The latest election polls from RCP here.
The latest from the betting markets, Kalshi and Polymarket.
Update: Baris’s Election Night Live coverage begins.
Lisa Benson.
- Open Thread – Tues 28 Jan 2025
- Flying the Flag
- Open Thread – Australia Day Weekend 2025
- Open Thread – Thurs 23 Jan 2025
- Open Thread – Mon 20 Jan 2025
Steve Kelley.
Chip Bok.
Al Goodwyn.
Tom Stiglich.
Polymarket now 90% in favour of Trump.
“Both Culver and Lynch are considering moves abroad if Donald Trump wins, but Lynch concedes that it would be difficult for him.
“Being someone who works in the service industry, and pretty much living paycheck to paycheck right now, it’s not financially viable. It’s honestly a nightmare scenario.””
https://www.savannahnow.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/05/election-day-in-georgia-updates-breaking-news-results/76047870007/
Still not convinced this is outside the margin of steal.
The question isn’t that.
It whether the voters will believe the outcome if there is a steal.
I suspect Dem and deep state brains trusts are agonizing about this right about now.
Lamp posts and tumbrils will be figuring in their calculations.
Unfortunately, I have to agree with you, Rabz.
Trump nicely up in North Carolina & Virginia and that would get Trump to 234.
A lot has to go right for Kamala from here. Georgia win would be 250.
She needs nearly all the west plus Penn & Wisconsin.
It was a mirage. Look again.
Had blood test. No Cellutlitis, thank the Lord. The Emergency clinic at Macquarie Park top drawer – you are on a bed, with canula in, blood taken, blood pressure taken etc within 10 minutes. Blood results within 30-40 minutes as a recall. Meantime tea & bickies.You pay a hefty up front fee, but it is worth it. Excellent doctor says it is an allergic reaction, but prescribes Keflex in any case, as well as anti-histamines (these already taken).
Will stay in Sydney overnight to watch the duel in the USA.
Had cellulitis in my foot seven years ago.
Was in hospital for six days, allowed to go home but was back the next day for another week.
Doctor seemed very confident that I would die if left untreated.
Hairy gets it from insect bites. He got badly bitten when some crawled into the space between the buttons on his shirt when we were 1000k up the Amazon.
I carry antibiotics. He stated them immediately. All aok very soon.
Had similar in my hand a few months ago, Vicki. Went to private local emergency clinic Sunday morning, $290, on intravenous antibiotics within 30mins, into private hospital for 4 days, all good. Worth every cent.
Anybody know how New Hampshire is going?
The governor is now republican.
I think the democrats have it in the bag.
Iowa still has some big blue counties with big outstanding vote totals. Tough sledding for Harris but technically still doable.
Trump 242
Harris 108
PJ Media
How’s everyone doing? Has m0nty stopped by?
You can’t deny him his big day.
He’s been leaving a slime trail all day.
Couldn’t you smell him when you logged on?
He has! How ya doing, m0nts?
91:195
You’d think it was outside the ability to steal, but it isn’t.
Counties swamped by illegal migrants are hand grenades for Harris.
MSNBC is good viewing for those who like watching people in pain.
Boy NYC is a bubble. Went to an election party this evening. Everyone there hated Trump. One bird said to me that if he won she would cry and be depressed for 4 years. As a guest, I didn’t challenge anyone. NYC, the biggest bubble in the world. It’s almost thoughtless as friends talk each into it. There’s absolutely no point in taking the other side the discussion.
Was she a good looker?
No. Scrawny like almost all Manhattan females. Full meal once a week.
Any in finance? I would hope not as they should not be managing money.
vr Typical Manhattan. Couple of investment banker types. Portfolio manager, lawyers and doctors. Female and males.
Just rip as much food n drink that you can.
Breitbart Trump 211 Harris 112
PJ Media 242 108
m0nts still hanging his hat on Selzer’s obviously dodgy, credibility-destroying poll. Hahahahahahahaha denial isn’t a oh you get the idea.
ABC Aus: Trump 198 to Harris 112
Oz: 195 to 91
Kamala is up 51.9% to 47.3% with 49% counted. But there is a lot of rural areas not reporting.
So far this has been an extremely prosaic count. No blow outs, no surprises. A 50:50 coin flip, just like the polls predicted.
it is very much on track for the identical reversal in the dead of night as 2020.
