big.

In the eight years to 2022, the number of state public sector employees in Victoria rose by 26 per cent and the state payroll by 70 per cent.

The comparable figures for other states and territories were 14 per cent and 38 per cent.

This operating expenditure largesse was then joined by a surge in infrastructure spending, with the usual cost overruns.

The fiscal consequences were masked by strong revenue growth for a time. But by about 2017, deficits and debt started to increase, and then exploded with the arrival of the pandemic in 2020.

The prime minister should tell Andrews to go away and get his own house in order.

Deficits are now coming down, but the official projection of a surplus by 2025-26 should be taken with a large ladle of salt.

As a result, Victoria has recorded the largest fiscal deterioration of any state or territory and has gone from enjoying one of the strongest fiscal positions to the weakest within a few years.

The broadest measure of debt – gross debt of the non-financial public sector – has risen from 73 per cent of revenue in 2019 to 150 per cent in 2022 and a projected 230 per cent in 2026.

The corresponding figures for all states and territories combined are 80 per cent, 123 per cent and 163 per cent. (Percentages of revenue are more meaningful than percentages of gross state product.)

The prime minister should tell Andrews to go away and get his own house in order.

The “I stand with Dan” crowd will suffer along with everyone else.

The pain doesn’t have to last forever; just as it didn’t in the 1990s fiscal consolidation, which set Victoria up for a long period of strong growth with financial stability.

The longer-term benefits of fiscal consolidation now will far outweigh any short-term drag on growth.

But the worry is that the government won’t want to – or won’t know how to – do anything other than increase state taxes to repair the budget, and will repel the business investment that is essential to a revival of growth with stability.

It has already demonstrated its taxing prowess with a payroll tax increase in last year’s budget, spuriously linked to mental health programs. It seems likely to be repeated as the key strategy.

Winston Smith
April 12, 2023 8:19 am

Indolent:
I don’t know why it hasn’t been mentioned before, but considering the biggest users of the vaccines were the “White” nations, will this ‘depopulation’ effect involve mostly Western nations, and how badly?
Just a thought…

P
P
April 12, 2023 8:20 am

We will be voting YES with millions of Australians.
https://twitter.com/TurnbullMalcolm/status/1643852582639800320

From the replies:
Are you this same Malcolm Turnbull? Or is that someone else?
https://amp.abc.net.au/article/9120252

Indolent
Indolent
April 12, 2023 8:21 am
Crossie
Crossie
April 12, 2023 8:21 am

It’s not about saving the planet – it’s about denying the peasants of a lifestyle the rich refuse to share.

I maintain that the rich took up the whole zero carbon future theology because advancements in technology made it possible for the lowest of the low the enjoy the splendours of wealth with minimal outlay.

Since the ultra rich could no longer be ostentatiously different from the rest of the population then the hoi polloi needed to be prevented from enjoying the fruits of technology.

The ultra rich then impose a new religion to which everyone must adhere or be unpersoned. In the words of John Kerry the ultra-rich are exempt because they are important and need to get around the world, the world which can stand their carbon dioxide emissions but not ours.

Whoever came up with the phrase “eat the rich” may have had something there, I will just qualify them with the ultra prefix.

Roger
Roger
April 12, 2023 8:22 am

The prime minister should tell Andrews to go away and get his own house in order.

What…and leave a mate in the lurch?

calli
calli
April 12, 2023 8:22 am

I’m also intrigued by Leeser’s mysterious “Constitutional Conservatives”.

Who are these shadowy seated figures from a decade ago? Can we have some names so we can decide for ourselves exactly who and what they are?

No. Thought not.

Crossie
Crossie
April 12, 2023 8:25 am

P says:
April 12, 2023 at 8:20 am
We will be voting YES with millions of Australians.
https://twitter.com/TurnbullMalcolm/status/1643852582639800320

Malcolm, I will be voting NO with millions of Australians.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 8:25 am

It’s all good for Dan and his Labor maaaaates in senior positions in business, the public sector and especially the unions.
Perks enjoyed, pockets filled and elections won. Dan will be off like a bandit and the taxpayer left to clean up the smash and grab Labor raid.

calli
calli
April 12, 2023 8:28 am

It appears Leeser has been working on this for many years. In 2013 the Libs weren’t in government until September. Philip Ruddock was the Member for Berowra. In what capacity was Leeser doing all this sitting down and consulting? And who asked him to do it?

So many questions. So few answers.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
April 12, 2023 8:29 am

The above is just a smidgen of what will happen. A lot is already happening.

There is an element amongst the indigenous here, who claim that the Voice means they will be properly compensated for being part of the “Stolen Generation.” The fact that none of them were born, until at least twenty years after the last of those removals, is deemed of no account.

Johnny Rotten
Johnny Rotten
April 12, 2023 8:31 am

SNOWMAN

We received about 20 inches of snow this week. So……….

8:00 am: I made a snowman.

8:10 – A feminist passed by and asked me why I didn’t make a snow woman.

8:15 – So, I made a snow woman.

8:17 – My feminist neighbour complained about the snow woman’s voluptuous chest saying it objectified women everywhere.

8:20 – The gay couple living nearby threw a hissy fit and moaned it should have been two snowmen instead.

8:22 – The transgender man / woman / person asked why I didn’t just make one snow person with detachable parts.

8:25 – The vegans at the end of the lane complained about the carrot nose, as veggies are food and are not to be used to decorate snow figures.

