US Presidential Election 2024 Thread


The latest election polls from RCP here.

The latest from the betting markets, Kalshi and Polymarket.

Update: Baris’s Election Night Live coverage begins.


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2dogs
November 6, 2024 2:16 pm

Polymarket now 90% in favour of Trump.

polymarket
Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 2:17 pm

“Both Culver and Lynch are considering moves abroad if Donald Trump wins, but Lynch concedes that it would be difficult for him.

“Being someone who works in the service industry, and pretty much living paycheck to paycheck right now, it’s not financially viable. It’s honestly a nightmare scenario.””
https://www.savannahnow.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/05/election-day-in-georgia-updates-breaking-news-results/76047870007/

Rabz
November 6, 2024 2:17 pm

Still not convinced this is outside the margin of steal.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 2:18 pm

Trump nicely up in North Carolina & Virginia and that would get Trump to 234.
A lot has to go right for Kamala from here. Georgia win would be 250.
She needs nearly all the west plus Penn & Wisconsin.

Vicki
Vicki
November 6, 2024 2:19 pm

Had blood test. No Cellutlitis, thank the Lord. The Emergency clinic at Macquarie Park top drawer – you are on a bed, with canula in, blood taken, blood pressure taken etc within 10 minutes. Blood results within 30-40 minutes as a recall. Meantime tea & bickies.You pay a hefty up front fee, but it is worth it. Excellent doctor says it is an allergic reaction, but prescribes Keflex in any case, as well as anti-histamines (these already taken).

Will stay in Sydney overnight to watch the duel in the USA.

Vicki
Vicki
November 6, 2024 2:21 pm

Anybody know how New Hampshire is going?

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 2:25 pm

Iowa still has some big blue counties with big outstanding vote totals. Tough sledding for Harris but technically still doable.

Bruce in WA
November 6, 2024 2:29 pm

Trump 242
Harris 108

PJ Media

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 2:29 pm

How’s everyone doing? Has m0nty stopped by?

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 2:30 pm

He has! How ya doing, m0nts?

Winston Smith
Winston Smith
November 6, 2024 2:30 pm

91:195
You’d think it was outside the ability to steal, but it isn’t.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 2:31 pm

Counties swamped by illegal migrants are hand grenades for Harris.

Dunny Brush
Dunny Brush
November 6, 2024 2:31 pm

MSNBC is good viewing for those who like watching people in pain.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 2:32 pm

Boy NYC is a bubble. Went to an election party this evening. Everyone there hated Trump. One bird said to me that if he won she would cry and be depressed for 4 years. As a guest, I didn’t challenge anyone. NYC, the biggest bubble in the world. It’s almost thoughtless as friends talk each into it. There’s absolutely no point in taking the other side the discussion.

Mak Siccar
Mak Siccar
November 6, 2024 2:32 pm

Breitbart Trump 211 Harris 112

PJ Media 242 108

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 2:32 pm

m0nts still hanging his hat on Selzer’s obviously dodgy, credibility-destroying poll. Hahahahahahahaha denial isn’t a oh you get the idea.

Top Ender
Top Ender
November 6, 2024 2:32 pm

ABC Aus: Trump 198 to Harris 112

Oz: 195 to 91

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 2:33 pm

Anybody know how New Hampshire is going?

Kamala is up 51.9% to 47.3% with 49% counted. But there is a lot of rural areas not reporting.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 2:33 pm

So far this has been an extremely prosaic count. No blow outs, no surprises. A 50:50 coin flip, just like the polls predicted.

it is very much on track for the identical reversal in the dead of night as 2020.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
November 6, 2024 2:36 pm

Trump narrow favourite to win election with leads in Pennsylvania, Georgia, North CarolinaDonald Trump is now the narrow favourite to win the election, narrowly leading in Pennsylvania and with a strong lead over Kamala Harris in Georgia and North Carolina, all key battleground states .

Top Ender
Top Ender
November 6, 2024 2:38 pm

Sky 207 to 91

Winston Smith
Winston Smith
November 6, 2024 2:38 pm

It’s a bit warm – the front patio is 42c in the shade, and I think I’ll have a nap.
Took a double dose of my blood pressure medication this morning, just in case.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 2:39 pm

No Nevada results at all for at least three hours due to extremely long lines extending voting times at some locations.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 2:39 pm

65mill mail in 2020
37 – 2024

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 2:40 pm

I also notice that RFK is getting up to 1% of the vote in a LOT of states… WHY?

Protest against him working with Trump?

Cassie of Sydney
November 6, 2024 2:41 pm

Tough sledding for Harris but technically still doable.

Not doable. Now declared red.