If you think it’s 50/50, Mont, there is money to be made on https://polymarket.com/
Why would there be a reversal in the dead of night Monty?
Tell us all about how this mysterious phenomenon works.
Cheating.
Trump narrow favourite to win election with leads in Pennsylvania, Georgia, North CarolinaDonald Trump is now the narrow favourite to win the election, narrowly leading in Pennsylvania and with a strong lead over Kamala Harris in Georgia and North Carolina, all key battleground states .
Can’t understand why many voters would vote Democrat in Pennsylvania, considering their anti-fracking and coal mining stance (especially Kamala).
Sky 207 to 91
It’s a bit warm – the front patio is 42c in the shade, and I think I’ll have a nap.
Took a double dose of my blood pressure medication this morning, just in case.
It’s very warm here in Sydney too.
No Nevada results at all for at least three hours due to extremely long lines extending voting times at some locations.
65mill mail in 2020
37 – 2024
I also notice that RFK is getting up to 1% of the vote in a LOT of states… WHY?
Protest against him working with Trump?
Arab Americans is my guess.
Because his name is still on the ballot in spite of him asking for it to be removed. Dem states refused to remove it.
Outright election interference there, imho.
Tough sledding for Harris but technically still doable.
Not doable. Now declared red.
I guess your prediction a few days ago that Iowa was going blue was in the same vein as your prediction back in July that…..
‘Biden can govern’
Now that was a corker.
That is as abominable as Dreg Sheridan stating that Biden is a decent bloke. yuurgghhh.
What about the Jewish vote in New York?
Infukingcredible; still a majority of Jews voting for the people who would destroy them.
Then they’re not Jews. Jews are SMART.
Fake Indian wins in Massachusetts.
Elizabeth Warren wins reelection in Massachusetts (6 Nov)
I was immensely amused that not only had she put out an Amerindian recipe book, called Pow Wow Chow, but she’d also plagiarized the recipes from someone else.
A true DemonRat. What’s mine is mine, what’s yours is also mine.
Hey Fatboy
Bad decision choosing Walz over Shapiro, hey?
Some things to watch:
Maybe nothing. https://twitter.com/Project_Veritas/status/1854011396872110239?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1854011396872110239%7Ctwgr%5Eaedb2c9ee9674105a9fd3f4ff17dccb5aec06657%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Finstapundit.com%2F682569%2F.
And again
https://twitter.com/ChairmanWhatley/status/1853994922350678200
Detroit Michigan – 200,000 votes to be manufactured.
BREAKING: TRUMP HAS WON THE LARGEST SHARE OF THE JEWISH VOTE IN DECADES IN FLORIDA, ARIZONA, NEVADA Florida: 43% for Trump Arizona: 38% for Trump Nevada: 42% for Trump
Not surprised. Just beautiful
Good, but it should read 100%.
Fox just mentioned that Trump has a solid lead in Wayne County (Detroit Michigan). Losing that previously massive voting block for the Dems will make it interesting!
LOL … took a look and Kamala is at 93% of the vote. But just goes to show that all the automotive workers are voting like turkeys for Christmas.
Hahaha.
The Australian news media is still behaving as if the internet hasn’t been invented (h/t Mak Siccar/ Top Ender):
So, when does the voting stall/stop?
For info: It’s nearly 11pm at PJ Media
When the DemonRats know how many votes must be forged.
I wonder what K Rudd is doing right now
… phoning Flight Centre and checking realestate.com?
Hahaha
Husband just called out to me that looks like Trump well ahead. A workman in the house next door yelled out “That’s good!”
It’s a good feeling for a lot of people.
Dow futures up. BTC up around 9%. Markets seem to think Trump with at least a Rep senate.
If he wins, the American golden age begins.
Garbage people on a garbage island.
Republicans Flip Governor’s Mansion in Puerto Rico, Despite Joke Controversy (5 Nov)
Maybe Puerto Ricans are fed up with Democrats turning their island into a garbage dump.
That will put a crimp on DemonRat plans to make it a state.
Joy Behar about ready to sing….scream really.
Trump has definitely won Georgia.
Cassie, possibly by midnight. It does look like a Rep night. The West coast states haven’t closed yet even though the counting has well and truly commenced elsewhere.
Pundits (been right so far) on X saying Trump has got Georgia and is now up 242 to 108.