8:28 – I was being called a racist because the snow couple is white.

8:30 – I used food colouring to make one of the snow couple a different colour and be more racially inclusive.

8:37 – Then I was accused of using a black face on the snowperson.

8:39 – The middle eastern gent across the road demanded the snow woman be completely covered.

8:40 – The police arrived saying someone had been offended.

8:42 – The feminist neighbour complained again that the broomstick of the snow woman needed to be removed because it depicted women in a domestic role.

8:43 – The ‘council on equality’ officer arrived and threatened me with eviction.

8:45 – TV news crew from ABC showed up. I was asked if I know the difference between snowmen and snow-women? I replied “Snowballs” and am now a sexist.

9:00 – I was on the news as a suspected terrorist, racist, homophobe, and sensibility offender, bent on stirring up trouble during difficult weather.

9:10 – I was asked if I have any accomplices. My children were taken by social services.

9:29 – Far left protesters offended by everything, marched down the street demanding that I be arrested.

9:45 – The boss called and fired me because of the negative association with work that had been all over social media.

10:00 – I cry into my drink because all I wanted to do was build a snowman…

Moral: There ain’t no moral to this story. It is what this world has become because of a bunch of snowflakes.

Crossie
Crossie
April 12, 2023 8:33 am

Indolent says:
April 12, 2023 at 8:22 am
Mark Levin: Automakers Target Conservatives By Removing AM Radio Dial

A few thoughts on that:

Older people who mostly listen to AM radio are dying out, younger conservatives listen to podcasts via the car’s sound system. These older listeners will probably hang onto their cars with AM radio.

I am more concerned that we are all slowly being told no cars for you, get on the bus.

What will the rulers do when they disapprove of the podcasts we listen to and websites we read? Interrupt the internet or just try to deny access to the “offenders”?

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
April 12, 2023 8:33 am

Nats may push for Price to replace Leeser
Noah Yim
Noah Yim

Nationals leader David Littleproud says he will seek a “mature conversation” with Peter Dutton about installing Country Liberal senator Jacinta Price as the Coalition’s Indigenous affairs spokesperson.

This comes after outgoing Indigenous affairs spokesperson Julian Leeser yesterday quit the frontbench over a disagreement with the party’s opposition to the voice to parliament.

“I’ll have a conversation about that,” Mr Littleproud told Sky on Tuesday evening when asked whether Senator Price would fill the vacancy.

He noted Senator Price sits in the Nationals partyroom and therefore could not easily substitute the vacancy left by Mr Leeser, who hails from the Liberal partyroom.

“Obviously through the Coalition agreement where we sit … it’s a Liberal that has lost their position,” Mr Littleproud said. “So that obviously adds a lot of complexity.”

“But I’ll be talking with Peter Dutton and we’ll have a mature conversation about that.”

Mr Littleproud spoke favourably of Senator Price.

“Jacinta is a pure talent that we’re so lucky to have. She’s focused solely at the moment on getting that ‘No’ case up, that we are behind her as The Nationals. We’ve been behind her for six months. We were the first ones to come out and make a principled position of lived experience of what The Nationals see and feel every day.”

Johnny Rotten
Johnny Rotten
April 12, 2023 8:37 am

Only entropy comes easy.

– Anton Chekhov

eric hinton
eric hinton
April 12, 2023 8:39 am

The names of all regions, towns, and cities will be changed

Australia Post express envelopes kindly include a slot for “Traditional Name, if known.”

Mind you, I do like the way a lot of Aboriginal place names roll off the tongue… Indooroopilly, Woolloomooloo, Gnowangerup, Collarenabri.

lotocoti
lotocoti
April 12, 2023 8:39 am
Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 8:39 am

AFL indigenous players are reporting a spate of anonymous racist online posts.
Seems to have increased greatly since the AFL came out in support of The Voice.
The AFL board is out for drinks celebrating with Anonymous.

Crossie
Crossie
April 12, 2023 8:40 am

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha says:
April 12, 2023 at 8:29 am
The above is just a smidgen of what will happen. A lot is already happening.
There is an element amongst the indigenous here, who claim that the Voice means they will be properly compensated for being part of the “Stolen Generation.” The fact that none of them were born, until at least twenty years after the last of those removals, is deemed of no account.

I don’t think we understand what the indigenous may mean by stolen generation. They could be misinterpreting the whole thing and simply understanding the phrase as the country was stolen from them. In that case yes, they will demand heavy reparations.

Roger
Roger
April 12, 2023 8:40 am

Who are these shadowy seated figures from a decade ago? Can we have some names so we can decide for ourselves exactly who and what they are?

No. Thought not.

Ask and ye shall receive…

Prof George Williams
Prof Anne Twomey
Prof Megan Davis
Henry Burmester QC (at the time)
Glen Ferguson
Mr Henry Burmester

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 12, 2023 8:40 am

America continues down the Drain

Unplanned L.A. Port Closure Likely to Accelerate Business Flight From West Coast

Last week, the largest West Coast port — the Port of Los Angeles — along with the Port of Long Beach experienced an unplanned 24-hour closure.

The ports closed because dock workers simply didn’t show up, leaving the Thursday night shift and the Friday day shift unmanned.

The International Longshore and Warehouse Union issued a statement saying workers not showing up for their shifts was no big deal:

On the evening of Thursday, April 6, 2023, International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Local 13 held its monthly membership meeting as is its contractual right. … Several thousand union members attend the monthly meeting.