I guess your prediction a few days ago that Iowa was going blue was in the same vein as your prediction back in July that…..

‘Biden can govern’

Now that was a corker.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 2:41 pm

Ben Shapiro reposted

BREAKING: TRUMP HAS WON THE LARGEST SHARE OF THE JEWISH VOTE IN DECADES IN FLORIDA, ARIZONA, NEVADA Florida: 43% for Trump Arizona: 38% for Trump Nevada: 42% for Trump

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
November 6, 2024 2:42 pm

Fake Indian wins in Massachusetts.

Elizabeth Warren wins reelection in Massachusetts (6 Nov)

I was immensely amused that not only had she put out an Amerindian recipe book, called Pow Wow Chow, but she’d also plagiarized the recipes from someone else.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 2:43 pm

Hey Fatboy

Bad decision choosing Walz over Shapiro, hey?

John Brumble
John Brumble
November 6, 2024 2:44 pm

Some things to watch:

  1. Late changes that only affect States within a certain margin and show up not at all in other States.
  2. Same late changes with % of votes in one direction well above any level showing up in other States at any other time.
  3. Same changes occurring, completely coincidentally after voting is claimed to be closed for the evening.
  4. Claims of “for security, everyone must leave” before counting continues.
  5. “Investigations” which involve asking the people who are accused of doing the wrong thing if they have done the wrong thing and then accepting whatever the response is.
Cassie of Sydney
November 6, 2024 2:44 pm

BREAKING: TRUMP HAS WON THE LARGEST SHARE OF THE JEWISH VOTE IN DECADES IN FLORIDA, ARIZONA, NEVADA Florida: 43% for Trump Arizona: 38% for Trump Nevada: 42% for Trump

Not surprised. Just beautiful

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 2:44 pm

Fox just mentioned that Trump has a solid lead in Wayne County (Detroit Michigan). Losing that previously massive voting block for the Dems will make it interesting!

Tom
Tom
November 6, 2024 2:46 pm

Hahaha.

The Australian news media is still behaving as if the internet hasn’t been invented (h/t Mak Siccar/ Top Ender):

Breitbart Trump 211 Harris 112

PJ Media 242 108

ABC Aus: Trump 198 to Harris 112

Oz: 195 to 91

Cassie of Sydney
November 6, 2024 2:46 pm

So, when does the voting stall/stop?

MatrixTransform
November 6, 2024 2:47 pm

I wonder what K Rudd is doing right now

… phoning Flight Centre and checking realestate.com?

Vicki
Vicki
November 6, 2024 2:53 pm

Husband just called out to me that looks like Trump well ahead. A workman in the house next door yelled out “That’s good!”

It’s a good feeling for a lot of people.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 2:54 pm

Dow futures up. BTC up around 9%. Markets seem to think Trump with at least a Rep senate.

If he wins, the American golden age begins.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
November 6, 2024 2:54 pm

Garbage people on a garbage island.

Republicans Flip Governor’s Mansion in Puerto Rico, Despite Joke Controversy (5 Nov)

Maybe Puerto Ricans are fed up with Democrats turning their island into a garbage dump.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 2:55 pm

Joy Behar about ready to sing….scream really.

Cassie of Sydney
November 6, 2024 2:57 pm

Trump has definitely won Georgia.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 2:57 pm

Cassie, possibly by midnight. It does look like a Rep night. The West coast states haven’t closed yet even though the counting has well and truly commenced elsewhere.

Ceres
Ceres
November 6, 2024 2:57 pm

Pundits (been right so far) on X saying Trump has got Georgia and is now up 242 to 108.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 2:58 pm

Why would there be a reversal in the dead of night Monty?

Big voting booths in cities tend to be the last to report, for reasons so obvious that they should not need to be explained. They also tend to be Democrat strongholds.

When the big vote dumps finally get loaded from Atlanta, Philadelphia, Detroit etc, Republican leads tend to wither away like they did in 2020. For very obvious and logical reasons, notwithstanding your pathetic bleating.

It’s likely going to happen again, you will cry, and your mob will lose.

vr
vr
November 6, 2024 2:58 pm

Husband just called out to me that looks like Trump well ahead. A workman in the house next door yelled out “That’s good!”

Yesterday my hairdresser said she was “praying Trump wins”. She is in Australia!

Lysander
Lysander
November 6, 2024 2:59 pm
Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 3:00 pm

Big voting booths in cities tend to be the last to report, for reasons so obvious that they should not need to be explained.

I’m dumb. Can you explain please?

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 3:00 pm

FMD, Virginia too close to call.

I’m watching NBC and the keywords being used is ” she’s under-performing”.

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 3:01 pm

The odds on Trump have shortened to a $1.08, with Harris widening out to $8, according to Sportsbet

DJT. Come on. Get that bastard home.