Big voting booths in cities tend to be the last to report, for reasons so obvious that they should not need to be explained. They also tend to be Democrat strongholds.
When the big vote dumps finally get loaded from Atlanta, Philadelphia, Detroit etc, Republican leads tend to wither away like they did in 2020. For very obvious and logical reasons, notwithstanding your pathetic bleating.
It’s likely going to happen again, you will cry, and your mob will lose.
LOL.
But only when Republican scrutineers have been excluded from the counting room, for very obvious and logical reasons, notwithstanding your pathetic bleating.
Yesterday my hairdresser said she was “praying Trump wins”. She is in Australia!
She’s not the only one.
NY Times say 87% likely Trump wins:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html
I’m dumb. Can you explain please?
No you’re not. I am not playing that stupid game.
LOL, gutless worm, afraid to defend the indefensible.
FMD, Virginia too close to call.
I’m watching NBC and the keywords being used is ” she’s under-performing”.
DJT. Come on. Get that bastard home.
“Hey @ap, North Carolina and Georgia are going to Donald Trump.
Those calls should’ve been made an hour ago.”
https://x.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1854009237979947298?t=pxKNBz0GGE5w_Pv7DjivQw&s=19
Don’t jinx it!
Oh … and he’s only up by 3% now (with 90% counted).
Up by over 240,000 votes and still lost?
Literally fricking unbelievable without massive fraud.
Good chance of him winning PV too. If any Democrats protest the result (aka launch an insurrection) I assume Monty will call for their incarceration.
“Republican Bernie Moreno ousts Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate race”
https://x.com/thehill/status/1854009265679159640?t=OhixKl_BZrOloYRmFMvCHg&s=19
Monty
You need to pay attention. Mail votes are under half and even less this election.
Ah, yes. The other one to watch for:
-: It’s a blue lead because the votes from the cities land first.
then
-: Blue comes back strong, because the votes from the cities come in late.
It’s been much closer than I thought it would be.
I didn’t think anyone would vote for that witch.
I imagine Trump as a Ferrari with an oil leak, for sure it leaves a dirty puddle in your driveway, but it’s a Ferrari.
Whereas Kamala is a trailer loaded with dog turds.
Who the hell wants a trailer load of dog turds on their lawn?
Who the hell is preferring the load of dog turds to the leaky Ferrari?
Morons.
m0nts is still fighting the 2020 election I see.
IF he gets 300+, and wins the popular vote, the result becomes unarguable.
The popular vote will be fun. If Trump wins it, by state law California and a couple of other large blue states must give him their EC votes.
There remains one immovable high risk obstacle.
McConnell.
Will he support the coup?
He’s retiring this election. His brain has gone pfuft.
He would be the first to vote to support it.
Linky to PJ Media election results for President, Senate and House.
The Harris Karens won’t be mailing in this year. The chance to preen and prance in public is not constrained by Covid phobia.
Mail votes should have a more usual split.
Trump will get the Californian votes if he wins the populae vote. Harris might narrowly win the remaining blue wall states, but does a narrow win strengthen the chance that Trump’s current PV lead will hold up?
That would be good.
PA will drop another mail-in ballot pack at 11:55pm local time. Yep, it’s MASSIVE MIDNIGHT DUMP time.
It’s 3am not midnight Monty. Get your timezones worked out correctly.
AKA, CHEATING TIME.
Keep your toilet habits to yourself.
“The New York Times estimates that Donald Trump will win 291 electoral college votes and the popular vote.”
Monty says what would they know?
https://x.com/Sachinettiyil/status/1854002977779925009?t=kW9zzIgNd_tXSIjhvqufNQ&s=19
Elaine: “They are a very festive people.”
Longtime reader but rare commenter here. So very pleased with what looks like a Trumpy win. Have been watching the Guardian online updates for the last few hours. For all the left wing nonsense the Guardian spouts, their interactive US map is great.
The US has a chance to pull itself and the rest of the Western world out of its malaise, if Trump can nail his cabinet appointments.
Trump into Vance with Musk and Ramaswamy running things. Beautiful!
Don’t forget Gabbard.
CNN has DJT 211 to Whatsername 153.
Kidding themselves, and that’s the most hopefully biased count on the planet.
Fox -DJT 216 to Whatsername 193
Reuters showing 211 to 153.
They’ve already called Utah for Trump with 0 votes counted. Confidence!?