The Pacific Maritime Association (PMA), which represents the terminals, had a different take on the situation. On Friday, the PMA stated:

The largest ILWU local on the West Coast has taken a concerted action to withhold labor at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, resulting in widespread worker shortages. A majority of the jobs for last night’s shift went unfilled, including all jobs for cargo-handling equipment operators needed to load and unload cargo. The workers who did show up were released because there was not a full complement of ILWU members to operate the terminals.

ILWU Local 13 withheld labor again for this morning’s shift. The action by the Union has effectively shut down the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach – the largest gateway for maritime trade in the United States.

Global supply chain news site FreightWaves observes that “Labor action at West Coast ports does not have a history of being explicitly confirmed; rather, it takes the form of passive-aggressive behavior that escalates with increasingly implausible deniability.” FreightWaves predicted the unofficial union action would have long-term consequences for the ports:

The Port of Los Angeles’ sales pitch to importers in recent months has been: We have plenty of capacity now. No more ship queues. The port labor contract expired July 1, 2022, but there has been no major disruption to imports during negotiations on the new contract. No need to ship your goods all the way through the Panama Canal to the East or Gulf coasts. Come back to LA!

That sales pitch, to the extent it ever worked, died on Friday. …

One [exporter of agricultural goods] had 10 trucks turned away from the Port of Long Beach on Thursday night, with containers of goods having to be stored at a yard near the port. This exporter incurred an added cost of $20,000, leading to a substantial loss on the international sale.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 8:41 am

Julian Leeser supports all coalition policies, except those that may put his chances of re-election at risk.

Indolent
Indolent
April 12, 2023 8:41 am

I don’t know why it hasn’t been mentioned before, but considering the biggest users of the vaccines were the “White” nations, will this ‘depopulation’ effect involve mostly Western nations, and how badly?

While it’s obvious that one of the goals is destroying individual autonomy and independence which exists mostly in Western countries, I suspect that this outcome is due more to African nations having already had a taste of this sort of treachery and digging their heels in this time.

Crossie
Crossie
April 12, 2023 8:42 am

Nats may push for Price to replace Leeser

May? Have some guts and commitment and say you will.

slackster
slackster
April 12, 2023 8:42 am

Who would have guessed?:

Masks cause long Covid symptoms from Mask Induced Exhaustion Syndrome (MIES)

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1125150/full

Black Ball
Black Ball
April 12, 2023 8:42 am

Via Mater comes this fantastic ditty from some gorgeous gal. Rabz will no doubt be toe tapping.

Roger
Roger
April 12, 2023 8:43 am

Burmester…you only get one go!

Ed Case
Ed Case
April 12, 2023 8:46 am

“But I’ll be talking with Peter Dutton and we’ll have a mature conversation about that.”

Mr Littleproud spoke favourably of Senator Price.

She’s a novice of 9 months in the Parliament, not in the House Of Representatives, but let’s elevate her to Shadow Cabinet in a critical role?
Don’t be a complete clown all your life.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 8:51 am

Quite right Ed
Let’s not put in a real person with dedication and conviction who hasn’t had the benefit of years of re-education by the permanent bureaucracy.
Jacinta doesn’t know what’s good for her yet. Julian Leeser could give her advice.

Black Ball
Black Ball
April 12, 2023 8:54 am

Rita Panahi:

Dan Andrews vowed to quit his TikTok habit after Prime Minister Anthony Albanese belatedly followed our major allies in banning the Chinese-owned social media giant, amid concerns it poses an espionage risk.

Of course the politically savvy PM waited until the Aston by-election was done before announcing the government wide ban, well aware of the sensitivities around the issue for the Chinese-Australian community.

Aston is home to more than 22,000 Chinese residents who make up close to 15 per cent of the electorate. The fact that the federal government had the Department of Home Affairs’ review of TikTok well before the Aston by-election, but declined to announce the ban until after, speaks volumes.

After all, the US and UK had already declared similar bans on TikTok after it became crystal clear that the app poses a significant security risk.

After the local ban – which applies to every federal government and department-issued device used by public servants including politicians – was announced, Premier Andrews pledged to delete his TikTok account which has over 100,000 followers.

That was more than a week ago. Yet his account remains on the site. It takes mere seconds to delete the account and yet his massive social media team has failed to complete the simple and very necessary task.

The premier’s last post was on March 21 featuring a transgender “progress” flag being raised at Treasury Place to fly alongside two other LGBTQIA+ flags.

The Victorian Liberal Party has also failed to delete its TikTok account which is full of election promises delivered in the most cringe-worthy fashion imaginable.

They have mercifully not posted in 2023 though senior Liberals such as David Southwick continue to be active on the site.

This week Sky News Australia deleted its account due to the security risks posed by the Beijing-controlled app. “TikTok is a spy network masquerading as a social media platform which has been proven to illegally pilfer the data of journalists, public citizens and politicians,” digital editor Jack Houghton wrote.

Social media is the digital public square; it’s how one in two of us access daily news and that number is growing by the day. As a social media enthusiast you can find me on Twitter and to a lesser extent on Instagram and Facebook but never on TikTok.

The risks associated with the platform were known well before the US, UK and now Australian government’s banned the app on their devices.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
April 12, 2023 8:54 am

In that case yes, they will demand heavy reparations.

I’m all for reparations as long as they are made on a “One off and final payment ” basis, not made in “Perpetuity” as demanded.

