Open Thread – Weekend 9 Oct 2021


Battle of Lepanto, Gulf of Patras, Oct 7, 1571

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Delta A
Delta A
October 10, 2021 4:17 pm

From JC’s link at 4.07 pm:

“There’s a pervasive anxiety about what may or may not happen this winter, because of something we have no control over, which is the weather.

So why are $trillions frittered away every year in an attempt to do precisely that?

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 4:19 pm

In the future, using Digital Identity will make life simpler and save time and money for new business owners.

Alex is an IT specialist who decides to fulfill his long-term ambition of starting his own small business. He wants to get his new business off the ground as quickly as possible, particularly because he is the primary earner in his family.

Alex has a number of steps to complete including applying for an ABN and registering his business name.

A former colleague urges Alex to try using Digital Identity. Alex finds the process takes a quarter of the time it otherwise would have, and he also saves $128 in avoided costs.

Does this digital identity repeal excise tax or reduce the complexity of income tax legislation?

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 4:24 pm

You know it’s good to love the US at a higher level, in terms of what it means and what it has done at times to protect humanity from evil. But, it’s also rotten turd of a place at times. It spent like three decades closing down tax havens and now it’s muscled in.

For decades, the U.S. government has condemned prominent offshore tax havens, where liberal rules and guarantees of discretion have drawn oligarchs, business tycoons and politicians.

But a cache of more than 11.9 million secret documents obtained by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists and shared with The Washington Post and other media outlets around the globe found that some of the most sought-after tax havens are now in the United States – and that the expanding U.S. trust industry is becoming a repository for some fortunes linked to individuals or companies that have been accused of worker exploitation and other human rights abuses.

In South Dakota, shares of a Dominican sugar company are being sheltered, part of a $14 million portfolio connected to family members of its onetime president.

More here:

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 4:31 pm

shared with The Washington Post

Now why would WaPo want to dump on South Dakota, and not NYC, DC, LA or etc?
It’s a mystery!

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 4:39 pm

Brucie

I think it’s fair not mention NY, DC and LA (I dunno about DC). There’s hefty state tax for corporate residents in those localities. I dunno, but I presume that trusts would attract state and city taxes too even though the assets and possibly even the income is foreign derived.

WaPo of course would think SD is evil because it houses deplorables.

Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare
Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare
October 10, 2021 4:40 pm

With metastudies the issue is more about mixing different forms of evidence as well as about how well designed the individual studies were. Say randomised controlled trials, with case-control studies, with prospective or retrospective population series studies.

rosie
rosie
October 10, 2021 4:40 pm

Gosh calli
You’ve managed to annoy all the right people with your turncoatery.
Well done you.

Gab
Gab
October 10, 2021 4:43 pm

Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021

Forerunner of the Social Credit System now in China.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 4:45 pm

JC – Nothing will come of the latest P papers (Panama, Pandora, Pansimian, Panadol or etc) because most of the perps will be lefties.

Gab
Gab
October 10, 2021 4:45 pm

Also, that Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021, Australia Card in disguise, means it will be easier to ”mandate” whatever vaccines, medical procedures or medicines the government wants us to take in future, or else no travel, no job, no school etc.

This current vaccination ”mandate” and ”health orders” have set the precedence.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 4:47 pm

Yes Gab,

…and the Public Health Acts need to be repealed.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 4:54 pm

Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021

Attempted a few times to comment about this abomination but every time I’ve tried in the last 10 minutes it comes out extremely rude. So being Sunday I better stay silent. I’m having a very hard time praying for those in authority lately.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 4:55 pm

Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 3:55 pm

Gilad you obviously hate Australia and hold it in complete contempt so why don’t you just fuck off out of here.

Just stating facts, fuckwit!
You don’t like it? Kiss my arse!

A Suggestion
A Suggestion
October 10, 2021 4:56 pm

I’m having a very hard time praying for those in authority lately.

I have no trouble praying for the hand of God to smite them.

Miltonf
Miltonf
October 10, 2021 4:57 pm

Well why are you here then fuckwit? You’ve been slagging off about for years. Well before the present bullshit.

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 4:59 pm

It’s really hard to believe shit like this is actually happening.

Who knew heh?

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 5:02 pm

I’d rather lose a small amount of time and money than sign up to a surveillance state

Dont worry too much.
It will link seamlessly with your VX Passport

Miltonf
Miltonf
October 10, 2021 5:03 pm

Yes there was a coup last year and we’re facing the consolidation phase

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 5:06 pm

Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 4:57 pm

Well why are you here then fuckwit? You’ve been slagging off about for years. Well before the present bullshit.

I made reference to some intelligent Cats’ comments, made only in the last 24 hours.
If you’re too thick to understand what I wrote, go and play with your teddy.
Oh, and don’t forget to go fuck yourself after that.

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 5:08 pm

Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 4:12 pm

So how do you know they hate me?

Don’t let him bamboozle you.
He wasn’t called, “Pol Dot”, for nothing.

Sinc’s cat was heavily Pro-Open Borders with Dot a major cheer leader for it, and pretty much 24/7 mock, ridicule & hate Australia; let any foreign devils with cash in and fuck off the useless Ocker Aussies with any love or sentimentality for their Homeland.

The last thing the people intending to take over Australia and get stonking rich on developing all Her riches, want, is basic, decent, loyalist Aussies hanging around, remembering what their ancestors fought for wasn’t for Globalist arseholes to get rich by doing what they never let Aussies do; develop their uniquely rich, glorious land to Her full potential.

Miltonf
Miltonf
October 10, 2021 5:10 pm

Temper temper Gilas you supercilious condescending twerp

Timothy Neilson
Timothy Neilson
October 10, 2021 5:12 pm

**enable the expansion of the Australian Government Digital Identity System, specifically to enable greater participation by state and territory governments and the private sector
**enshrine in law various privacy and consumer protections, so that Australians can have confidence in the System and know that their personal information is safe and secure
**establish permanent governance arrangements and a strong regulatory regime.

This is the most egregious bullshit ever written.
How long ago was it that Sneakers McGowan promised that covid tracing data would never ever ever be used for anything but covid tracing, and within two months the WA cops were using it in court for routine criminal cases?
About the only government department I’ve ever dealt with that clearly takes its secrecy obligations seriously – and I know some of you won’t believe this – is the Tax Office. Giving any other government department access to your info is totally losing control over it.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 5:15 pm

I studiously avoid getting into fights on the blog, but you’re too stupid and obnoxious to ignore.
Go back to your white picket-fenced 1950’s weatherboard bungalow and dunk your head in the septic tank.
It might help you think more clearly.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 5:16 pm

Internal polls in Victoriastan must be absolutely dire.

Daniel Andrews announces return of major Melbourne events as Victoria records 1,890 new COVID-19 cases (10 Oct)

Andrews confirms 10,000 people to attend Melbourne Cup (10 Oct)

Laser-focused on the science.

Miltonf
Miltonf
October 10, 2021 5:17 pm

Crude insults are not an argument. What a sad individual you are

Boambee John
Boambee John
October 10, 2021 5:17 pm

Weh the gummint purson cums to get mai dijitle ayedentitty, thye mite fond an old bolke whu has trubble wif tipyng. And dithurs a lot.

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 5:17 pm

Its a fucking goat

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMd7g9_7ao8

“When you know you’re right don’t let anybody change your mind”

Timothy Neilson
Timothy Neilson
October 10, 2021 5:18 pm

In the future, using Digital Identity will make life simpler and save time and money for new business owners.

Alex is an IT specialist who decides to fulfill his long-term ambition of starting his own small business. He wants to get his new business off the ground as quickly as possible, particularly because he is the primary earner in his family.

Alex has a number of steps to complete including applying for an ABN and registering his business name.