There’s been a couple of those in both directions during today. Seems like they’re using some of the previous results as part of the modelling and, during the delay between when they open up the feed and data coming through, the state shows as one or the other.
That’s even faster than Texas! /monty
Is McCormick leading the Senate race in PA?
I’ve been to the beach. It’s looking like a perfect day all round.
As JC said above, Harris and her team made a catastrophic blunder choosing the far-left loon Walz over the moderate Shapiro.
Um, there’s this tiny weeny problem with Mr Shapiro… 😀
It’s been really interesting to see so many muslim Americans line up behind Trump. The peace aspect seems to be seriously resonating. That is very encouraging.
Don’t take it as an omen that they’ve gone all peaceful like.
The aim of world domination is still there.
“Moderate” isn’t in Kamala’s vocabulary.
Even Sanders and Warren have been taken aback previously at some of Kamala’s extreme-left radicalism.
Interesting, because Fatboy told us Utah was a K-toe lock-in.
Is McCormick leading the Senate race in PA?
Yes … 49.6% to 47.9%. 76% counted.
BREAKING NEWSTrump wins critical swing state of North Carolina in crushing blow for Kamala as she braces for election nightmare
Daily Mail
As a guest, I didn’t challenge anyone.
As a guest you should have kicked every woman there in the cods.
LOL. I wouldn’t be surprised if it is the little left wokies that this effects!!!
FMD, In Georgia, K-toe is doing okay in Atlanta, but in the black counties, the black vote is close to evenly split. Incredible.
Trump on track to win a third term.
It’s likely going to happen again, you will cry, and your mob will lose.
What happened last time you dickless dickhead is that counting ended for the night with Trump ahead and when counting resumed next day after no further counting Trump was behind. It was a fuking miracle.
The closeness of the vote reinforces my impression that the USA is F#cked.
The fact that there are capable people prepared to go on TV and be supportive (Harold Ford, Jessica Tarlov, etc) adds weight to that.
Heh.
It’s a mystery!
Paging Tony Burke.
She’s actually running third. The Green candidate is between her and Trump. Haw!
In Dearborn, I should add. 😀
Trump leads in all key battleground states
Ellie Dudley
Donald Trump is now leading Kamala Harris in all key battleground states.
The Republican candidate is ahead of Kamala Harris in Georgia by 3 per cent, where 88 per cent of the vote has been counted, and North Carolina (3 per cent) where 84 per cent of the vote has been counted.
He has taken the lead from Ms Harris in Pennsylvania (3 per cent), where 58 per cent of the vote has been counted. Pennsylvania, the fifth-most populous state in the US, holds 19 crucial electoral votes and stands as the largest of the seven swing states.
Mr Trump is also leading in Michigan (less than 1 per cent) where 24 per cent of the vote had been counted, and Wisconsin (1 per cent) with 5 per cent of votes having been counted.
In Arizona, he is ahead by less than 1 per cent. Half of the state’s votes have been counted.
“Fox News reports that the Harris Campaign has stopped giving Comments to the Media.”
Not looking good. Fingers still crossed and clenched.
This could be the happiest day of my life.
(sorry wife)
It’s right up there. Humanity prevails.
Polymarket now 95% for Trump.
I’m working at the moment (Farcanal) does anyone have the current breakdown of the Senate and Congress R vs D
Here:
https://pjmedia.com/election
GOP +1 House, +2 Senate.
But I read another report just now that they may actually lose the House. So don’t get too excited.
This is said to be real.
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1854015622335594953?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1854015622335594953%7Ctwgr%5Ef4605ae1b4cd92e7663ef4ddb407f24baa84fa90%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Face.mu.nu%2F412240
Tom Connell and Kieran No-Lips trying to be vewwy bwave on Skah … but failing.
When Connell is talking about Trump ahead/Kamala behind his language gives him away. He describes Kamal-toe failings as “here’s the problem” or “this is the worrying issue”.
Utah has a third candidate named Lucifer Everylove according to Reuters.
CNN called NC.
Ten minutes to midnight US Eastern time. Harris has to rely on outstanding mail-ins from women to save her from the flood of males voting against her on election day.
Misogyny!
230 to 165, and
Donald Trump is poised to “return to the White House” after winning a key battleground state, with Sky News Australia’s Chief News Anchor Kieran Gilbert explaining all data was pointing to a Republican win
Vivek Ramaswamy Says Things Going “Very Well” in Mar-a-Lago as He Previews Potential Next Trump Term
Republicans have at least 50 Senate seats… having won all their races and flipped two. There are another couple of competitive races still in play.