Big_Nambas
Big_Nambas
April 12, 2023 8:59 am

Those of you smart enough to be taking Zinc, don’t stop.

Ben Abdallah et al from Tunisia recently published the VIZIR trial (viral infection treatment with oral zinc: a randomized controlled trial in COVID-19) which randomized a spectrum of acute COVID-19 patients to zinc 25 mg po bid versus placebo. Zinc has been known for decades to be an inhibitor of RNA-dependent polymerase. There was a 42% reduction in the primary composite of needing ICU admission or death.

It is noteworthy, that the two most common companion drugs for zinc, hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin where not mentioned anywhere in the paper. Additionally, while the authors indicate they diligently recorded information about COVID-19 vaccination, none of the data are given in the paper.

We are left with justification for the continued use of zinc. Patients were fortunate to have doctors and hospitals throughout the pandemic who followed multidrug protocols that included zinc among several other nutraceuticals. I wonder how many hospitalized patients in the world never received a single tablet of zinc? I am pleased that 50 mg elemental zinc (220 mg of zinc sulfate) has been in the McCullough Protocol since August 7, 2020.

https://www.trialsitenews.com/a/vizir-viral-infection-treatment-with-oral-zinc-a-randomized-controlled-trial-in-covid-19-618aa0

Top Ender
Top Ender
April 12, 2023 9:00 am

Join this mob, and get a year off, accruing leave entitlements, while you hesitate to go the full mile:

Suncorp, which boasts of having 46 per cent of women in senior leadership positions, is now taking a stand on transgender issues.

The insurer and bank, headed by former political advisor Steve Johnston, is now offering “gender affirmation leave” as one of the benefits for its 13,000 plus employees.

Suncorp workers are now entitled to six weeks’ paid gender affirmation leave and up to 12 months unpaid leave, giving them time to tell their families and friends about a change in gender identity, adopts the style of dress or presentation that better aligns with their gender identity and change their pronouns or name.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 12, 2023 9:00 am

An employee asked to go remote. Her CEO says he outsourced her job to India instead and saved 40% on labor costs.

. CEO Johnny Taylor Jr. told WSJ he outsourced an employee’s job after she requested it be remote.
. Hiring someone in India saved the company around 40% in labor costs, he told the Journal.
. Since the pandemic, some tech companies have hired remote workers overseas, sometimes amid layoffs.

A CEO’s anecdote to the Wall Street Journal highlights a potential risk workers may face in asking their boss to let them work remotely on a permanent basis: the company could outsource their job instead.

That’s what happened when an employee at the Society for Human Resource Management who wanted to move states suggested she could work her tech role remotely in the US, the company’s CEO, Johnny Taylor Jr., told the Journal.

Taylor instead decided to outsource the employee’s role to someone in India, and the offshoring of the position led to around 40% in labor cost savings, he told WSJ.

The Society for Human Resource Management has a hybrid remote work policy that allows employees to work from home on Friday and Monday, a company spokesperson told Insider.

Taylor isn’t alone in looking to tap labor from overseas — where the average compensation for tech jobs is often far lower than in the US.

Remote work for US workers boomed during the pandemic. But as some companies continue to struggle to find workers and companies look to reduce costs, offshoring positions overseas could see a surge, Insider’s Jacob Zinkula previously reported.

This could hurt white-collar workers in the US in particular — a group that has been especially hit by layoffs this past year. If more US businesses outsource, meaning they open up their job listings to overseas workers, white-collar workers could find themselves competing against a global pool of applicants.

Some tech companies have already turned to overseas labor, including in Latin America, Europe, Africa, and the Middle East, Insider’s Aki Ito reported. This is a stark change for an industry that’s often prioritized in-person collaboration, Ito reported, and the number of companies considering this option is rising. Companies who were looking to hire engineers in the US or Latin America jumped to 75%, tech-recruiting platform Laskie reported in March. A year ago, 55% of companies were considering US and Latin American candidates.

“US tech companies are saying, ‘We can hire an engineer in the United States for $300,000 or we can hire somebody great internationally with very similar experience for $75,000,’” Chris Bakke, CEO of the tech-recruiting platform Laskie, previously told Insider.

Still, only positions that could be completed entirely remotely are at risk to be impacted. And the number of remote positions offered in the US has been steadily declining, especially as more companies impose return-to-office policies.

While fully remote work in the US peaked at 60% in 2020, as of March, only about 13% of US job postings were remote, according to the staffing firm Manpower Group. The year before, 17% of job postings offered remote work.

GreyRanga
GreyRanga
April 12, 2023 9:00 am

Jacinta Price, 9 months in parliament and one of the few that has got a clue. If nut case was elected to parliament he’d want to be AG so to be in charge of the Spooks but only qualified to be the Foreign Affairs minister in charge of the Flamers.

Ed Case
Ed Case
April 12, 2023 9:02 am

She’s a political novice, she’s completely out of her depth as a Senator and the only people putting her forward are Labor shills.

It’s the sort of tokenistic appointment Tony Abbott specialised in.
It came back to bite him with Bronwyn Bishop.

Same will happen with Price.
She’ll have as spectacular public meltdown, Dutton will have to sack her and Albanese will be laughing all the way to a successful Referendum.

Leeser entered Parliament in 2016, spent 6 years as a backbencher, but Price is good to go into Shadow Cabinet in a high pressure role after 9 months in the Senate?
Gimme a break?