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 3:02 pm

“Hey , North Carolina and Georgia are going to Donald Trump.

Those calls should’ve been made an hour ago.”
https://x.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1854009237979947298?t=pxKNBz0GGE5w_Pv7DjivQw&s=19

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 3:02 pm

Trump has definitely won Georgia.

Don’t jinx it!

In 2020, at 9 p.m. ET on election night in Georgia, Trump led by just over 240,000 votes and more than 15 points. By 12:00 a.m. Wednesday, Trump was still up by nearly 10 points. But 12 hours later, at noon that same day, Biden began chipping away at Trump’s lead as the state counted mail-in ballots – and we know what happened.

Figures
Figures
November 6, 2024 3:03 pm

Good chance of him winning PV too. If any Democrats protest the result (aka launch an insurrection) I assume Monty will call for their incarceration.

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 3:03 pm

“Republican Bernie Moreno ousts Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate race”
https://x.com/thehill/status/1854009265679159640?t=OhixKl_BZrOloYRmFMvCHg&s=19

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 3:04 pm

Monty
You need to pay attention. Mail votes are under half and even less this election.

John Brumble
John Brumble
November 6, 2024 3:06 pm

Ah, yes. The other one to watch for:

-: It’s a blue lead because the votes from the cities land first.
then
-: Blue comes back strong, because the votes from the cities come in late.

Arky
November 6, 2024 3:07 pm

It’s been much closer than I thought it would be.
I didn’t think anyone would vote for that witch.
I imagine Trump as a Ferrari with an oil leak, for sure it leaves a dirty puddle in your driveway, but it’s a Ferrari.
Whereas Kamala is a trailer loaded with dog turds.
Who the hell wants a trailer load of dog turds on their lawn?
Who the hell is preferring the load of dog turds to the leaky Ferrari?
Morons.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 3:08 pm

m0nts is still fighting the 2020 election I see.

Barry
Barry
November 6, 2024 3:08 pm

IF he gets 300+, and wins the popular vote, the result becomes unarguable.

bons
bons
November 6, 2024 3:10 pm

There remains one immovable high risk obstacle.

McConnell.

Will he support the coup?

Mak Siccar
Mak Siccar
November 6, 2024 3:10 pm

Linky to PJ Media election results for President, Senate and House.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 3:12 pm

The Harris Karens won’t be mailing in this year. The chance to preen and prance in public is not constrained by Covid phobia.
Mail votes should have a more usual split.

Rafiki
Rafiki
November 6, 2024 3:13 pm

Trump will get the Californian votes if he wins the populae vote. Harris might narrowly win the remaining blue wall states, but does a narrow win strengthen the chance that Trump’s current PV lead will hold up?
That would be good.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 3:14 pm

PA will drop another mail-in ballot pack at 11:55pm local time. Yep, it’s MASSIVE MIDNIGHT DUMP time.

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 3:15 pm

“The New York Times estimates that Donald Trump will win 291 electoral college votes and the popular vote.”
Monty says what would they know?
https://x.com/Sachinettiyil/status/1854002977779925009?t=kW9zzIgNd_tXSIjhvqufNQ&s=19

Rabz
November 6, 2024 3:16 pm

Garbage people on a garbage island.

Elaine: “They are a very festive people.”

Spinning Mouse
Spinning Mouse
November 6, 2024 3:16 pm

Longtime reader but rare commenter here. So very pleased with what looks like a Trumpy win. Have been watching the Guardian online updates for the last few hours. For all the left wing nonsense the Guardian spouts, their interactive US map is great.

The US has a chance to pull itself and the rest of the Western world out of its malaise, if Trump can nail his cabinet appointments.

Trump into Vance with Musk and Ramaswamy running things. Beautiful!

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 3:18 pm

CNN has DJT 211 to Whatsername 153.

Kidding themselves, and that’s the most hopefully biased count on the planet.

Colonel Crispin Berka
Colonel Crispin Berka
November 6, 2024 3:20 pm

Reuters showing 211 to 153.
They’ve already called Utah for Trump with 0 votes counted. Confidence!?

vr
vr
November 6, 2024 3:21 pm

Is McCormick leading the Senate race in PA?

Last edited 1 month ago by vr
Bar Beach Swimmer
November 6, 2024 3:23 pm

I’ve been to the beach. It’s looking like a perfect day all round.

Cassie of Sydney
November 6, 2024 3:24 pm

As JC said above, Harris and her team made a catastrophic blunder choosing the far-left loon Walz over the moderate Shapiro.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 3:27 pm

Colonel Crispin Berka

November 6, 2024 3:20 pm

They’ve already called Utah for Trump with 0 votes counted. Confidence!?