A former colleague urges Alex to try using Digital Identity. Alex finds the process takes a quarter of the time it otherwise would have, and he also saves $128 in avoided costs.

A couple of years later a low level clerk at some government department decides to take a short cut with Alex’s personal info for some routine piece of bureaucratic oppression.
The info ends up where it shouldn’t. It gets misused to find out commercial-in-confidence info about what Alex is doing with a client, the leak causes the client damage, Alex’s reputation is ruined, his business goes broke and he gets bankrupted.
An internal government enquiry concludes that the department from which the leak started needs more taxpayer funded resources to provide privacy training to its staff.

Roger
Roger
October 10, 2021 5:19 pm

So why are $trillions frittered away every year in an attempt to do precisely that?

Because governments have guaranteed the returns of those who invested in renewables.

It’s probably the biggets scam in human history.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 5:21 pm

One last thing Milts, I would regard it a favour if you scrolled past my comments from now on.
Your IQ will remain in the low 80s, but at least your rancid brain won’t hurt.

See? I can be kind.

Timothy Neilson
Timothy Neilson
October 10, 2021 5:22 pm

Internal polls in Victoriastan must be absolutely dire.

On the non-representative but not tiny sample around my area today, outdoor mask wearing compliance is way below 50% in and around the parks. It’s higher on the main streets , but hopefully that’s just people not wanting to be stung for $200, rather than lots of people giving a shit about Dan’s edicts.

incoherent rambler
incoherent rambler
October 10, 2021 5:22 pm

It’s probably the biggets scam in human history.

The second biggest scam in human history. (no probably)

Boambee John
Boambee John
October 10, 2021 5:24 pm

Because governments have guaranteed the returns of those who invested in renewables.

It’s probably the biggets scam in human history.

How else would industry super funds get such consistently high returns?

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 5:28 pm

Gilas:

Everyone should use the Bypass Paywalls add-on when browsing News websites.
Bankruptcy of this MSM dinosaur cannot come soon enough.

It doesn’t support Brave?

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:28 pm

Guten Abend, Standartenführer Schwab!

There is no ground common enuff for me and you, I tells ya!

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 5:30 pm

Jordan Peterson was Right About Pronouns

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=no5X-aVxTEI

Oct 10, 2021
The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:30 pm

Bruce of Newcastle says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:16 pm

Internal polls in Victoriastan must be absolutely dire.

Daniel Andrews announces return of major Melbourne events as Victoria records 1,890 new COVID-19 cases (10 Oct)

Andrews confirms 10,000 people to attend Melbourne Cup (10 Oct)

Laser-focused on the science.

How does it go?

I make no apologies for destroying the economy of the state and ruining lives because I followed the science.

“I make no apology” has been a leftwing euphemism for fucking up since Rudd. The Lying Slapper was using it almost every day.

She had to because she was fucking something up everyday.

Miltonf
Miltonf
October 10, 2021 5:30 pm

Just crude insults. That’s not a rational argument.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 5:34 pm

Winston Smith says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:28 pm

Everyone should use the Bypass Paywalls add-on when browsing News websites.
Bankruptcy of this MSM dinosaur cannot come soon enough.

It doesn’t support Brave?

Don’t know, I use Firefox, works like a dream.
Best Firefox add-on except for uBlock Origin, which destroys ads on YouTube, making it a supreme service (ex-politics..)

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:35 pm

“I make no apology”

For implementing HOP Time. I do apologise for how long it took us to do so.

Arky
October 10, 2021 5:37 pm

I don’t get the metastudies shit.
If the existing studies aren’t good enough, then how the hell does lumping them all together and doing further manipulation get any closer to the truth?
If I take my car to a series of mechanics who can’t definitively fix the problem, then hiring someone to go survey the mechanics still doesn’t fix the problem that the mechanics were fucking useless.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:38 pm

Can I make a suggestion? The thumbs thing vote thing resembles twitter. Those who are intelligent and perceptive enough can figure a decent comment. Voting can be like a twitter swarm. Over time I’ve actually received lots of votes and I don’t think it’s a good idea. Get rid of it.

Anyway, you get an idea what is a good comment through responses.

Arky
October 10, 2021 5:39 pm

Of course I could be wrong.
Maybe someone could do a meta- meta study of the meta studies and we could find out.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 5:39 pm

Miltonf says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:30 pm

Just crude insults. That’s not a rational argument.

If you are polite and civilised, you get polite and civilised replies.
It works for most people.
Believe it or not, it’s not as hard as Quantum Electrodynamics.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:40 pm

I’ve already lobbied for a “thumbs down”, JC.

No one was interested.

I think Dover has to fashion some more interesting emojis first. This should be a matter of extreme urgency. 😀

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 5:41 pm

JC – Speaking of largish ladies in black uniforms with silver rank insignia…

Palaszczuk upping the ante in the ‘COVID is a sentient being’ stakes (10 Oct)

She seems not to want the emergency to ever end.

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 5:41 pm

What Twitch Shows us About Socialism
Hasan Piker’s $200,000 a Month Socialism

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7WZ0vEpZXA

Oct 10, 2021
The Podcast of the Lotus Eaters

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:42 pm

Unfortunately, there isn’t an HOP emoji in the stable. Nor a tumbril.

This is a disgrace.

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:43 pm

JC – that’s an interesting observation – and I say this only because my poor li’l comments never seem to get enough likes, I tells ya! 🙂

If you post a comment and it encourages some debate and/or discussion, then that’s a good thing.

The thumbs up may be (inadvertently) driving some lazy behaviour. This is not a criticism of the Dover.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:44 pm

I tend to reply rather than bluethumb, but then I’m a big mouth.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:45 pm

On the non-representative but not tiny sample around my area today, outdoor mask wearing compliance is way below 50% in and around the parks. It’s higher on the main streets , but hopefully that’s just people not wanting to be stung for $200, rather than lots of people giving a shit about Dan’s edicts.

Karens and male Karens can end up causing a fight. It’s not worth the aggro. It’s fine if you’re not a hothead and can keep your cool and walk away from a potential fight otherwise just wear a mask for peace sake.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 5:45 pm

Yes there was a coup last year and we’re facing the consolidation phase

Hence why I can’t understand why you can’t understand why others want to leave and you can’t comprehend that the majority hate you and want to rob you blind.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:45 pm

There. I gave you a thumb Rabz. 😀

feelthebern
feelthebern
October 10, 2021 5:46 pm

Jacksonville airport was effectively shut down by the air traffic controllers walking off the job to protest against vaccine mandates.
Saturday night US time.
600 flights impacted.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:46 pm

And a reply.

Two for the price of one.

I call that a bargain.

Thefrollickingmole
Thefrollickingmole
October 10, 2021 5:46 pm

“ deaf dykes”

Lip readers were they?

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:46 pm

In the meantime, I’ve inadvertently gotten into a discourse on another thread about the existence (or otherwise) of those (alleged) almighty deities … 🙁

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:47 pm

Ta, calli 🙂

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 5:48 pm

???

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:49 pm

JC – Speaking of largish ladies in black uniforms with silver rank insignia…

Palaszczuk upping the ante in the ‘COVID is a sentient being’ stakes (10 Oct)

She seems not to want the emergency to ever end.

Hunchback appears to have an okay grasp on how to self-preservation up to recent. Hunchback is shifty snake. She’s just a fat ugly retard with zero going for her.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:49 pm

He exists, Rabz. He’s a bit shy, though.

On your next permitted “exercise”, go to a nice park or garden and see if you meet Him there. He’s a bit of a lurker.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:49 pm

Whoops

on how to do

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 5:50 pm

Arky says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:37 pm

I don’t get the metastudies shit.
If the existing studies aren’t good enough, then how the hell does lumping them all together and doing further manipulation get any closer to the truth?