Big_Nambas
Big_Nambas
April 12, 2023 9:03 am

It was enforced in Western countries with the same ferocity, meticulousness, and categorical unforgivingness with which the hijab is forced upon women in Islamic countries. Never before had the government induced a trend in society so invasive and so disruptive to human life, and never had such an intrusion been built on such a foundation of scientific lies. It’s the Western pagan version of the burka. Unfortunately, to this day, despite new research showing possible long-term side effects and zero benefit to mask-wearing, it is still enforced upon many health care workers and remains a looming menace in society. The time has come to ban it with the same ferocity and unwavering commitment with which it was forced upon us.

To this day, three years into this immoral, illogical, and inhumane policy, health care settings in red states are still forcing workers and often patients in distress to wear the pagan burka. Now a new study from London shows the masks made absolutely no difference in hospital settings where we were told wearing them was the difference

https://www.conservativereview.com/horowitz-long-mask-new-research-shows-masks-ineffective-and-harmful-effects-could-be-mistaken-for-long-covid-2659835230.html?utm_source=cr-dailyAM&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CR%20Daily%202023-04-11&utm_term=ACTIVE%20-%20CR%20Daily

Boambee John
Boambee John
April 12, 2023 9:03 am

Indolent

While it’s obvious that one of the goals is destroying individual autonomy and independence which exists mostly in Western countries, I suspect that this outcome is due more to African nations having already had a taste of this sort of treachery and digging their heels in this time.

Wasn’t Gates involved in some dubious vaccine experiments in parts of Africa, with bad outcomes?

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 12, 2023 9:04 am

People are ticked that delivery drivers complained about stingy tips in a viral New York Times article.

Here are the 5 main reasons people don’t think they should tip more.

1. Larger orders don’t mean more work for drivers
2. Drivers shouldn’t expect the same tips as restaurant workers
3. Drivers should be tipped based on how difficult their delivery was
4. Why should the customer be responsible for paying these workers a living wage?
5. Gig work was never intended to be a full-time job

GreyRanga
GreyRanga
April 12, 2023 9:04 am

Just heard on the radio, the Irish midget homo is leaving quaintarse in bad shape coz the average age of planes is 15 yrs. Just what I was opining the other day.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 9:06 am

Julian Leeser supports all coalition policies, except those that may put his chances of re-election at risk.

There’s a solution for that – go Teal. In the right socio-economic electorates of course. Unless you can count half a dozen Range Rovers in the carpark without moving – don’t bother. Lee see might be right on the cusp.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 9:06 am

Major political figure with no experience in politics:

1 – Barack Obama
2 – Donald Trump

See, I’m being bipartisan.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
April 12, 2023 9:09 am

ABC radio weather report for Victoria.
Cloudy throughout widespread rain developing during the day.
Showers in Melbourne clearing up late morning.

Deserves a climate change award.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 9:09 am

Autocorrect is the perfect illustration of IT. It must now create more errors than it ever fixes.

H B Bear
H B Bear
April 12, 2023 9:14 am

Surely Groogs in Cabinet (not entirely implausible through Liar factional appointment) would get spooks AND flamers.

Johnny Rotten
Johnny Rotten
April 12, 2023 9:14 am

A little girl asked her mum “Mum, can I take the dog for a walk around the block?” Mum replies “No, because she is in heat”. “What’s that mean?” asked the child. “Go ask your father. I think he’s in the garage”.

The little girl goes to the garage and says “Daddy, can I take Belle for a walk around the block? I asked mum, but she said the dog was in heat, and to come to you”. Dad said “Bring Belle over here”.

Being old school he took a rag, soaked it with a little gasoline, and dabbed the dog’s backside with it to disguise the scent, and said “Okay, you can go now, but keep Belle on the leash and only go one time round the block”.

The little girl left and returned a few minutes later with no dog on the leash.

Surprised, dad asked “Where’s Belle?” The little girl said “She ran out of gas about halfway down the block, so another dog is pushing her home”.

Plasmamortar
Plasmamortar
April 12, 2023 9:14 am

Wasn’t Gates involved in some dubious vaccine experiments in parts of Africa, with bad outcomes?

Yeah, millions of African women became infertile…
I think it was somewhere is West Africa…
It was used as a trial area before implementation in the West.

Johnny Rotten
Johnny Rotten
April 12, 2023 9:15 am

Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored.

– Aldous Huxley

Black Ball
Black Ball
April 12, 2023 9:17 am

Daily Telegraph:

Liberal MP Anthony Roberts has lit a fire under his own party, demanding fellow members “take a cup of concrete and harden up”, while confirming he will run for the leadership to drive reform and make voters “realise … we deserve to be back there”.

Mr Roberts confirmed to The Telegraph he would put his hand up for leader after being approached by other Liberals, slamming the botched preselection process that hobbled Dominic Perrottet’s election run and left the party scrambling to find candidates for up to 20 seats just a month out from the March 25 vote.

He said he wanted to drive reform in the party, starting with addressing the preselection dramas that plagued it at last month’s election as well as last year’s federal vote.

“Is putting a candidate into the field six weeks before an election good for the party or good for the candidate? No it’s not,” he said.

“I feel sorry for the candidates who went into the field six weeks before the election, it’s unacceptable.

“We owe the people of NSW more. They’ve had a fantastic government for 12 years, and quite frankly, we have to look at ourselves as to why we weren’t able to explain that and sell that vision.”