Interesting, because Fatboy told us Utah was a K-toe lock-in.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 3:28 pm

Is McCormick leading the Senate race in PA?

Yes … 49.6% to 47.9%. 76% counted.

cohenite
November 6, 2024 3:31 pm

As a guest, I didn’t challenge anyone.

As a guest you should have kicked every woman there in the cods.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 3:32 pm

In an emerging issue with ballot signatures, an official told CNN that many young voters do not know how to sign their name

LOL. I wouldn’t be surprised if it is the little left wokies that this effects!!!

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 3:35 pm

FMD, In Georgia, K-toe is doing okay in Atlanta, but in the black counties, the black vote is close to evenly split. Incredible.

Bazinga
Bazinga
November 6, 2024 3:36 pm

Trump on track to win a third term.

cohenite
November 6, 2024 3:37 pm

It’s likely going to happen again, you will cry, and your mob will lose.

What happened last time you dickless dickhead is that counting ended for the night with Trump ahead and when counting resumed next day after no further counting Trump was behind. It was a fuking miracle.

Bungonia Bee
Bungonia Bee
November 6, 2024 3:39 pm

The closeness of the vote reinforces my impression that the USA is F#cked.
The fact that there are capable people prepared to go on TV and be supportive (Harold Ford, Jessica Tarlov, etc) adds weight to that.

Last edited 1 month ago by Bungonia Bee
Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
November 6, 2024 3:40 pm

Heh.

comment image

It’s a mystery!

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
November 6, 2024 3:40 pm

Trump leads in all key battleground states

Ellie Dudley

Donald Trump is now leading Kamala Harris in all key battleground states.
The Republican candidate is ahead of Kamala Harris in Georgia by 3 per cent, where 88 per cent of the vote has been counted, and North Carolina (3 per cent) where 84 per cent of the vote has been counted.
He has taken the lead from Ms Harris in Pennsylvania (3 per cent), where 58 per cent of the vote has been counted. Pennsylvania, the fifth-most populous state in the US, holds 19 crucial electoral votes and stands as the largest of the seven swing states. 
Mr Trump is also leading in Michigan (less than 1 per cent) where 24 per cent of the vote had been counted, and Wisconsin (1 per cent) with 5 per cent of votes having been counted.
In Arizona, he is ahead by less than 1 per cent. Half of the state’s votes have been counted.

Pogria
Pogria
November 6, 2024 3:42 pm

Fox News reports that the Harris Campaign has stopped giving Comments to the Media.”

Not looking good. Fingers still crossed and clenched.

Lysander
Lysander
November 6, 2024 3:43 pm

This could be the happiest day of my life.

(sorry wife)

2dogs
November 6, 2024 3:44 pm

Polymarket now 95% for Trump.

Carpe Jugulum
Carpe Jugulum
November 6, 2024 3:46 pm

I’m working at the moment (Farcanal) does anyone have the current breakdown of the Senate and Congress R vs D

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 3:48 pm

Tom Connell and Kieran No-Lips trying to be vewwy bwave on Skah … but failing.
When Connell is talking about Trump ahead/Kamala behind his language gives him away. He describes Kamal-toe failings as “here’s the problem” or “this is the worrying issue”.

Frank
Frank
November 6, 2024 3:48 pm

Utah has a third candidate named Lucifer Everylove according to Reuters.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 3:48 pm

CNN called NC.

Ten minutes to midnight US Eastern time. Harris has to rely on outstanding mail-ins from women to save her from the flood of males voting against her on election day.

Top Ender
Top Ender
November 6, 2024 3:49 pm

230 to 165, and

Donald Trump is poised to “return to the White House” after winning a key battleground state, with Sky News Australia’s Chief News Anchor Kieran Gilbert explaining all data was pointing to a Republican win

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 3:49 pm

Republicans have at least 50 Senate seats… having won all their races and flipped two. There are another couple of competitive races still in play.

Last edited 1 month ago by Rorschach
Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 3:50 pm

Carpe Jugulum
 November 6, 2024 3:46 pm

I’m working at the moment (Farcanal) does anyone have the current breakdown of the Senate and Congress R vs D

The last senate numbers I saw were 49 Republican; 40 Dimocrat.
Republicans ahead in the house but can’t quote numbers.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 3:53 pm

Trump leads the popular vote 59.6m to 55.4m.
Will the Dimocrats start beating the drum over the popular vote.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 3:54 pm

Annalise spitting chips.
Dimocrat operative projecting a Republican senate of 54-55.

Frank
Frank
November 6, 2024 3:56 pm

Fox News reports that the Harris Campaign has stopped giving Comments to the Media.