By increasing the data sampled (People on trials) and thus reducing the error bands, even possibly reaching pre-set “significance levels”, usually p<.05, which were not achieved in individual trials.
Dover is correct, the data should be normalised for variations in trial design, inclusion factors, statistics used etc.. Not something for the numerically illiterate

Of course I could be wrong.
Maybe someone could do a meta- meta study of the meta studies and we could find out.

It is done in Medical Oncology, at least.
That neo-Communist rag The Lancet routinely publishes data on treatment results in early breast cancer, the prosaically-titled EBCTG (Early Breast Cancer Triallists Group). They’re now beyond 500.000 patients analysed.
Eye-glazing stuff…

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:50 pm

there is not a HOP emoji in the stable, nor a tumbril

A situation that is outrageously outrageous, Madam calli. 😕

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 5:51 pm

JC says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:38 pm
Can I make a suggestion? The thumbs thing vote thing resembles twitter. Those who are intelligent and perceptive enough can figure a decent comment. Voting can be like a twitter swarm. Over time I’ve actually received lots of votes and I don’t think it’s a good idea. Get rid of it.

Anyway, you get an idea what is a good comment through responses.

Often all that needs to be said is said in a comment so adding anything can be a case of either hogging someone else’s limelight or trying to start a pile on against someone in lieu of any actual counter argument.

feelthebern
feelthebern
October 10, 2021 5:52 pm

Dot, is it possible this digital identity legislation is the back fill to cover all the contracts the federal government handed out over the past 18 months.

rickw
rickw
October 10, 2021 5:54 pm

Saturday night US time.
600 flights impacted.

If you burned the whole of Melbourne Airport to the ground you would impact 5 flights! 😉

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:55 pm

Gilas..

How do you weight study A vs study B vs Study C and so on. Meta stuff needs to be carefully understood in terms of what the author is trying to do as an uncomfortable number could be used for the equivalent of push polling.
Andreas Backhaus agrees. He’s a data scientist, fairly prominent in Twitter and isn’t a dick.

https://twitter.com/AndreasShrugged?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

rickw
rickw
October 10, 2021 5:55 pm

Hodge Twins hanging shit on Australia:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LT4uA5QXJzI

Rabz
October 10, 2021 5:55 pm

go to a nice park or garden and see if you meet Him there. He’s a bit of a lurker.

He’s ashamed of me, for good reason. There will be no revealing. I lust after beautiful young women, for goodness’ sake, despite being a monstrous ol’ dinobore.

One of the ten commandments – “Thou shalt not lust after hot bits o’ that, I tells ya”. 🙂

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 5:56 pm

data scientist

Made up qualification.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:57 pm

He’s loved worse, Rabz. I have that on excellent authority.

Arky
October 10, 2021 5:57 pm

Dover is correct, the data should be normalised for variations in trial design, inclusion factors, statistics used etc.. Not something for the numerically illiterate

..
Unless everyone designing a trial is making the same errors.

feelthebern
feelthebern
October 10, 2021 5:57 pm

Sydney is going to break tomorrow.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 5:57 pm

Wind?

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 5:58 pm

If you burned the whole of Melbourne Airport to the ground you would impact 5 flights!

Rick, it could prevent the Chinese military jumping in here and taking over the country. Obviously, they would be floating on China Airlines Dreamliners.

calli
calli
October 10, 2021 6:00 pm

I reckon the “show us yer papers” tyranny dress rehearsal will be utterly predictable.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:01 pm

Sinc’s cat was heavily Pro-Open Borders with Dot a major cheer leader for it, and pretty much 24/7 mock, ridicule & hate Australia; let any foreign devils with cash in and fuck off the useless Ocker Aussies with any love or sentimentality for their Homeland.

The last thing the people intending to take over Australia and get stonking rich on developing all Her riches, want, is basic, decent, loyalist Aussies hanging around, remembering what their ancestors fought for wasn’t for Globalist arseholes to get rich by doing what they never let Aussies do; develop their uniquely rich, glorious land to Her full potential.

You have completely misrepresented my views and why the hell should I hang around when my rights are reduced to that of a 12th century Angevin dominated peasant?

Rabz
October 10, 2021 6:02 pm

This is what three and a half months of solitary confinement does to you.

You just want to get out there and flirt with some cute young woman, in a pub, while playing pool and listening to some rock ‘n’ roll.

Stolen.

Never forget or forgive, peoples. They have it coming to them.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:02 pm

Sydney is going to break tomorrow.

Huh?

Is Ivan Drago back at U Syd?

Arky
October 10, 2021 6:02 pm

Lets say you’re studying the prevalence of arse cancer in North America.
But there’s a travelling salesman who doesn’t have arse cancer and who gets his kicks from signing up to every arse cancer study in every city he visits.
Now, instead of evaluating which studies have the best protocols to exclude phonies, you just add the all together.
You end up counting phoney arse cancer travelling salesman guy multiple times in your meta study.

feelthebern
feelthebern
October 10, 2021 6:03 pm

Dot says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:01 pm

Who posted that?

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:04 pm

Out of curiosity is there such a thing as arse cancer… not bowel cancer etc.. but straight out rear-end cancer?

feelthebern
feelthebern
October 10, 2021 6:06 pm

JC, saw one of those new so called beaver toothed BMW’s today.
Looks like a rust magnet.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:07 pm

You have completely misrepresented my views

Ignore USSR, Dot. She’s one of the biggest attention whores I’ve seen for a while now.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:09 pm

Causes of anal cancer
The most common cause of anal cancer is the human papilloma virus (HPV) accounting for around 80% of cases.

Other factors that can increase your risk of anal cancer include:

having diseases such as chlamydia, anal warts and AIDS/HIV

women who have already had cervical, vulval or vaginal cancer or a history of abnormal cells in the cervix, vulva or vagina

people who have anal intercourse may have an increased risk of anal cancer possibly due to an increased risk of HPV infection

people with weakened immune systems

smoking tobacco.

I call bullshit. Smoking tobacco causes cancer in every organ? Even my left toe? You mean I’ve been sucking down on them at the wrong end?

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 6:10 pm

Andrews confirms 10,000 people to attend Melbourne Cup

I have it on good authority from somebody very horsey that it has been in planning for well over a month.

So consider this:

While they are planning for Best Kommunist Pony Party Ever…

–they are shooting at protesters
–doubling-down on the Stasi Pass
–writing Permanent Pandemic Legislation.
–destroying the merchant class

Kome to Viktoria for Best Kommunist Pony Party
everybody VX’d
Riff-raff not allowed
free Ivermectin for horses and jockeys

Arky
October 10, 2021 6:11 pm

Dotsays:
October 10, 2021 at 6:09 pm
Causes of anal cancer

..
Killed Farah Fawcett.

Cassie of Sydney
October 10, 2021 6:12 pm

“women who have already had cervical, vulval or vaginal cancer or a history of abnormal cells in the cervix, vulva or vagina”

No…no…no…it is now “individuals who have already had cervical, vulval or vaginal cancer or a history of abnormal cells in the cervix, vulva or vagina“….remember a man can now have a cervix, vulva and vagina.

Tom
Tom
October 10, 2021 6:12 pm

Just sat through the first episode of Global Focus with Christopher Pyne on Skah – a 30-minute chat between the mincing pouve and Singapore’s foreign minister Vivian Balakrichnan. It was actually quite interesting in spite of Pyne outing himself as a globalist leftard who, for example, sees the disastrous Biden administration as “centrist”. I like the format; it’s just a matter of how soon Pyne runs out of interesting subjects given his predictable, one-dimensional personality.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:14 pm

PRO TIP

Gender explained by a based child

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fg3Xs_x9Kco

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:15 pm

JC, saw one of those new so called beaver toothed BMW’s today.
Looks like a rust magnet.