Carpe Jugulum
November 6, 2024 3:46 pm
The last senate numbers I saw were 49 Republican; 40 Dimocrat.
Republicans ahead in the house but can’t quote numbers.
Trump leads the popular vote 59.6m to 55.4m.
Will the Dimocrats start beating the drum over the popular vote.
They will be screeching if Trump wins the popular vote, and gets California’s EC votes.
Annalise spitting chips.
Dimocrat operative projecting a Republican senate of 54-55.
Presumably that means she is legless already.
What’s the state of the large screen TV?
Fox News has just called the Senate race. The GOP will have a majority of at least 51 to 49.
That means there will be far fewer shenanigans about Trump’s picks for Cabinet, judiciary etc.
Meanwhile, the Dems have announced they need more time to cook the vote in Pennsylvania. They’re going to bed and they’re coming back in the morning.
The Steal is still on until it’s no longer mathematically possible
Fox is calling the senate for the GOP with 51 seats won.
One suspects that a close’ish victory for DJT will allow some face saving for the demonrats. It will also allow challenges etc, as others have pointed out. My only hope that nothing changes in the Matrix, ie dayjavu (or however it is spelt 🙂 )
Thinking Hillary will be pleased with a Harris loss. She can continue the “we was robbed by sexism” line for a few more books.
Hillary and Kamala sad? Chardonnay futures are up.
OK … the consensus around the inter webs is that Trump has 230 electoral college votes. There are another 79 in states where he currently has a lead. [Plus rats and mice in Maine]
Is this too much to do a steal?
Oh … and Alaska – which should break for Trump.
I’m excited. Fox’s Bill Hemmer is modelling Trump 303 electoral college votes as one of his pathways to victory. That’s my magical number to win one of Top Ender’s books!
How did you go yesterday?
Seems Dems will control the house
Still can’t believe Monty thought FL and TX were in play.
He reads lefty media sites.
Wishful thinking and lots of copium.
Fox just now: Brett Bauer: ‘the blue wall looks like it’s got a lot of cracks.’
I’ve had the AP ticker on today which has been quite useful.
There are 60 EC votes up for grabs across WI, MI, PA and GA, all of which have Fatty Trump (230 EC votes declared so far) in front from between 2% (GA) to 5% (MI).
These states are where the steal will be in play.
First vote dump deposited in PA. More due tonight and tomorrow.
The troll’s work is never done, you lot!
Nor are the 2000 mules work done.
It’s called The Drop & Roll.
There’s only one big dump on this blog.
Gee, who’da thunk it.
Michael Whatley on X: “A legal victory in Pennsylvania: Centre County officials were planning to stop counting ballots throughout the night in violation of state law. We threatened to sue — and that was enough. Officials agreed to continue the count as required. Our attorneys will continue fighting” / X
LOL, that might bugger up mUntard’s wet dreams.
Martha McCallum seemed to express surprise that Trump had the perspicacity to latch onto immigration as a big issue! How could he not?
I’ve suspected her and Bret Baier of being never Trumpers ever since 2020.
Martha McCallum reminds me of cartoonist Michael Ramirez: both detest Trump because he’s brash and vulgar and nothing like the old Bush Washington DC GOP Establishment they were comfortable with.
And then day after and the day after that until the right democratic result is achieved. 🙂
That’s “DemonRat result”, not democratic.
Baldwin (WI), Brown (
DEOH) losing their seats. Close in MI andOHPA (Casey).Trump on track for shock win
From the Sydney Moaning Hemorrhoid.
Kumallah’s not far away from the point where there just aren’t enough votes to catch up (even via dumps and cheats). And by “not far away” I mean we’re probably past it.
Philly is outta votes. Stop making up crap Muntard.
Philly is never “out of votes” while the DemonRats need more to steal victory.
I am looking forward to tonight’s Sheridan babble.
Sheridan backed Trump.
Breitbart:
’Republicans flipped the governor’s mansion in Puerto Rico on Election Day, as Congresswoman Jenniffer González-Colón (R-PR) emerged victorious despite a week of controversy about a comedian’s joke at a Donald Trump rally.’
Speaking of the silly moaning hemorrhoid:
No.