Presumably that means she is legless already.

Tom
Tom
November 6, 2024 3:58 pm

Fox News has just called the Senate race. The GOP will have a majority of at least 51 to 49.

That means there will be far fewer shenanigans about Trump’s picks for Cabinet, judiciary etc.

Meanwhile, the Dems have announced they need more time to cook the vote in Pennsylvania. They’re going to bed and they’re coming back in the morning.

The Steal is still on until it’s no longer mathematically possible

Last edited 1 month ago by Tom
Cassie of Sydney
November 6, 2024 3:59 pm

Fox is calling the senate for the GOP with 51 seats won.

AnotherRanga
AnotherRanga
November 6, 2024 4:02 pm

One suspects that a close’ish victory for DJT will allow some face saving for the demonrats. It will also allow challenges etc, as others have pointed out. My only hope that nothing changes in the Matrix, ie dayjavu (or however it is spelt 🙂 )

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:05 pm

Thinking Hillary will be pleased with a Harris loss. She can continue the “we was robbed by sexism” line for a few more books.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 4:05 pm

OK … the consensus around the inter webs is that Trump has 230 electoral college votes. There are another 79 in states where he currently has a lead. [Plus rats and mice in Maine]

Is this too much to do a steal?

Tom
Tom
November 6, 2024 4:05 pm

I’m excited. Fox’s Bill Hemmer is modelling Trump 303 electoral college votes as one of his pathways to victory. That’s my magical number to win one of Top Ender’s books!

Morsie
Morsie
November 6, 2024 4:05 pm

Seems Dems will control the house

Bar Beach Swimmer
November 6, 2024 4:07 pm

Fox just now: Brett Bauer: ‘the blue wall looks like it’s got a lot of cracks.’

Rabz
November 6, 2024 4:07 pm

I’ve had the AP ticker on today which has been quite useful.

There are 60 EC votes up for grabs across WI, MI, PA and GA, all of which have Fatty Trump (230 EC votes declared so far) in front from between 2% (GA) to 5% (MI).

These states are where the steal will be in play.

Last edited 1 month ago by Rabz
m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 4:08 pm

First vote dump deposited in PA. More due tonight and tomorrow.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:12 pm

There’s only one big dump on this blog.

Rabz
November 6, 2024 4:12 pm

First vote dump deposited in PA. More due tonight and tomorrow.

Gee, who’da thunk it.

Bungonia Bee
Bungonia Bee
November 6, 2024 4:15 pm

Martha McCallum seemed to express surprise that Trump had the perspicacity to latch onto immigration as a big issue! How could he not?

I’ve suspected her and Bret Baier of being never Trumpers ever since 2020.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 4:15 pm

First vote dump deposited in PA. More due tonight and tomorrow…

And then day after and the day after that until the right democratic result is achieved. 🙂

vr
vr
November 6, 2024 4:15 pm

Baldwin (WI), Brown (DE OH) losing their seats. Close in MI and OH PA (Casey).

Last edited 1 month ago by vr
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
November 6, 2024 4:15 pm

Trump on track for shock win
From the Sydney Moaning Hemorrhoid.

Lysander
Lysander
November 6, 2024 4:17 pm

Kumallah’s not far away from the point where there just aren’t enough votes to catch up (even via dumps and cheats). And by “not far away” I mean we’re probably past it.

Philly is outta votes. Stop making up crap Muntard.

bons
bons
November 6, 2024 4:17 pm

I am looking forward to tonight’s Sheridan babble.

Bar Beach Swimmer
November 6, 2024 4:19 pm

Breitbart:
’Republicans flipped the governor’s mansion in Puerto Rico on Election Day, as Congresswoman Jenniffer González-Colón (R-PR) emerged victorious despite a week of controversy about a comedian’s joke at a Donald Trump rally.’

Rabz
November 6, 2024 4:22 pm

Speaking of the silly moaning hemorrhoid:

Could the ‘shy cackling kamel voters’ flip the 2024 presidential race?

No.

Massive “dumps” of fake ballots should do it instead, as per 2020.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 4:25 pm

The first Philadelphia vote dump – those dumps m0nty is putting so much stock in to tip the scales in Kamala’s favour – pushed Trump’s likelihood of victory up to 91.5% at DDHQ.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:30 pm

MSNBC now featuring a panel grinding their teeth in lament.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
November 6, 2024 4:31 pm

Antifa don’t seem very happy with how things are going.

Antifa Returns On Election Night, Causing Chaos In Downtown Seattle (6 Nov)

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 4:34 pm

88% counted now, Kamala needs 200,000 votes
Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-president.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

Rabz
November 6, 2024 4:35 pm
Pogria
Pogria
November 6, 2024 4:37 pm

The Kamel is supposed to show shortly. They’ve called for the lights to be dimmed. Haw! I wonder if she’ll have someone on each side holding her up.