Pic please.

Dude, wanted to replace the 5 series wagon. The fuckers don’t import them anymore and there’s only a 3 series wagon. The reason told to me is that the punters are only buying SUVs now. By fuck am I going to buy a 3 series. I can’t stand SUVs and those SUV crossover contraptions that both Mercedes and BMW flog are horrible. They are the developer’s and successful drug dealers car of choice. The Mercedes wagon range look like hearses and Audi… It’s just too gay for my linking. I’m lost in a quagmire of confusion. I’m not getting a Sedan as I need the space at the back for at least one car and I have a sports.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:16 pm

people with weakened immune systems

smoking tobacco.

I call bullshit. Smoking tobacco causes cancer in every organ? Even my left toe? You mean I’ve been sucking down on them at the wrong end?

Of course, tobacco gets a bum rap… hahaha get it.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:17 pm

Maserati Quattroporte
Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio

Arky
October 10, 2021 6:17 pm
Makka
Makka
October 10, 2021 6:19 pm

Alfa Romeo Giulia Quadrifoglio

Italian jobs = Oil leaks on wheels.

feelthebern
feelthebern
October 10, 2021 6:20 pm

Audi A5 will get you sorted JC.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:20 pm

Oil is cheap, so are welch plugs.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:20 pm

Bern

In all seriousness I don’t think Australian car spaces can fit a GLE and the BMW equivs as these things are just enormous. Also, other than developers and successful drug dealers, Mainland Chinese seem to drive them.. badly.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 6:21 pm

JC says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:55 pm

How do you weight study A vs study B vs Study C and so on.

As in everything in life, “It’s complicated” The trial numbers will speak for themselves, a bigger trial will carry greater weight in the overall analysis. The difficulty arises in correcting for methodological differences, like inclusion/exclusion criteria, population studied (age, gender, co-morbidities etc..), confounders which weren’t excluded, such as pre-medications, symptom burden at enrolment etc..
Determining correction factors and the statistical analyses appropriate to the cohort concerned (there can be several in each meta-analysis) is why expert statisticians are needed.

Meta stuff needs to be carefully understood in terms of what the author is trying to do as an uncomfortable number could be used for the equivalent of push polling.
Andreas Backhaus agrees. He’s a data scientist, fairly prominent in Twitter and isn’t a dick.

Backhaus holds the correct position that the meta-analysis investigators can bias results by selection of the trials chosen for analysis, as well as modifying the data to give greater weight to a pre-determined outcome.
All true but a relatively recent trend, now often seen in Pharma-heavy trial and politically-charged issues like COVID. All the meta-analyses that “proved” Ivermectin or HCQ work were clearly highly selective and biased.
That’s not to say that they don’t work, but the agenda of the analysts was a bit too obvious.
The best place to see this is in the Methods section of the paper, the convolutions and overt BS are easily picked up by decent statisticians or clinical people who read this stuff all the time.
Recently, the use of Markov Chains and Monte-Carlo methods have gained favour, IMO this is a way to produce results that the data doesn’t show a-priori. ie. a fudge.

Rabz
October 10, 2021 6:24 pm

Pyne outing himself as a globalist leftard

Pompous poodles from that monstrous mass murder capital will mince. Another Annaliese Neilsen style self administered boot to the bollocks.

Grate work, Skah – and no, I’ve not seen the ads. Taking a sledgehammer to your televisions rapidly becomes a very expensive habit.

Bluddee hell – No Fun … 🙁

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:25 pm

The other thing that covid has ruined, I think, is the cash economy. If I’m an example of the average dude with a wallet, I’ve had the same cash in my wallet for ages as I just use the card. This would filter back to the tradies too, who adore cash. If other sectors aren’t dealing in cash, it’s in short supply so tradies suffer too.

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 6:26 pm

“Dot says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:01 pm
‘Sinc’s cat was heavily Pro-Open Borders with Dot a major cheer leader for it, and pretty much 24/7 mock, ridicule & hate Australia; let any foreign devils with cash in and fuck off the useless Ocker Aussies with any love or sentimentality for their Homeland.

The last thing the people intending to take over Australia and get stonking rich on developing all Her riches, want, is basic, decent, loyalist Aussies hanging around, remembering what their ancestors fought for wasn’t for Globalist arseholes to get rich by doing what they never let Aussies do; develop their uniquely rich, glorious land to Her full potential.’

You have completely misrepresented my views and why the hell should I hang around when my rights are reduced to that of a 12th century Angevin dominated peasant?
_________________

Where are you going to go Dot, and why are you still here?

You DO know that the very same Worldly powers giving Australia shit are Worldly powers and that they are going to pour their evils out everywhere.

At least Australia does have all it needs to be totally self sufficient, unlike some waterless rocky Greek Island, live volcano studded Italy, murderous hoards neighbouring or populated anywhere else, etc.

If they’re going to ‘turn the modern world off’, better here than the UK where thousands freeze to death each year.\, while the power’s still running.

You, JC et al spent years on Sinc’s Cat telling anyone who’d listen that Australia was a, “shit stained toilet”, and that anyone with half a brain should get the hell out.

Meanwhile, JC is still here, letting his wife go to his ‘beloved’ New York without him, while he attention whores on blogs everyday, spitting on the country he doesn’t want to share with the natives who love Her.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 6:27 pm

This was sent o me by a friend –
Comparison between the Molnupiravir and Ivermectin drugs.
He makes some interesting comparisons:
1. Different drugs, different modes of action,
2. Molnupiravir introduces transcription errors in the WZV organism which fatally mutates it.
3. Ivermectin binds to the cells the WZV organism targets and denies it entry to the bodies replication process.
4. Cost. Ivermectin per tab/course of treatment = $0.53
Molnupiravir per tab/course of treatment = $70.00
5. Although transcription error is a common way of defeating nasties, I’m not sure it’s a good way to go – after all, where do variants/antibiotic mutations come from? Some are from natural ionising radiation and other reasons, but this pathway seems to be a bit more suspect in light of the evidence before us. Between the two – both being equal – I’d prefer the site binding to the transcription error producing drug.
If someone would like to check the video, thanks.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:27 pm

Excellent, thanks Gilas. Really good reply. Thumbs up without a thumbs up. 🙂

Gab
Gab
October 10, 2021 6:28 pm

This is urgent. I urge you all to reply at the link. There are some very smart people here, freedom-loving people and here’s your chance to do something.

Public consultation on Australia’s Digital Identity legislation

On 1 October 2021, the Hon. Stuart Robert MP, Minister for Employment, Workforce, Skills, Small and Family Business released the exposure draft of the Trusted Digital Identity Bill and related legislative instruments for public consultation.

They are at phase 3, which is:

The exposure draft of the Trusted Digital Identity Bill 2021 and related legislative instruments, are available for your review and feedback.

Please consider providing feedback to these totalitarians.

https://www.digitalidentity.gov.au/have-your-say

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 6:30 pm

Arky says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:02 pm

Lets say you’re studying the prevalence of arse cancer in North America.
But there’s a travelling salesman who doesn’t have arse cancer and who gets his kicks from signing up to every arse cancer study in every city he visits.
Now, instead of evaluating which studies have the best protocols to exclude phonies, you just add the all together.
You end up counting phoney arse cancer travelling salesman guy multiple times in your meta study.

Entirely possible, but it shouldn’t be enough to sway results if enough people are enrolled. Small studies have large error ranges, using variance, anova or Chi-squared tests. regardless of the statistical significance, they have quite limited or no utility.

