Ok, due to the interest generated from my post yesterday, and the efforts to quantify the ACTUAL risk versus government propaganda, I took a path that is usually an enigma to my professionalism. I extrapolated off some grainy, low fidelity screenshots of government graphs which I found on the two relevant infographics (found here). I then used the age group percentage and applied it to the total Victorian case figure provided (18,628) to produce a rough number of cases per age group.
This is all pretty imprecise and, quite frankly, is an insult to my fastidious nature, but it does give a reasonable indication in terms of order of magnitude.
The claim (again):

The results from the very rough extrapolation of screenshots for the period 9 Jun-18 Oct 20, in Victoria:

So, as you can see, you need to be 70+ to be within cooee of the government provided figure. In fact, the figures for those below 50 years old show the government figure to be farcical.
The observant types will notice that they significantly understated the risk for those 70+ years of age…the very demographic which they SHOULD have been targeting, but given that the claim was published sometime after Aug 2021, it’s clear they were trying to scare the unvaccinated, younger demographic.
This is upside-down world stuff. Not what I’d expect from a responsible government.
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