Clennell totally pissed off that Donald is the likely winner. hahahaha

Colonel Crispin Berka
Colonel Crispin Berka
November 6, 2024 4:38 pm

Reuters has just called Georgia for Trump.

Arizona is still a nailbiter, too close, but Trump needs it to win.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 4:40 pm

CNN calls Georgia.

Harris has just about one path left. Those U-Haul trucks full of Liz Cheney clone mail-ins hold her hopes and dreams as well as the big dumps.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 4:41 pm

Fox was just talking about Wayne County (Detroit). Had a looksee and only 24% is counted. This is the county with the large muslim population that refused to endorse Kamala.

If that breaks 50/50 from here – Michigan will be difficult to retain for her.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 4:41 pm

Hey m0nts…how ya doing? Someone do a welfare check on him.

cohenite
November 6, 2024 4:42 pm

The fact that there are capable people prepared to go on TV and be supportive (Harold Ford, Jessica Tarlov, etc) adds weight to that.

Harold and tarlov are not capable people. They are organisms who have a large part of their brain missing.

Roger
Roger
November 6, 2024 4:42 pm

Reuters has just called Georgia for Trump.

Ditto NBC.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 4:44 pm

Baris is claiming Kamala is going back to her room and won’t make any kind of announcement tonight.

Pogria
Pogria
November 6, 2024 4:44 pm

Cripes Fluffy Buffy is still laying the boot into Trump.

Kamel is too pissed to show. hahaha

P
P
November 6, 2024 4:45 pm

Harris isn’t planning to speak tonight
AAP – 9 minutes ago

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:45 pm

Only 24 votes short.
Kamala has declined to speak. Lipstick on the wine glass.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
November 6, 2024 4:46 pm

Where Things Stand

  • Former President Donald J. Trump has won North Carolina, the first swing state to be called, narrowing Vice President Kamala Harris’s paths to victory in the Electoral College.
  • Republicans have secured control of the Senate with crucial wins: Bernie Moreno in Ohio, Jim Justice in West Virginia and Deb Fischer, who held on to her seat in Nebraska.

New York Times.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 4:46 pm

Only 24 votes short.

Kamala has declined to speak. Lipstick on the wine glass.

She’s going to hit that Xanax bottle. Hard.

calli
calli
November 6, 2024 4:47 pm

Kamala does a Hillary.

No show for the supporters who have waited faithfully until the wee hours.

Classy.

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 4:47 pm

Joy!

Oh wait.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:47 pm

CNN picking up survivors.

Rabz
November 6, 2024 4:47 pm

The Cackling Kamel is not speaking tonight.

This is what happens (or doesn’t) when you drink ten bottles of wine in four hours.

Tom
Tom
November 6, 2024 4:48 pm

The education of Fluffy Analiese: “Americans wanted a change and Kamala Harris struggled to present herself as the change candidate”.

Derrr. That’s because she’s been vice-president in the Biden White House in the past four years.

She’s IS the American political establishment that American have had a gutful of.

Fluffy Analiese sounds like a first-year arts student.

lotocoti
lotocoti
November 6, 2024 4:48 pm

Somebody’s too munted to show up.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 4:48 pm

If the electoral college is right (Trump with 246), and Trump then wins Michigan (15), then if he wins Alaska (3), Nevada (6) and the one vote from Maine and two from Nebraska… He’s at 273.

Last edited 1 month ago by Rorschach
Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 4:49 pm

And Doug Emhoff is going to hit a woman. Probably not that hard because he isn’t that strong.

Farmer Gez
Farmer Gez
November 6, 2024 4:50 pm

Speaking of Joy.
Can’t wait to see Joy Reid losing it big time.

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 4:54 pm

If Cackles isn’t going to at least to her retarded faithful, the least she could do is send Walz out.

Garn Tim. Go and speak to the people. Bring your medals and tampons.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 4:54 pm

If the orange man wins as it looks very possible now, how the hell does Rudd remain as ambassador after what he’s said?

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 4:55 pm

Pity about Kari Lake in AZ. It’s not over yet but not looking good.

I’m sure she’ll get a cabinet position but there needs to be more MAGA in the Senate.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 4:56 pm

For that matter, how does two-tier stammerer deal with Trump?

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 4:57 pm

51.1% to 47.8%, DJT in Pennsylvania.

52% to 46.1% in Michigan.

Good times.

Rabz
November 6, 2024 4:57 pm

JC – he doesn’t.