Mr Roberts – a leader within the party’s right faction who is understood to be facing competition for the top job from moderate Mark Speakman and fellow faction-member Alister Henskens – said “in four years’ time, people will realise if we present ourselves better, we deserve to be back there”.

“If other people want to put their hands up, they can put their hands up. But what the party needs is strong leadership … to build a strong foundation for a good strategic organisation which can put people into positions to win those seats that should be ours,” he said.

“Most importantly, it’s not about individual members of parliament, it’s not about the party, it’s about the people of NSW.

“Whichever the way ballot goes, it’s up to the party – but let’s organise who’s going to be leader, who’s going to organise reform for the next couple of years, and let’s get back to work.

“It’s time for the party to take a cup of concrete and harden up, we will win it back in four years.”

Mr Roberts, who as the longest-serving MP in the lower house is awarded the title of ‘Father of the House’, said reforming the party included headhunting better talent to run in the next election.

“This is the sixth election I’ve won, I’m of the party – I believe in the party and what it stands for. It’s about ensuring we have a party that’s able to preselect people more than a month ahead of an election,” he said.

“It’s about almost corporatising it and ensuring we go and find talent … there’s plenty of people who deserve to have an opportunity to run for parliament that don’t.”

It’s understood the Liberals will hold their first post-election meeting late next week where Dominic Perrottet’s replacement is set to be decided.

Labor’s application for a recount in the seat of Ryde – where Liberal candidate Jordan Lane won by just 50 votes- won’t delay the leadership decision.

calli
calli
April 12, 2023 9:19 am

Thanks Roger. The List. Very representative of ordinary Australians.

Now…who got them together to discuss this? Someone must have done so. Who’s idea was it? Leeser at the time was at the Australian Catholic University.

Nelson_Kidd-Players
April 12, 2023 9:24 am

David Flint has a weekly spot on 2GB et. al. in the wee small hours.

Here’s this week’s installment: https://www.2gb.com/podcast/the-issues-that-matter-with-professor-david-flint-64/ (audio; 29:07)

I generally download (click the share button and the download button then appears) to listen in Windows Media Player at double speed and find it totally listenable at this rare.

P
P
April 12, 2023 9:24 am

Leeser praised for putting ‘principle before politics’ on the Voice
12 April 2023 – CathNews

Julian Leeser has warned the Albanese Government risks dividing the country by failing to ­“seriously engage” with Coalition voters who want to support an ­Indigenous Voice but have concerns over the model, after he quit the Opposition frontbench. Source: The Australian.

Ed Case
Ed Case
April 12, 2023 9:25 am

Major political figure with no experience in politics:

1 – Barack Obama
2 – Donald Trump

See, I’m being a dope.

Correct.

Back to reality:
#1. Barack Obama: Illinois State Senator; United States Senator from Illinois; POTUS.
#2. Donald Trump: Lifelong Democrat; funded Republican politicians in NYC since the early 1970s.
Jacinta Price: 1 term on Alice Spring Council, zero achievements;
9 months a Senator, zero achievements.

Black Ball
Black Ball
April 12, 2023 9:26 am

And James Morrow:

If you want to know why the prime minister is so keen to keep people talking about the Voice, just look at what else it is keeping them from talking about.

On Saturday, it was revealed that 10 million middle-income taxpayers will be as much as $1500 worse off thanks to Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ decision to let a tax offset expire in the middle of a cost of living crisis.

On Monday, the news hit that the planned closure of the Liddell coal fired power station was going ahead, putting further pressure on power prices that were supposed to have dropped by $275, according to Anthony Albanese’s election promises.

Oh, and on Tuesday, word came out of Victoria that Premier Dan Andrews was in quiet talks with Canberra for a bailout because, as it turns out, keeping the state going through some of the world’s longest lockdowns cost money.

Meanwhile, what’s the prime minister — who’s now on holiday — been up to?

Rolling out Indigenous sports stars to sell the Voice as if it were a new brand of breakfast cereal and not a major constitutional change which even the voice’s biggest academic supporters admit could interfere in just about anything it chooses.

This is the classic politicians’ magic trick.

Don’t look at the cost of living or all the divisive academics calling “no” voters racist and demanding a treaty.

Instead, look at this marvellous line-up of Indigenous sports stars all urging you to say “yes”.

For Albo, it makes total sense.

Because again, the more time people spend on the razzle dazzle side of his signature policy, the less time he is being questioned about the cost of living.

And so far the strategy has been working, so much so that the Prime Minister was able to tweet a photo of himself dining with Sheik Shady Alsuleiman at an Iftar dinner last Wednesday with barely a ripple.

If the name Sheik Shady rings a few bells, he’s the chap who Malcolm Turnbull said he regretted hosting at an iftar dinner when he was prime minister, over controversial comments.

But he is also president of the Australian National Imams Council, which is reportedly now training up 200 imams to spruik the voice to the nation’s one million Muslims, so do the maths.

This strategy also means that people are not paying attention to the very real problems with the Voice, including the really divisive rhetoric being served up on an almost daily basis by the Voice’s most ardent supporters.

Last week, in a softball interview with Radio National’s Patricia Karvelas, Noel Pearson attacked the Liberals for their “Judas betrayal” of the country and called Peter Dutton an undertaker.

Similar scenes played out on Monday night when Anne Pattel-Grey told a Q&A audience that there was something morally wrong with “no” voters.