Massive “dumps” of fake ballots should do it instead, as per 2020.
The first Philadelphia vote dump – those dumps m0nty is putting so much stock in to tip the scales in Kamala’s favour – pushed Trump’s likelihood of victory up to 91.5% at DDHQ.
MSNBC now featuring a panel grinding their teeth in lament.
Antifa don’t seem very happy with how things are going.
Antifa Returns On Election Night, Causing Chaos In Downtown Seattle (6 Nov)
88% counted now, Kamala needs 200,000 votes
Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-president.html?smid=nytcore-android-share
James Woods is on Crowder’s coverage.
The Kamel is supposed to show shortly. They’ve called for the lights to be dimmed. Haw! I wonder if she’ll have someone on each side holding her up.
Clennell totally pissed off that Donald is the likely winner. hahahaha
Soon after Trump’s election ostensible “conservative” Clennell appeared on the Steve Price 2GB show with along with Bolta.
It was quite clear even at that early stage that Clennell had TDS.
Trump looking good in MI, PA, and WI. Also in AZ. Harder to cheat this time.
The RINOs have been replaced by people who want to win.
Reuters has just called Georgia for Trump.
Arizona is still a nailbiter, too close, but Trump needs it to win.
My mistake, Trump does not absolutely need AZ, however without it he does need to win Penn, Alaska, and Nevada.
Beware the special rules for Nebraska’s EVs which are presently going to give 3 EVs to Trump not all 5 that the State has.
CNN calls Georgia.
Harris has just about one path left. Those U-Haul trucks full of Liz Cheney clone mail-ins hold her hopes and dreams as well as the big dumps.
Fox was just talking about Wayne County (Detroit). Had a looksee and only 24% is counted. This is the county with the large muslim population that refused to endorse Kamala.
If that breaks 50/50 from here – Michigan will be difficult to retain for her.
Hey m0nts…how ya doing? Someone do a welfare check on him.
The fact that there are capable people prepared to go on TV and be supportive (Harold Ford, Jessica Tarlov, etc) adds weight to that.
Harold and tarlov are not capable people. They are organisms who have a large part of their brain missing.
Ditto NBC.
Baris is claiming Kamala is going back to her room and won’t make any kind of announcement tonight.
Cripes Fluffy Buffy is still laying the boot into Trump.
Kamel is too pissed to show. hahaha
Harris isn’t planning to speak tonight
AAP – 9 minutes ago
Only 24 votes short.
Kamala has declined to speak. Lipstick on the wine glass.
Where Things Stand
New York Times.
She’s going to hit that Xanax bottle. Hard.
Kamala does a Hillary.
No show for the supporters who have waited faithfully until the wee hours.
Classy.
Eight hours – there you go, that’s what Kameltoe thinks of you.
Joy!
Oh wait.
CNN picking up survivors.
The Cackling Kamel is not speaking tonight.
This is what happens (or doesn’t) when you drink ten bottles of wine in four hours.
The education of Fluffy Analiese: “Americans wanted a change and Kamala Harris struggled to present herself as the change candidate”.
Derrr. That’s because she’s been vice-president in the Biden White House in the past four years.
She’s IS the American political establishment that American have had a gutful of.
Fluffy Analiese sounds like a first-year arts student.
Somebody’s too munted to show up.
If the electoral college is right (Trump with 246), and Trump then wins Michigan (15), then if he wins Alaska (3), Nevada (6) and the one vote from Maine and two from Nebraska… He’s at 273.
Michigan & Nevada are the swingers there.
Alaska + Maine 1 + Nebraska 2 are certain.
It’s 3 from Nebraska on current results
https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-ELECTION/RESULTS/zjpqnemxwvx/
So Trump can win without PA or AZ if he flips Michigan. Wowsers!
And Doug Emhoff is going to hit a woman. Probably not that hard because he isn’t that strong.
Speaking of Joy.
Can’t wait to see Joy Reid losing it big time.
It’s already started!
https://newcatallaxy.blog/2024/11/05/us-presidential-election-2024-thread/comment-page-2/#comments
If Cackles isn’t going to at least to her retarded faithful, the least she could do is send Walz out.
Garn Tim. Go and speak to the people. Bring your medals and tampons.
hahaha
and tampons.
If the orange man wins as it looks very possible now, how the hell does Rudd remain as ambassador after what he’s said?
Hopefully, he doesn’t.