Albansleazey simply can’t leave the stupid little shit in the US without it looking like a massive FU to the incoming administration (if it happens).

Saw that fat turd beazley on Sky earlier. What’s the bet he starts angling for the ambassador position?

Pogria
Pogria
November 6, 2024 4:58 pm

hahahahah

Trent Leisy @realTrentLeisy
BREAKING: Fox News is reporting that there is hostility inside the Kamala HQ and the comments given to Fox News is so hostile that they cannot repeat on camera what they are being told”

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 4:59 pm

Also:

‘Excuse me, Mr Rudd?’

‘Yes?’

‘GTFO. Now.’

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 5:02 pm

“Michigan Latinos breaking 60-35 for Trump is as transformative as the Southern realignment. We’re watching a historic electoral earthquake that could reshape American politics for a generation. This isn’t a shift – it’s a revolution.”
https://x.com/petebray/status/1854007983111655777?t=kIZvBvO6f8n3t4r-fmlCiw&s=19

Rabz
November 6, 2024 5:03 pm

Georgia called for Trump.

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 5:04 pm
Roger
Roger
November 6, 2024 5:04 pm

KRudd has been assiduously cultivating contacts in the Trump camp for at least six months.

He’s not called the Dunny Rat for nothing.

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 5:05 pm

Biden hit the sack at 9.30 and Jill spend the day dressed in Republican Red.
Love you Kamala.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 5:06 pm

The Aussie dollar has really taken a big hit tonight. Around 1.3% down which is a pretty decent day move. This could be an indicator of a Trump win with pressure placed in China

Frank
Frank
November 6, 2024 5:09 pm

She’s going to hit that Xanax bottle. Hard.

When the going gets tough she puts her head down and goes to work.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 5:10 pm

Farmer Gez
 November 6, 2024 4:30 pm

MSNBC now featuring a panel grinding their teeth in lament.

Whoa! You should get a look at Bruce Wolpe on Their ABC.
Sucking lemons big-time.

Rosie
Rosie
November 6, 2024 5:11 pm
Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:14 pm

An effective Australian ambassador in DC needs to be able to play a round of golf. That’s golden access to Trump right there. If Rudd was invited to an afternoon of swinging the wrenches with Trump, he’d turn up in a hard hat carrying a tool box he just picked up from the Home Depot en route.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 5:14 pm

JC
 November 6, 2024 4:54 pm

If the orange man wins as it looks very possible now, how the hell does Rudd remain as ambassador after what he’s said?

He can.
It’s just that his phone won’t ring.
He might … just might … get to talk to a junior official in State.

cohenite
November 6, 2024 5:15 pm
Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:16 pm

So much for m0nty’s Philadelphia dumps. Trump is pulling ahead in PA. Gone from a 3 point lead to a 3.5 point lead.

JC
JC
November 6, 2024 5:19 pm

Lol Sanchez.

Trump or one of his surrogates (can’t recall who) said that Rudd will be unacceptable. He’s fired, I think.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 5:19 pm

WI margin: ~120k
WI votes left: ~367k
WI Harris margin required: 66:34

PA margin: ~210k
PA votes left: ~491k
PA Harris margin required: 71:39

Geez that is tough.

Natural Instinct
Natural Instinct
November 6, 2024 5:19 pm

Iowa outlier and very late poll dutifully reported by MSM to sow confusion, now false

Trump = 56%
Harris = 42%

TheirABC was this morning still using this poll as a guide to re-examine safe republic states to find upsets (like Iowa) that could be added to swing states.
But that was a USA expert commentator sitting in Sydney I think.

Top Ender
Top Ender
November 6, 2024 5:21 pm

All ambassadors retain their posts simply because the host government lets them.

If Rudd is told to go, he is basically being deported.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:21 pm

Trump is nearly 5 points ahead in WI with 90% of the vote counted. That’s a wrap. Add 10 to his score.

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 5:21 pm

So much for m0nty’s Philadelphia dumps. Trump is pulling ahead in PA. Gone from a 3 point lead to a 3.5 point lead.

[AP]:
Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by 3.4 points. AP estimates elections officials have counted about 90% of the vote, which means Harris needs to beat Trump by about 32 points in the ballots left to be counted to catch up and take the lead.

cohenite
November 6, 2024 5:21 pm

Fox just called PA for Trump which gives him 267 and with MI also about to be called it looks good.

I wonder what will happen to the lawfare bullshit still in obeyance.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:22 pm

HOLY SHIT CALLED FOR TRUMP AT DDHQ

vr
vr
November 6, 2024 5:22 pm

WSJ has him at 247 electoral votes.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:22 pm

TRUMP HITS 270

2dogs
November 6, 2024 5:23 pm

Polymarket now 99% for Trump.