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 6:33 pm

MatrixTransform says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:10 pm
[…]
Kome to Viktoria for Best Kommunist Pony Party
everybody VX’d

Riff-raff not allowed
[…]
__________________________

🙂 an example of why JC et al keep telling people to fuck off out of Australia while they remain.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 6:33 pm

JC says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:04 pm
Out of curiosity is there such a thing as arse cancer

Anal cancer is real, rare, mostly Human Papilloma Virus-related, in the elderly or younger gays.

Rabz
October 10, 2021 6:35 pm

I’m an example of the average dude with a wallet, I’ve had the same cash in my wallet for ages as I just use the card

True, JC – I topped up mine with a $50 note last week as I’ve had $90 in the wallet for about the last 18 months.

Just in case I need to do something seriously rebellious like actually paying for something with some of the folding stuff.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 6:35 pm

Calli:

Yesterday, I honoured my promise and threw my fate in with my eldest grandson. I had my first jab of Moderna. Cats will know I’m not happy about it but my position had became untenable, and I’m not about to have my 45 year marriage ruined by this bullshit.

Calli, my sympathies to you in your situation.
“Only a fool remains in an untenable position.”
Lt Smith – unsung military genius.
Everything OK?

FlyingPigs
FlyingPigs
October 10, 2021 6:37 pm

Timothy Neilson says:
October 10, 2021 at 5:12 pm

About the only government department I’ve ever dealt with that clearly takes its secrecy obligations seriously – and I know some of you won’t believe this – is the Tax Office. Giving any other government department access to your info is totally losing control over it.

LOL

not disagreeing but the ATO is like… all your information belong us.

Dr Faustus
Dr Faustus
October 10, 2021 6:38 pm

If the existing studies aren’t good enough, then how the hell does lumping them all together and doing further manipulation get any closer to the truth?

It generally doesn’t.
Unless the studies are closely structured so you can statistically ‘normalise’ them, you end up adding error and uncertainty into whatever conclusion you reach.

Exhibit A: the “ensemble” of climate model forecasts. Despite some models showing global cooling, some not much change at all, and others a climate Inferno of Doom, the climate disaster industry effectively averages them out – and then claims that The Science supports the resulting ‘answer’.

Not to say meta studies have no use. They certainly provide a useful window into the boundaries of the state of knowledge of the topic.

If you have studies done on a reasonably comparable basis showing diametrically opposed results, it’s open that the jury is still out. I’m not a particularly close follower, but ivermectin appears to fall into this category.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:39 pm

Where are you going to go Dot, and why are you still here?

1. Maybe Mexico. Used to be Morocco but they went crazy like us over COVID.
2. It is a huge decision and my friends and family are here.

You DO know that the very same Worldly powers giving Australia shit are Worldly powers and that they are going to pour their evils out everywhere.

???

Who are they?

At least Australia does have all it needs to be totally self sufficient, unlike some waterless rocky Greek Island, live volcano studded Italy, murderous hoards neighbouring or populated anywhere else, etc.

No. These places were the cradle of Western civilisation. Northern Italy, where I have heritage, is one of the richest places on earth. Italy is in the G7. Italy is very economically developed. Their exports are numerous and very “elaborately transformed”.

With stupid energy policies, we won’t have the ability to be self sufficient. In anything significant.

If they’re going to ‘turn the modern world off’, better here than the UK where thousands freeze to death each year.\, while the power’s still running.

Who are “they”?

Have you lived west of the great divide in summer without an air con and insulation?

You, JC et al spent years on Sinc’s Cat telling anyone who’d listen that Australia was a, “shit stained toilet”, and that anyone with half a brain should get the hell out.

I’m not wrong.

Get this through your head. I am not happy about this.

This is friendly advice. Tell me why I am wrong.

We have medical apartheid. We are moving to a digital Australia card. We are perilously in debt. Parliaments have not sit for months.

We have not lost our rights like this since the Tudor and Stewart Star Chamber Courts, before this, before the signing of the Magna Carta.

Meanwhile, JC is still here, letting his wife go to his ‘beloved’ New York without him, while he attention whores on blogs everyday, spitting on the country he doesn’t want to share with the natives who love Her.

I love Australia but many Australians have ruined Australia. To be honest I think the uniparty has broken their spirit. They’ve been trying for a national ID for 35+ years.

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 6:41 pm

The most common cause of anal cancer is the human papilloma virus (HPV) accounting for around 80% of cases.

Other factors that can increase your risk of anal cancer include: having diseases such as chlamydia, anal warts and AIDS/HIV

Dot – You are going perilously close to saying that certainly lifestyles are bad for men. Verboten!

Rabz
October 10, 2021 6:43 pm

I’ve had some full on 10 hole contretemps with the ATO in my time.

They are dirt.

Worse than Filth.

Even worserer than the expectorations expelled from the nostrils of a vogon subjecting you to some of their infernal f*cking poetree. 🙁

They will be administered a long overdue dose of some good ol’ HOP Time soon. 🙂

Rabz
October 10, 2021 6:45 pm

Err, why are there multiple comments here aboot some weird sexual practices, peoples?

Enough.

Bruce in WA
October 10, 2021 6:45 pm

Dude, wanted to replace the 5 series wagon. The fuckers don’t import them anymore and there’s only a 3 series wagon. The reason told to me is that the punters are only buying SUVs now. By fuck am I going to buy a 3 series. I can’t stand SUVs and those SUV crossover contraptions that both Mercedes and BMW flog are horrible. They are the developer’s and successful drug dealers car of choice. The Mercedes wagon range look like hearses and Audi… It’s just too gay for my linking. I’m lost in a quagmire of confusion. I’m not getting a Sedan as I need the space at the back for at least one car and I have a sports.

Never been a real fan, but last week got to drive a friend’s Merc — AMG GLE 63 S 4MATIC SUV. We’re talking 450 Killer wasps and 850 Nm. Holy cow, that thing went like shit off a shovel and stuck to the road like … umm … shit to a blanket! Despite its size, you could only describe it as nimble on the road. Drove it down Caves Road, Yallingup (nice winding road for non-Sandgropers). Brake into the corners and accelerate out of them and in a split second you were well and truly into “Good evening sir, please hand over your licence, your keys and your wallet” territory. And the bi-turbo engine rumble is just plain visceral. Of course, the price tag is a bit of a downer — as is the fuel consumption of 98 octane go-juice at 16 L per 100 km while taking it easy on the loud pedal.

Driving home in the diesel Kia was a bit of an anti-climax …

Bruce of Newcastle
Bruce of Newcastle
October 10, 2021 6:46 pm

Certain, not certainly. Grr. Although certainly certain might fit. I should certainly avoid certain parts of eastern Sydney now. I don’t want to be mugged by certain leather-jacketed people.

Indolent
Indolent
October 10, 2021 6:48 pm

It’s just that they were devised in a (politicised) rush so they’re not as good as we have come to expect.

No. They’ve been working on them for decades. Every part of it is patented, and was even before the virus was released. Remember, the vaccines were announced a day or so after the U.S. election. They were simply waiting for Trump to “lose”. The other thing to remember is that for mRNA vaccine testing over at least 2 decades, every animal died, usually from subsequent viral infections. Trump was well and truly rolled on this one.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:51 pm

Rabz says:
October 10, 2021 at 6:35 pm

lol

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 6:51 pm

Bruce O’Newk:
https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/entirety-lebanon-goes-dark-mass-power-outage-last-several-days
Wasn’t that a good idea, allowing the Palestinians into Lebanon after they’d totalled their own country -Jordan – in a civil war, then proceeded to do a rerun in the homes of the people who granted them refuge.
Stupid bloody Lebanese Christians, stupid world, that didn’t partition Jordan into a homeland for the Palestinians to shit in.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 6:51 pm

Exhibit A: the “ensemble” of climate model forecasts.