I want the first act Donald does next January, is to sack the filthy, two-faced turd.
Trump can’t sack Rudd, but he can declare him persona non grata, which makes his position impossible.
Pity about Kari Lake in AZ. It’s not over yet but not looking good.
I’m sure she’ll get a cabinet position but there needs to be more MAGA in the Senate.
For that matter, how does two-tier stammerer deal with Trump?
51.1% to 47.8%, DJT in Pennsylvania.
52% to 46.1% in Michigan.
Good times.
One voting machine can correct that fault.
JC – he doesn’t.
Albansleazey simply can’t leave the stupid little shit in the US without it looking like a massive FU to the incoming administration (if it happens).
Saw that fat turd beazley on Sky earlier. What’s the bet he starts angling for the ambassador position?
hahahahah
“Trent Leisy @realTrentLeisy
BREAKING: Fox News is reporting that there is hostility inside the Kamala HQ and the comments given to Fox News is so hostile that they cannot repeat on camera what they are being told”
Also:
‘Excuse me, Mr Rudd?’
‘Yes?’
‘GTFO. Now.’
JUST. LIKE. THAT. YES.
“Michigan Latinos breaking 60-35 for Trump is as transformative as the Southern realignment. We’re watching a historic electoral earthquake that could reshape American politics for a generation. This isn’t a shift – it’s a revolution.”
https://x.com/petebray/status/1854007983111655777?t=kIZvBvO6f8n3t4r-fmlCiw&s=19
Georgia called for Trump.
‘The Hitler playbook’
https://x.com/stillgray/status/1854014982796546169?t=9SsRNH3DfQaQTuLL2Hd_fA&s=19
That slag needs to be sued.
Absolutely nuts. My favourite was “he’s been telling lies that aren’t true”??
KRudd has been assiduously cultivating contacts in the Trump camp for at least six months.
He’s not called the Dunny Rat for nothing.
Biden hit the sack at 9.30 and Jill spend the day dressed in Republican Red.
Love you Kamala.
The Aussie dollar has really taken a big hit tonight. Around 1.3% down which is a pretty decent day move. This could be an indicator of a Trump win with pressure placed in China
A$0.6527
When the going gets tough she puts her head down and goes to work.
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:30 pm
Whoa! You should get a look at Bruce Wolpe on Their ABC.
Sucking lemons big-time.
We like green
https://x.com/Thorongil16/status/1854014321166065847?t=yZOp9l4065rvOMT47HIJ4A&s=19
An effective Australian ambassador in DC needs to be able to play a round of golf. That’s golden access to Trump right there. If Rudd was invited to an afternoon of swinging the wrenches with Trump, he’d turn up in a hard hat carrying a tool box he just picked up from the Home Depot en route.
Joe Hockey just needs to be patient. Mr Potato Head will be PM by June and will urgently need someone who can play golf with the Orange Man.
JC
November 6, 2024 4:54 pm
He can.
It’s just that his phone won’t ring.
He might … just might … get to talk to a junior official in State.
Cackles has gone home to put her head down to do what she does best:
Kamala Harris won’t appear at her watch party; Cedric Richmond tells crowd to go home – Washington Times
So much for m0nty’s Philadelphia dumps. Trump is pulling ahead in PA. Gone from a 3 point lead to a 3.5 point lead.
Lol Sanchez.
Trump or one of his surrogates (can’t recall who) said that Rudd will be unacceptable. He’s fired, I think.
WI margin: ~120k
WI votes left: ~367k
WI Harris margin required: 66:34
PA margin: ~210k
PA votes left: ~491k
PA Harris margin required: 71:39
Geez that is tough.
Iowa outlier and very late poll dutifully reported by MSM to sow confusion, now false
Trump = 56%
Harris = 42%
TheirABC was this morning still using this poll as a guide to re-examine safe republic states to find upsets (like Iowa) that could be added to swing states.
But that was a USA expert commentator sitting in Sydney I think.
Was that the poll by the Greatest of all Time pollster? H/t mUntard.
oh, oh!
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/11/05/milwaukee-must-recount-31000-absentee-ballots-due-to-human-error/
All ambassadors retain their posts simply because the host government lets them.
If Rudd is told to go, he is basically being deported.
Trump is nearly 5 points ahead in WI with 90% of the vote counted. That’s a wrap. Add 10 to his score.
