Ok, the question posed today involves the actors likeliest (chance stronger than 50%) to join a regional conflict given events in Gaza. You can give an explanation for any complicated choices (i.e. some event condition) in the comments. I’m going to leave off the possibility of actors outside of the Middle East (West Asia) entering…

I’m trialing the use of polls for the blog. Would be interesting to get an idea of what people are thinking on this or that issue/ event. We begin today with the impeding ground operation of the IDF in Gaza. The poll is open for 24 hours. Loading…

As promised, given recent developments and the threat of the Gaza situation spiraling into a regional war its probably best to concentrate news and discussion of them into a single thread.