Seriously, climate scientists are paid to produce conclusion-based evidence and 3-D circulation models of chaotic gaseous systems that have no solutions.
Cannot have any solutions due to the insoluble thermodynamic differential equations they rely on.
If I recall correctly, this was known in the 1920s, when maths wasn’t racist.
All high-lethality weapons-grade BS.

Rabz
October 10, 2021 6:52 pm

This is urgent. I urge you all to reply at the link. There are some very smart people here, freedom-loving people and here’s your chance to do something.
Public consultation on Australia’s Digital Identity legislation

Gabz – is there any reason why we should be concerned?

Otherwise, it’s just more of the same unrepentant fascist idiocy, which will be corrected by the long overdue administration of HOP Time.

No more petitions. They can read the results to us while dangling from the end of a rope.

DrBeauGan
DrBeauGan
October 10, 2021 6:52 pm

Yesterday, I honoured my promise and threw my fate in with my eldest grandson. I had my first jab of Moderna. Cats will know I’m not happy about it but my position had became untenable, and I’m not about to have my 45 year marriage ruined by this bullshit.

Sorry to hear that, calli. I guess the social pressures got to be too much. I don’t know enough about your circumstances to understand why you felt compelled to surrender, but it’s sad that you had to.

I hope there are no bad effects from the jab and that you continue to divert us for a long time with your usually considered and thoughtful comments.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 6:55 pm

So… both Dot and JC are dagos.
With Tintarella, we could form a quartet.

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:56 pm

I think Dot from limey heritage.

DrBeauGan
DrBeauGan
October 10, 2021 6:58 pm

So… both Dot and JC are dagos.

I thought the term was ‘wop’. Aren’t dagos Spanish?

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 6:58 pm

and I’m not about to have my 45 year marriage ruined by this bullshit.

I wouldn’t worry about the marriage. After 45 years, it’s already ruined, Calli. 🙂

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 6:59 pm

Only 1/32nd Italian guys, calm down. Liguria does look great though.

srr
srr
October 10, 2021 6:59 pm

“Who are ‘They’”, Dot; you really want to trot out that old chestnut?

How about the WHO, WEF, UN, EU, all the rest of the bastard Orgs telling Sovereign Nations (like the EU is telling Poland), that they have no right to make their own decisions but must bend to the will of The Global Bodies.

You DO know that only Leftist arseholes are still trying to convince people that these Globalist Entities aren’t overruling National Rights, right.

As to Morocco & Mexico; my son LOVED living in Morocco but for that little detail of his dearest friends telling him that if they have to behead him, they will, because that’s what good Muslims do and Mexico, sure, still some safe places but where there’s any sort of comfortable monied living, there’s Cartels & you don’t even have to cross them to cross them.

Still, my main point was – too many shit canning Muslims for running away to Australia instead of staying and fighting for their countries, while telling people to run away from Australia to some other place, under all the same threats from all the same worldly powers … and people wonder why Australia has slipped so easily into the hands of Her enemies.

twostix
twostix
October 10, 2021 7:01 pm

Sorry to hear your family coercively
controlled you into getting vaccinated calli.

NSW passed laws to protect women and the elderly against such behaviour, apparently not working.

DrBeauGan
DrBeauGan
October 10, 2021 7:02 pm

I think Dot from limey heritage.

Limey is a seppo term. The expression you want is pommy bastard.

Baba
Baba
October 10, 2021 7:02 pm

How to run an ‘Ivermectin doesn’t work’ study in 3 steps.

1. Choose critically ill hospitalised paients.
2. Give half the recommended dose.
3. For half the recommended time.

The Beer whisperer
The Beer whisperer
October 10, 2021 7:02 pm

Even us Cats can’t keep ahead of this curve.

The Beer whisperer
The Beer whisperer
October 10, 2021 7:03 pm

JC
JC
October 10, 2021 7:03 pm

Liguria does look great though.

Dot, a few years ago we had a Sardinian beach holiday in late June. The Med was cold even that far south. Ligurian water would be coldish until August I reckon. However it does look good. If energy stocks put on 1 million percent, Cronkite said he was going to help me buy a mansion on Lake Cuomo. 🙂 You’re invited for the summer.

Ellen of Tasmania
Ellen of Tasmania
October 10, 2021 7:04 pm

Calli, still praying for you. FWIW, I would have done the same in your situation. (Not that that’s any comfort, just that all our situations are different.)

Dot, we heard just last week that very dear friends of ours are leaving Aus. They’ve had enough and are going where they think there are enough folk who will fight against all this madness with them. We will miss them so much. Absolutely understand why some folk feel they may as well go.

Rabz, what is HOP Time, please?

twostix
twostix
October 10, 2021 7:05 pm

After awkwardly ignoring her plight for six months the resident sewing circle of vaccinated boomer women gushing over and welcoming calli home.

Definitely not a cult.

DrBeauGan
DrBeauGan
October 10, 2021 7:08 pm

very dear friends of ours are leaving Aus. They’ve had enough and are going where they think there are enough folk who will fight against all this madness with them.

Where is this place, Helen? I might want to go there too.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 7:08 pm

How about the WHO, WEF, UN, EU, all the rest of the bastard Orgs telling Sovereign Nations (like the EU is telling Poland), that they have no right to make their own decisions but must bend to the will of The Global Bodies.

You DO know that only Leftist arseholes are still trying to convince people that these Globalist Entities aren’t overruling National Rights, right.

They are funded by our governments and the US. The UN convenes in New York City.

We have had a nominally conservative government since 2013 and Trump was in office for four years.

NOTHING WAS DONE TO DEAL WITH THESE JERKS. THEY WERE ENABLED MORESO.

As to Morocco & Mexico; my son LOVED living in Morocco but for that little detail of his dearest friends telling him that if they have to behead him, they will, because that’s what good Muslims do and Mexico, sure, still some safe places but where there’s any sort of comfortable monied living, there’s Cartels & you don’t even have to cross them to cross them.

Tell me who gets beheaded in Morocco and I will show you men in Australia raped daily in prison from false MeToo convictions and false allegations rising from Family Court shenanigans.

Melbourne has crime gangs that the government denies, we shoot unarmed protestors, arrest pregnant mothers organising peaceful protests and we have bikies openly beating/shooting each other to death in airports recently and at pubs decades ago with civilian casualties.

We’re not clean. We had the painters and dockers and now OMCGs linked to unions.

Still, my main point was – too many shit canning Muslims for running away to Australia instead of staying and fighting for their countries, while telling people to run away from Australia to some other place, under all the same threats from all the same worldly powers … and people wonder why Australia has slipped so easily into the hands of Her enemies.

You want people to die because you are offended by them not being blindly loyal as you are to Australia.

The enemy are the people who decide to fund the UN, that is our ruling political parties.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 7:09 pm

I think Dot from limey heritage.

You have my most sincere condolescences.

The Beer whisperer
The Beer whisperer
October 10, 2021 7:09 pm

It’s hard to tell if this is real or bullshit.

Dot
Dot
October 10, 2021 7:10 pm

A rival mashup master to rival the great Bill McClintock?

Stayin’ Alive In The Wall (Pink Floyd + Bee Gees Mashup) by Wax Audio

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U13xOvDa19U

Rabz
October 10, 2021 7:10 pm

both Dot and JC are dagos

And myself.

Timothy Neilson
Timothy Neilson
October 10, 2021 7:10 pm

not disagreeing but the ATO is like… all your information belong us.

Absolutely agree FP, but they’re very sincere that it “belong us”, not belong anyone else.

DrBeauGan
DrBeauGan
October 10, 2021 7:12 pm

I hope it’s not the opposite end of the Galaxy, but we’re definitely in Foundation territory now. Some place where we can reestablish civilisation after its collapse.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 7:15 pm

Dot;

I suppose my real gripe is with the amount of tax we pay.