“This is a moral and ethical agenda and this will determine the integrity of Australia,” Ms Pattel-Grey, who teaches at Melbourne’s University of Divinity, told the audience.

“Whether they vote yes or whether they vote no is going to be to the individual’s question of integrity.”

Again, they say it’s the “no” side that’s tearing the country apart.

All of this presents a two-pronged challenge for Dutton.

Yes, Julian Leeser’s abrupt departure will cause a day or two’s noise for the Liberals.

It is a real mark the former shadow attorney general that he sat through last week’s party room meeting, appeared to be on board with the plan to oppose, and then decided for reasons best known to himself to pull the pin six days later.

But assuming (and this could be a big assumption) there are no more defections, Leeser’s leaving gives the party clear air to forensically attack the voice while also attacking Labor for the rising cost of pretty much everything under its watch.

On both counts, the Coalition may start to find voters more receptive than ever.

Polls show that there is a narrow but soft majority in favour of the voice, and the general physics of referendums means that they lose rather than gain support over time.

To turn this around Labor wants to cement in voters’ minds the equation that a vote for the voice is a vote for reconciliation and against Peter Dutton.

This is dishonest, of course, but so too is much of politics.

Not only can one be in favour of reconciliation but against the voice, there is a strong argument that by locking the voice into the constitution, true reconciliation will never be achieved.

There is more.

More Coverage
Dutton downplays frontbench fractures over Voice stance
Let’s welcome a country with fewer welcomes
The sarcastic groundswell of reaction to Marcia Langton’s weekend threat that a “no” vote would mean no more welcomes to country (really!?) suggests large numbers of Australians are weary of what has become nothing more than a bit of corporate piety.

If the Coalition catches these winds while also hammering relentlessly the cost of living, the government’s extended honeymoon may soon come to an abrupt end with a very large bill slipped under the door.

calli
calli
April 12, 2023 9:33 am

Furthermore, I’m fed up with the Wormtongue use of language. Leeser calls them “constitutional conservatives”.

The immediate reaction from an elector in Berowra will see “conservative” and wipe their brow in relief. This is not true. They are not “conservative” in a political sense, just a legal one. And we only have their word for it.

Black Ball
Black Ball
April 12, 2023 9:37 am

Interesting reading.
Fat lesbian hardest hit.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 12, 2023 9:39 am

Russo-Ukrainian War: Leak Biopsy

A Russian Nesting Doll of Embarrassment

BIG SERGE
11 APR 2023

Another winter has ended, and spring has again arisen on the war in Ukraine. Amid the thaw and attendant mud, Russian forces – including the indominable Wagner Group – have pushed the Ukrainian grouping in Bakhmut to the brink, with the AFU now clinging its last defensive toehold in the city. Bakhmut has become the largest battle of the 21st century, and is now entering its climactic phase.

Nevertheless, battlefield developments have been upstaged to some extent by the apparent leak of classified US military intelligence documents which provide a sweeping view into the inner workings of the Pentagon’s war.

I am not entirely clear on Substack’s content policies as it relates to such documents. It is certainly too late for the US Government to contain the leak, as the images have by this point been shared, screenshotted, and downloaded countless times, but that does not preclude an attempt to limit its circulation via a whac-a-mole campaign of content deletion.

In any case, desiring neither to violate US law nor run afoul of Substack’s content rules, prudence dictates that I ought not embed the images directly in this post, but they are not hard to find – the “Rus Fleet” Telegram channel has them up at the moment, for example. Use your own discretion.

While I will not be posting the leaked documents either here or on twitter, I would like to talk about them. If they are indeed authentic (and it appears that they are), they offer important insight into force generation and combat power in Ukraine – and perhaps even more importantly, into the intelligence framework that the Pentagon is working with. None of the items adduced paint a particularly rosy picture for either the AFU or its benefactors on the Atlantic seaboard.

A Brief History of the Leaks

The general impression is that an American folded the briefing documents up, put them in his/her/their/xer/xem/plur pocket (the American military is a Diverse and Inclusive institution, and the leaker could have any, all, or no gender), took the pages home and photographed them. It was almost certainly not a Russian asset – if the documents had been acquired by Russian intelligence, they would have kept it internal.

Now, the obvious question is whether the documents are real.

There’s probably at least some rational basis to suspect a misinformation operation. All militaries engage in a range of intermingling intelligence (seeing what the enemy is doing), counterintelligence (hiding what you are doing), and misinformation (lying about what you are doing). Perhaps, one may muse, these documents were not leaked at all, but indelibly planted on the internet to mislead.

I was originally rather agnostic about the documents’ authenticity, but I have come to the view that they are genuine (let’s rate it a 90% likelihood of authenticity and a 10% likelihood of forgery or misinformation).

My reasons are essentially as follows:

Ukrainian Force Generation

The most significant implication of the documents is simple: Ukraine’s combat power is significantly degraded, and in particular their mechanized units and artillery forces are in very rough shape.

An ancillary but important note at this point is the fact that, as best we can tell from these documents, Ukraine’s prewar tank park is almost completely gone. Ukraine went to war with about 800 of its workhorse T-64, but the NATO combat power build notes only 43 now on hand. There are others, of course, that are currently being operated by Ukrainian frontline units, but the build plan indicates that Ukraine has virtually none in reserve to equip this vital attack package, on which all their hopes will depend.