[AP]:
Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by 3.4 points. AP estimates elections officials have counted about 90% of the vote, which means Harris needs to beat Trump by about 32 points in the ballots left to be counted to catch up and take the lead.
Fox just called PA for Trump which gives him 267 and with MI also about to be called it looks good.
I wonder what will happen to the lawfare bullshit still in obeyance.
HOLY SHIT CALLED FOR TRUMP AT DDHQ
WSJ has him at 247 electoral votes.
TRUMP HITS 270
Polymarket now 99% for Trump.
JC
November 6, 2024 5:19 pm
Lol Sanchez.
Trump said it himself.
Described Kokoda Kev as “not very bright”.
Ouch!
Trump is just as likely to just ring Luigi directly … if he is bothered about Australia at all.
Dana making the call: which hollywood POS will be now leaving the US.
In between checking the action here, I’ve been mostly watching the Daily Wire Election podcast on YT. Thought I might flip over to The Young Turks for a change of pace. It was fantastic – I got there just as Cenk was having a massive head explosion cursing the Dems into hell for all eternity. Even better than his 2016 rant. Definitely the cream on top of a very satisfying afternoon’s viewing. Ah Donald, you champion!
Pennsylvania called for Trump.
I said it in 2016 on the Cat and it bears repeating:
America saves the world.
PA called for Trump. It’s over.
MI margin: ~228k
MI votes left: ~1877k
MI Harris margin required: 56:44
AZ margin: ~16k
AZ votes left: ~1680k
AZ Harris margin required: 50.5:49.5
NV margin: ~37k
NV votes left: ~429k
NV Harris margin required: 54:46
More doable but Harris would need all three of these to hit if one of PA and WI don’t.
Well, Fox calling Penn. Only 3 to go.
looks like it’s going to be 312
Here’s my summation:
The cities are full of lousy, woke and resentful lunatics.
The USA has been saved by a handful of remaining sensible decent folks in the countryside.
Arky Johnson is right!
Telling husband – well the West might just survive. The USA will – but the UK, I think, is doubtful. And many European nations are on the brink.
Oz will almost certainly be LNP – with Dutton facing an enormous job to restore any sort of prosperous nation.
We need to support him. One Nation has been gazumped by the courts, the Nationals are trying to handle the rural issues with energy stamping on farmers. So the LNP have to stand up.
The ABC dolefully reports:
Kamala Harris’s election party empties out
By Emily Clark at Howard University in DC
The Kamala Harris event is almost empty now.
If anything, it’s mostly journalists here.
Campaign and party staffers and VIPs left the seated area a short time ago. There were a lot of hugs. I think it’s fair to say they appeared to be in disbelief at the results so far.
The change in atmosphere here happened really quickly. The mood had been excited and hopeful all night.
The music and performances were keeping supporters’ anxiety at bay, but in a matter of minutes things changed when CNN swept through the swing states about two hours ago. It was just too much red.
Of course, there are still many votes to be counted and states to be won, but the thought of a second Trump presidency was impossible for so many people here tonight, and they’ve left knowing a large proportion of the country has supported that idea.
The bleachers have emptied out, staffers and officials gone home, journalists will no doubt be the last ones here as we all hit our deadlines in different time zones.
As I was chatting to some young Democratic supporters on their walk out a short time ago, they said to me: “It’s Hillary all over again.”
m0nts put down the crack pipe, it’s over.
Dare to dream.
How is that popular vote going? At this time, the only point to late night dumps is to keep the 55 California EC votes from Trump.
Easiest way might be to cook the books there.
Holy shit the House is suddenly looking more likely to remain GOP! This is a bloodbath that’s right a bloodbath hahahahahahahahahahahaha
Trump wins PA. Doing well in AZ and NV. Trump is next Pres.
Yes, Your Doverlordship. We await a spectacular work of art in the morning to commemorate the return of the civilised world to freedom and democracy.
I won’t believe it until his lead has survived the witching hour.
At least 7 hours to go before the threat of a Harris Hump dissipates.
There’s shenanigans in Wayne county (Detroit). Counting stopped at 23%. [This was the county where the muslims and Auto Workers Union refused to endorse Kamala].
The ABC is about an hour behind the US networks for some reason.
Skah just called it for Trump.
Extraordinary.
Fat socially-awkward lesbians gutted*.
*Deliberate.
Do you mean mutley, knuckles?