The Government and it’s tentacles in the Public Service are slowly strangling the nation, and they refuse to go on a diet.
They will kill the host before they give up one dollar of their plunder.
Despite the evidence that only reducing taxes will allow enough growth to increase the largess for them to plunder, they will not reduce their numbers.
Government is a Boa Constrictor, slowly crushing the life out of us.

Eyrie
Eyrie
October 10, 2021 7:16 pm

Exhibit A: the “ensemble” of climate model forecasts.
Seriously, climate scientists are paid to produce conclusion-based evidence and 3-D circulation models of chaotic gaseous systems that have no solutions.
Cannot have any solutions due to the insoluble thermodynamic differential equations they rely on.

AFAIK they use approximations to the actual equations so they diverge from reality in short order (days at most). It is instructive to go to http://www.windy.com and look at the next 7 days. Then, day by day see how that day 7 looks each day compared to the next day’s prediction and watch the drift.
They use the same models but run for 50 years ahead for climate “science”. Run them lots of times and average the results. I’m not aware of any formal mathematical proof that this results in anything sensible.
BTW that fellow Manabe who just got the Nobel for this crap gave a seminar 50 years ago that my class went along to see. It was only a few years after the beginning of computer meteorology.

twostix
twostix
October 10, 2021 7:18 pm

The vote thing is great, it shows that some of the blogs self appointed cool kids, aren’t and never were. It was all just a confidence game and favoured a few who had unlimited time to spend relentlessly tag team flooding the place with shit night and day.

Unsurprisingly they want it to go back in their favour.

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 7:18 pm

With Tintarella, we could form a quartet.

youse could call it Big Parma

rosie
rosie
October 10, 2021 7:19 pm

When you think there couldn’t be a weirder take on the response to calli’s decision than ussr’s, along comes twostix.

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 7:21 pm

what is HOP Time

best anti-communist party evah

Rabz
October 10, 2021 7:22 pm

Err, whoever that was who just rang me – dinner is not going to eat itself, I tells ya! 🙂

Rabz
October 10, 2021 7:24 pm

eb – come on down! 🙂

Arky
October 10, 2021 7:25 pm

Rabzsays:
October 10, 2021 at 7:22 pm
Err, whoever that was who just rang me

..
It was God.
He left a message with me for you:
“Rabz, Rabz, this is God. I’m coming for you Rabz. You must repent. Rabz. Leave your motorcycle to Arky”.

Arky
October 10, 2021 7:27 pm

“…unless it’s one of those shit BMW twins”.

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 7:28 pm

Dot says:
October 10, 2021 at 7:08 pm

All correct.
The problem is the massive “friction” of emigrating, Governments interference and payola required at every turn. Maybe OK if not self-funded, as part of some large multinational company arrangement.
The selling of fixed assets for the right price can take months.. the stress.. the agents, the chancers.
Opening investment accounts internationally will bring you to the attention of Austrac and our dearest ATO, it will also require an overseas properly-certified address and other documents.
And that’s before the Byzantine Citizenship paperwork is started.
All previously considered, at length, and shelved due to the complexity, logistics and cost.
One needs to have all the planets lined up.

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 7:28 pm

It is instructive to go to http://www.windy.com and look at the next 7 days

my old man is finally getting his aircon fixed this week.
It is on a trailer in my driveway
He told me on Friday how he heard it was gonna rain rain rain

so , while on the phone I checked windy and started clicking forward a day at a time
by day two I was already like yeah/nah/bullshit

so far, I’m righterer than them

Rabz
October 10, 2021 7:30 pm

Sacré bleu! 🙂

twostix
twostix
October 10, 2021 7:31 pm

callis heart felt capitulation is deservedly at +30 two pages back.

A more perfect marker of sentiment couldn’t be found than the humble thumbs up.

Rabz
October 10, 2021 7:31 pm

those shit BMW twins

Yeah, no, Arks. FFS.

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 7:31 pm

Leave your motorcycle to Arky

… and yr guitar to Matrix

Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 7:33 pm

Rabz says:
October 10, 2021 at 7:10 pm

both Dot and JC are dagos

And myself.

Quintet time! Even allowing for the Celtic.

Arky
October 10, 2021 7:35 pm

Yeah, no, Arks. FFS.

..
Norton Commando?

Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare
Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare
October 10, 2021 7:39 pm

Meta-analysis are best when genuine RTC’s are compared because then they do increase the statistical power of the overall set. Otherwise, using a variety of studies, often poorly randomised if at all, the results are only ‘suggestive’.

I attended a series of statistical lectures on how to increase power, in individual studies and in meta-analyses. The statistical pirouettes possible are absolutely mind-blowing, but there is a genuine mathematics that underlies them. I couldn’t claim to have understood these completely, nor to have recalled them now even if I once did, but there is a level of serious science operating here – in some cases but definitely not in all meta-analyses you come across. They are also get so arcane they might simply carry initial errors further into the stratosphere.

Indolent
Indolent
October 10, 2021 7:40 pm

Perrottet should take this as an indicator that what he has done is in a good and popular direction – that Dan feels he has to follow.

I’m sure Dan will love to follow Parrothead – straight into vaccine passport territory. Parrothead has now officially introduced apartheid in NSW.

Rabz
October 10, 2021 7:40 pm

On a more serious note – who gets the beloved Strat?

Not that I’m planning on leaving this earthly realm any time soon.

Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare
Elizabeth (Lizzie) Beare
October 10, 2021 7:41 pm

can also get.

Off to my bath now. Cannae answer any more about meta-analyses and I think Gilas has done this well anyway.

Timothy Neilson
Timothy Neilson
October 10, 2021 7:41 pm

what is HOP Time

We do need glossary.
It’s Heads On Pikes Time

miltonf
miltonf
October 10, 2021 7:42 pm

So has Perrottet ratted already?

Bruce in WA
October 10, 2021 7:42 pm

“…unless it’s one of those shit BMW twins”.

Oi, you!! Let’s see you do 800km in one day on any other bike and still get off and walk away upright, as the good Lord designed you.

miltonf
miltonf
October 10, 2021 7:42 pm

Must be even faster than Joyce if that’s the case.

Zipster
Zipster
October 10, 2021 7:45 pm
Gilas
Gilas
October 10, 2021 7:46 pm

I attended a series of statistical lectures on how to increase power, in individual studies and in meta-analyses. The statistical pirouettes possible are absolutely mind-blowing, but there is a genuine mathematics that underlies them.

You truly haven’t lived until you’ve had to apply a Bonferroni Correction while planning a trial.

Bar Beach Swimmer
October 10, 2021 7:49 pm

MT, if you’re still about, thanks for putting up that vid of Fanosthevoice interviewing Dr Peter Johnston from Rosebud; I’m now watching his interview with Graham Hood, the Qantas pilot.

Roger
Roger
October 10, 2021 7:51 pm

Palaszczuk upping the ante in the ‘COVID is a sentient being’ stakes (10 Oct)

She seems not to want the emergency to ever end.

That would be because it’s three years to the next election here.

And she only won the last one on the back of covid scaremongering.

Bar Beach Swimmer
October 10, 2021 7:57 pm

Indolentsays:
October 10, 2021 at 7:40 pm

Indolent, earlier today my sister was telling me that a few small businesses in Sydney and elsewhere have decided not to open until 1 Dec because they do not want to discriminate. I think that’s wonderful! One I’ve been to quite a few times so it will be the first place I go come December 1.

It’s a pity that our elected representatives and the health arseh*les that we all pay for have no concept of what democracy and the rights of the citizen is.

