The latest indication of national sentiment:
Wow. Over half polled strongly disapprove of Biden. This carries over into the generic ballot:
Let’s look at latest polls for individual races:
GA Senate: Walker (R) +3 (RCP average Walker +0.6)
AZ Senate: Masters (R) +1 v Kelly (RCP avg Kelly +0.6)
NV Senate: Laxalt (R) +2 v Cortez Mastro (RCP avg Laxalt +2.7)
WI Senate: Johnson (R) +6 v Barnes (RCP avg Johnson +3.3)
OH Senate: Vance (R) +10 v Ryan (RCP average Vance +8)
NH Senate: Hassan (D) +3 v Bolduc (RCP avg Hassan +1.4)
PA Senate: Oz (R) +2.2 v Fetterman (RCP avg Oz +0.1)
Here is my prediction. In the Senate, like Gingrich, I think we are looking at a 53-55 R majority. In the House, I think we can expect something in the low 240s. Surprises in the Senate, I think, may include pick-ups in the NH and NV. I think Walker will win the GA Senate convincingly, less so Masters but he is a very good candidate and future of the party so I hope to see him get through and pick-up the Senate seat. Lake’s strong run for AZ Gov and the generic support for R should lift him over the line.
Time will reveal all.