Sancho Panzer
Sancho Panzer
November 6, 2024 5:24 pm

JC
 November 6, 2024 5:19 pm

Lol Sanchez.

Trump or one of his surrogates (can’t recall who) said that Rudd will be unacceptable. He’s fired, I think

Trump said it himself.
Described Kokoda Kev as “not very bright”.
Ouch!
Trump is just as likely to just ring Luigi directly … if he is bothered about Australia at all.

cohenite
November 6, 2024 5:24 pm

Dana making the call: which hollywood POS will be now leaving the US.

zimlurog
zimlurog
November 6, 2024 5:24 pm

In between checking the action here, I’ve been mostly watching the Daily Wire Election podcast on YT. Thought I might flip over to The Young Turks for a change of pace. It was fantastic – I got there just as Cenk was having a massive head explosion cursing the Dems into hell for all eternity. Even better than his 2016 rant. Definitely the cream on top of a very satisfying afternoon’s viewing. Ah Donald, you champion!

mareeS
mareeS
November 6, 2024 5:24 pm

Pennsylvania called for Trump.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:26 pm

I said it in 2016 on the Cat and it bears repeating:

America saves the world.

Little Gidding
Little Gidding
November 6, 2024 5:26 pm

PA called for Trump. It’s over.

m0nty
m0nty
November 6, 2024 5:27 pm

MI margin: ~228k
MI votes left: ~1877k
MI Harris margin required: 56:44

AZ margin: ~16k
AZ votes left: ~1680k
AZ Harris margin required: 50.5:49.5

NV margin: ~37k
NV votes left: ~429k
NV Harris margin required: 54:46

More doable but Harris would need all three of these to hit if one of PA and WI don’t.

Last edited 1 month ago by m0nty
Vicki
Vicki
November 6, 2024 5:27 pm

Well, Fox calling Penn. Only 3 to go.

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:29 pm

looks like it’s going to be 312

Arky
November 6, 2024 5:30 pm

Here’s my summation:
The cities are full of lousy, woke and resentful lunatics.
The USA has been saved by a handful of remaining sensible decent folks in the countryside.

Last edited 1 month ago by Arky
Vicki
Vicki
November 6, 2024 5:30 pm

Telling husband – well the West might just survive. The USA will – but the UK, I think, is doubtful. And many European nations are on the brink.

Oz will almost certainly be LNP – with Dutton facing an enormous job to restore any sort of prosperous nation.

Top Ender
Top Ender
November 6, 2024 5:30 pm

The ABC dolefully reports:

Kamala Harris’s election party empties out

By Emily Clark at Howard University in DC

The Kamala Harris event is almost empty now.

If anything, it’s mostly journalists here.

 Campaign and party staffers and VIPs left the seated area a short time ago. There were a lot of hugs. I think it’s fair to say they appeared to be in disbelief at the results so far.

The change in atmosphere here happened really quickly. The mood had been excited and hopeful all night.

The music and performances were keeping supporters’ anxiety at bay, but in a matter of minutes things changed when CNN swept through the swing states about two hours ago. It was just too much red.

Of course, there are still many votes to be counted and states to be won, but the thought of a second Trump presidency was impossible for so many people here tonight, and they’ve left knowing a large proportion of the country has supported that idea.

The bleachers have emptied out, staffers and officials gone home, journalists will no doubt be the last ones here as we all hit our deadlines in different time zones.

As I was chatting to some young Democratic supporters on their walk out a short time ago, they said to me: “It’s Hillary all over again.”

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:30 pm

m0nts put down the crack pipe, it’s over.

AnotherRanga
AnotherRanga
November 6, 2024 5:31 pm

Dare to dream.

Boambee John.
Boambee John.
November 6, 2024 5:31 pm

How is that popular vote going? At this time, the only point to late night dumps is to keep the 55 California EC votes from Trump.

Easiest way might be to cook the books there.

Last edited 1 month ago by Boambee John.
Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:33 pm

Holy shit the House is suddenly looking more likely to remain GOP! This is a bloodbath that’s right a bloodbath hahahahahahahahahahahaha

Rorschach
Rorschach
November 6, 2024 5:36 pm

There’s shenanigans in Wayne county (Detroit). Counting stopped at 23%. [This was the county where the muslims and Auto Workers Union refused to endorse Kamala].

Oh come on
Oh come on
November 6, 2024 5:36 pm

The ABC is about an hour behind the US networks for some reason.

Knuckle Dragger
Knuckle Dragger
November 6, 2024 5:36 pm

Skah just called it for Trump.

Extraordinary.

Fat socially-awkward lesbians gutted*.

*Deliberate.

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