Zipster
Zipster
October 10, 2021 7:57 pm
Rockdoctor
Rockdoctor
October 10, 2021 8:02 pm

Zipster. Thanks on those links, just watched the first one. He’s spot on from my observations and experience of south east Asia. About to start the second one.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 8:04 pm

Zipster:

https://youtu.be/IajwYGgqPP8
Why is Xi Jinping cracking down on everyone?

What is going on?
It’s quite simple – the wealth has been created, the industrial base is up and running, and Xi wants to stand beside the great leaders of China.
He wants to be the Mao Tse Tung of the 21st Century.

P
P
October 10, 2021 8:04 pm

earlier today my sister was telling me that a few small businesses in Sydney and elsewhere have decided not to open until 1 Dec because they do not want to discriminate.

I discussed this with my son who will open up five in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow. Two out of three in the CBD have been closed since June.
He is confident that all will go well tomorrow.

Arky
October 10, 2021 8:06 pm

Bruce in WAsays:
October 10, 2021 at 7:42 pm
“…unless it’s one of those shit BMW twins”.

Oi, you!! Let’s see you do 800km in one day on any other bike and still get off and walk away upright, as the good Lord designed you.

..
Did Melbourne to Rockhampton in two days on this.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 8:08 pm

Zipster:

The anti-christ has arrived.

Who? HBBear?

Cassie of Sydney
October 10, 2021 8:08 pm

“I discussed this with my son who will open up five in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow. Two out of three in the CBD have been closed since June.
He is confident that all will go well tomorrow.”

I hope it goes well for him P….for what it’s worth I will be at work in Sydney’s CBD. I want to support the businesses in the CBD.

P
P
October 10, 2021 8:09 pm

five restaurants

Bar Beach Swimmer
October 10, 2021 8:11 pm

Government is a Boa Constrictor, slowly crushing the life out of us.

Winston, that’s a liberty quote!

P
P
October 10, 2021 8:15 pm

Cassie I hope it isn’t too busy tomorrow especially with the two restaurants that have been closed for so many months. The others have been doing take-aways (at a loss) so it will be a lot easier with those.
Sydney as you know has been a dead city for so long and need all the support from locals as it can get. It has suffered such much from lack of tourism.

Indolent
Indolent
October 10, 2021 8:17 pm

I discussed this with my son who will open up five in the Sydney metropolitan area tomorrow. Two out of three in the CBD have been closed since June.
He is confident that all will go well tomorrow.

Will he be asking people for their medical history on entry?

I do not think the government has the power to force businesses to do this but has them completely cowed and bamboozled. I wonder if any will simply open up and not ask.

Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
Zulu Kilo Two Alpha
October 10, 2021 8:18 pm

From the “Australian.” The A.B.C. strikes again.

ABC staff did a deal with Juanita Nielsen ‘informant’

theaustralian.com.au2:29

exclusive
Sophie Elsworth
Media writer
@sophieelsworth
2 minutes ago October 10, 2021
No Comments

ABC staff had many dealings with retired lawyer John Innes before airing his problematic allegations in the now dumped miniseries into the 1975 disappearance of journalist Juanita Nielsen.

Pinned as the key witness in the ABC’s troubled two-part miniseries, Juanita: A Family Mystery, Innes had extensive involvement with both the taxpayer-funded broadcaster and production company WildBear Entertainment, before the series was aired in September.

Both TV episodes, which examined details around Nielsen’s death, were stripped from the ABC’s streaming platform iview after new information emerged that discredited some of the bombshell claims made by Innes in the program.

But in a letter written by Innes to his family and friends and seen by The Australian before the program was aired, he claims, “ABC crime journalists and researchers tracked me down as a key witness for the series”.

He goes on in the letter to say, “now after two months of ABC fact checking, the series is about to go to air”.

“I know exactly who killed Juanita, where she was killed, how much they paid to kill her, how the murderer was paid and how they moved the body – the only question I don’t know (and have since regretted not asking at the time) is where the body was dumped or buried,” Innes wrote.

The ABC confirmed they did deal with Innes in the lead up to the problematic series airing.

“WildBear and the ABC had dealings with Innes, as you might expect for an interviewee,” an

ABC spokesman said.

Nielsen was the founder of alternative newspaper NOW, and was last seen alive on July 4, 1975 at the Carousel Club in Sydney’s Kings Cross, which was owned by underworld figure Abe Saffron.

In the series Innes claimed he was placed in Long Bay Gaol as part of an undercover operation to try and extract information from Eddie Trigg – an associate of Saffron.

But the claims by Innes proved problematic, forcing the ABC to remove the series and also dump two podcasts after issues arose around the legitimacy of Innes’ claims.

Reports on the weekend also emerged that Innes demanded the program makers refrain from asking him crucial questions about his criminal record during the miniseries, which they abided by.

This meant he was not to be asked about his criminal history that would have resulted in scrutiny of his claims and puts serious doubt on them.

At the 1983 inquest into Nielsen’s death, Innes told the court he was charged with false pretences – passing dud cheques – in late 1982 and given bail.

He was also subsequently charged with giving false information in relation to obtain a passport and was refused bail and jailed for three months.

Author Peter Rees, who has followed the cold case for 46 years said he was “stunned that such terms had been negotiated” and agreed to by ABC and WildBear Entertainment.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 8:19 pm

Zipster:

It’s quite simple – the wealth has been created, the industrial base is up and running, and Xi wants to stand beside the great leaders of China.
He wants to be the Mao Tse Tung of the 21st Century.

I meant to put in a reference to the “Let a Hundred Flowers Bloom…” campaign by Mao to get the intelligentsia to speak up so they could be crushed. Xi’s efforts to get the entrepreneurial to make money has two benefits – money he can take from them, and self identification of the enemies of Mao Thought.

MatrixTransform
October 10, 2021 8:20 pm

that vid of Fanosthevoice interviewing Dr Peter Johnston from Rosebud

Glad you enjoyed.
I found it frank and rather to-the-point.

The Doc too, is very Rosebud
I like that ‘cos that’s where I came from

The world I grew up in and the world I inhabit now are not the same place
I miss dirt roads and straight-talk

P
P
October 10, 2021 8:20 pm

Will he be asking people for their medical history on entry?

Yes.
The fine for businesses is $5,000 per person.
The fine for those who do not adhere to the health orders will only be fined $1,000 per person.

Winston Smith
October 10, 2021 8:21 pm

rosie:

If for no other reason that governments cannot afford to maintain this covid apparatus for ever.

They can keep it up for longer than most can resist.

Bar Beach Swimmer
October 10, 2021 8:22 pm

P, I hope all goes well for him tomorrow.

I just feel so sad about everything that’s been happening over the last 20 months. I love Australia, but like Dot, yesterday I started thinking if we could get away should we consider it?

Then I realised that even if there was a better place than what was once the best country in the world, we can’t go anywhere because we haven’t got a vaccine passport.

We have regressed; my ancestors were convicts and now I am one too.

Bar Beach Swimmer
October 10, 2021 8:25 pm

Calli,
thinking of you.
kindest regards,
BBS

Old Lefty
Old Lefty
October 10, 2021 8:25 pm

Thanks to Gray Connolly for this

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/son-afghanistan-former-defense-minister-172358560.html

Vets and their families must be wondering what it was all for.

  1. Boy, 13, was on bail, had driven stolen car at 200kmh weeks before triple fatalJust weeks before causing triple fatal…

  2. Big change from the Labor Party, who picks union hacks, who know S.F.A. about farming, and who can’t be bothered…

  3. This armchair General is a Bombastic twit. The British soldiers would be lucky to last a couple of months fighting…

  4. Trump picks new Secretary of Agriculture – farming background, Ag Degree, 4 kids, Texan and more https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/11/president-elect-donald-trump-nominates-brooke-rollins-as/

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