Meanwhile, a separate element of the leak paints a similarly dismal picture of Ukraine’s ranged fires. Buried on a page marked “NOFORN” – which means No Foreign Nationals, even allies, are supposed to see it, is a logistics table showing 155mm shell deliveries and expenditures. This bit is rather shocking.

We have known for quite some time that Ukraine is facing a critical shell shortage, but the leaked documents reveal just how acute this issue is. Ukraine’s usage rate is very low right now – the report claims only 1,104 shells had been expended in the previous 24 hours – compare this to the 20,000 or so shells that the Russian army is firing on a daily basis. Even more alarming for Ukraine is the note that they have only 9,788 shells on hand.

Even with a low burn rate that leaves the AFU massively outgunned, they have enough on hand to sustain combat for a little over a week, and they rely on a trickle of deliveries from the USA to keep these stocks stable. The report noted a shipment of 1,840 shells departing in the next 24 hours. Batches of this size are obviously insufficient for Ukraine to build up its stocks, and can only serve to backstop and replenish daily expenditure. There is no possibility of America quickly ramping up the size of these deliveries, because a mere 14,000 shells are produced per month. US officials hope to get this number up to 20,000 this year, but this is still below Ukraine’s current burn rate.

The implication is pretty straightforward. Ukraine is on a shell ration that leaves it unable to offer more than token fire, and it will likely have to live with this shell ration for the duration of the war.

The overall picture of Ukrainian combat power is atrocious.

The American Analytic Framework

While the leaked documents certainly do not paint an encouraging picture of Ukraine’s force generation, they also offer a similarly shocking glimpse into the state of American military intelligence.

One of the things that immediately jumps out when one looks at the operational reports (the pages showing detailed situation maps) is that the Pentagon apparently has far more information on Russian dispositions than on Ukrainians units. Russian units are strongly accounted for – their locations are precisely marked, unit designations are identified, there are assessments as to which Russian units are combat capable or not, and there are very specific estimates of Russian frontline strength (IE, 23,250 men on the Zaporizhzhia axis and 15,650 men on the Kherson axis).

In contrast, Ukrainian units are not given combat capability designations, their locations are more generally indicated, and there are huge ranges on the assessed manpower (10,000 to 20,000 men on the Donetsk axis – an enormous margin of error!) This, incidentally, is another reason why I think the documents are genuine. If the intent was to put forth disinformation to confuse or deceive the Russians, one would expect actionable (but fake) intelligence about Ukrainian deployments – yet there is no such thing here. Ukrainian strengths and dispositions are presented vaguely and inconclusively, so the only thing the Russian army might extrapolate from this report is that the Americans don’t really know what’s going on with Ukrainian forces.

Indeed, this is the inescapable conclusion. The Pentagon does not seem to have a strong sense of Ukrainian unit strength, location, or activities. They also list their assessed Ukrainian KIA at a mere 16k-17.5k. This is an absurdly low number – where could they have gotten it? In fact, it is a direct copy-paste of the casualty numbers reported publicly by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

The fact that the Pentagon does not seem to have any independently generated intelligence about the Ukrainian army is shocking.

Air Defense at the Brink

Conclusion: Asleep at the Wheel

Yet the leak as an act of subterfuge or treason is less significant than what the documents show.

They show a conspicuous lack of alertness or long-range planning on the part of the Pentagon. American leadership seemingly has to contend with Ukraine as a black hole which sucks in money and munitions and gives nothing back; there is no strong sense of Ukrainian frontline strength, losses, or planning, and the Pentagon seems to lack any sort of independent intelligence streams.

Meanwhile, the material situation in Ukraine is degrading rapidly. Their artillery arm is running on fumes, with a miniscule shell ration and no reserve stocks to speak of, fed by a trickle of deliveries from the USA. Air defense is similarly worn thin, and the plan to repair this crucial umbrella threatens to quickly become vampiric and drain NATO interceptor stocks.

The entire strategic logic of Ukraine has reversed. Rather than becoming a cheap way to drain the Russian military, NATO finds itself drawing down its own stocks to prop up the hemorrhaging Ukrainian state, with no clear endgame in sight.

The proxy has become a parasite.

To salvage the situation, Kiev must place its hopes on one desperate dice roll with a mechanized attack package comprised of half-strength brigades wielding a disparate inventory of different vehicles and systems. This Frankenstein’s monster of armies – sewn together with a bevy of different tanks, IFVs, APCs, and artillery systems drawn from all corners of the NATO alliance, will likely be asked to smash through the heavily fortified and robustly manned Russian lines in the south, where it will be pulverized and become only so much more mulch for the Pontic Steppe.

Ed Case
Ed Case
April 12, 2023 9:42 am

What’s the basis for Jacinta Price’s opposition to a Yes vote?

Hard to tell, but it looks like “It’s Raaacism!!!” is about all she’s got.

So, all Labor has to do is a bit of meaningless tweaking to the wording and Price will become a Yes campaigner and Dutton will be looking for another Indigenous Affairs spokesperson.
But this time it will haftya be a National Party MP, to avoid a Coalition split.
Step forward Barnaby Joyce.
Referendum will be home and hosed after that.

OldOzzie
OldOzzie
April 12, 2023 9:44 am

Black Ball says:
April 12, 2023 at 9:37 am

Interesting reading.
Fat lesbian hardest hit.

John Kirby warns journalists not to report on leaked Pentagon documents.

“This is information that has no business in the public domain…It has no business…on the front pages of newspapers or on television.”

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